X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Draft Rankings
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

First Base Risers, Fallers, Buys, and Sells for Dynasty Fantasy Baseball

Triston Casas - Fantasy Baseball Rankings, Draft Sleepers, MLB Injury News

While the offseason has just begun, it's never too early to look ahead and begin prepping for 2025. And for those of you in dynasty leagues, November can be just as important as July when it comes to roster construction and improving your teams for the long run.

As I've said several times before, there's never a bad time to make moves to improve your team(s) for the upcoming season and beyond. Part of that is identifying player values that are shifting positively or negatively and making the determination of whether to buy, sell, hold, or avoid. That's what this series over the next several weeks is going to focus on. I'm going position by position, discussing players whose values are rising or falling right now and what we should be doing with them.

After discussing the catcher position to lead off this series, we shift to first base today with a six-pack of intriguing names right now including a trio of prospects.

Be sure to check all of our fantasy baseball draft tools and resources:

First Base Risers, Fallers, Buys, and Sells for Dynasty Fantasy Baseball

Triston Casas, Boston Red Sox

This will likely be the last time you can acquire Triston Casas for a non-elite price tag given his injury-shortened 2024 season where he was limited to 243 plate appearances due to torn cartilage in his rib cage. Casas wasn't bad in 2024 but it was clear he wasn't 100% upon returning and was still impacted by the injury which he described as "a car crash within his body." Anyone who has played baseball knows how important your core is when swinging, so I'm completely ignoring 2024 and focusing more on what we saw from Casas in 2023.

From July 7 through the end of the season, Casas slashed a robust .319/.418/.617 with 15 home runs, 38 RBI, 35 runs scored and a 14.1% walk rate in 56 games. Only three fellows names Shohei Ohtani, Mookie Betts, and Matt Olson had a better wRC+ and wOBA than Casas had during that span.

Given his below-average contact rates, I'm not expecting Casas to hit over .300 or anything, but given his quality of contact and home ballpark, an average around .270 is a reasonable expectation along with his 40-homer upside. I'm extremely confident that Casas is going to be an elite fantasy first baseman moving forward and he won't cost you an elite price tag yet.

Michael Toglia, Colorado Rockies

Thanks to a surprising 25/10 season in 2024, Michael Toglia's name is on the rise right now. But given the .218 AVG, he's a difficult one to value and rank heading into 2025. And as you might expect, the profile is a mixed bag filled with notable strengths and weaknesses.

Toglia is an elite power bat who posted a 17.3% barrel rate, 92.1 mph AVG EV, and 50.2% hard-hit rate in 2024 along with a 15.1° launch angle and elite 39.2% Sweet-Spot rate. All of his power metrics including his xSLG ranked among the Top-10 of hitters in baseball last season. So over a full season with half his games in Coors, it's not hard to envision a 2025 season where Toglia cranks 40 home runs. If I was a betting man, he's not a bad dark horse pick to lead the National League in home runs.

Obviously, Toglia's profile becomes less appealing outside of the power. However, his contact metrics, while below average, aren't terrible. Toglia ran a 77.5% zone contact and 65.1% overall contact rate in 2024 with an 11.8% walk rate and 32.1% strikeout rate. I'd say the best-case scenario is a .250 hitter, but I'd bank on him being closer to .250 than the .211 mark he was at in 2024.

Spencer Steer, Cincinnati Reds

We go from one Cincinnati Red to another with Spencer Steer. While Encarnacion-Strand provided zero value in 2024, Spencer Steer was a Top-100 overall player and posted a surprising 20/20 season, finishing with 20 home runs and 25 steals in 656 plate appearances to go along with 74 runs and 92 RBI. However, a rough second half where he slashed .198/.291/.344 really put a damper on his season and Steer finished with a .225/.319/.402 slash line overall.

I'm willing to chalk up a chunk of Steer's poor second half to a bit of bad luck though as Steer had the lowest BABIP (.240) among qualified first-base eligible players in the second half. You also can't dissect Steer's profile and come away thinking that he's a .225 caliber hitter. Steer posted an 86.6% zone contact and 76.9% overall contact rate along with a chase rate and strikeout rate that were both better than league average.

With above-average contact and approach metrics to go along with around-average power, I'm expecting the AVG to bounce back in a big way with help from Great American Ballpark. Yes, the GABP BABIP boost wasn't there for Steer in 2024, but the odds of him running a BABIP that low again are slim. I'd expect similar power/speed contributions with a higher AVG and OBP.

Bryce Eldridge, San Francisco Giants

At the first base position in the prospect world, no player had a more astronomical rise than Bryce Eldridge. Sure, he wasn't an unknown, but Eldridge mashed his way into the top-20 overall discussion in 2024. In 116 games across four levels, Eldridge slashed .292/.374/.516 with 27 doubles and 23 home runs. The last of those 23 jacks came in Triple-A as a 19-year-old. Truly an amazing season.

With Eldridge, his massive raw power immediately stands out and he's continued to showcase that raw power out in the Arizona Fall League. This is arguably the best power hitter San Francisco has developed in many years and an annual 30-homer bat is a realistic outcome for Eldridge. However, there are still some questions surrounding how much average Eldridge will hit for. That will be the X-Factor here and decide whether he's a strong starting fantasy first baseman or more of a solid corner infield option.

With that said, even a .260/30 profile is an impactful outcome and there's upside for more than that. Eldridge is a rare buy-high candidate heading into 2025 as the price tag will likely only continue to rise.

Xavier Isaac, Tampa Bay Rays

While Bryce Eldridge was surging up rankings, Xavier Isaac took a second-half tumble. After hitting .337 and .327 respectively in May and June, Isaac slashed just .213/.340/.367 over his final 47 games along with a concerning 41.9% strikeout rate. How much of this was due to an injury in June? That's hard to say. But what's not hard to say is that Isaac's strikeout concerns are a major red flag right now. And unfortunately, those issues followed him to the Arizona Fall League.

With Isaac, the pros and cons are both notable. Isaac has shown plus power and sneaky speed and athleticism for his size. Over a full season, Isaac could push 30 home runs with double-digit steals as well. But as we've seen with countless other prospects before him, that doesn't mean much if he's making contact less than 60% of the time with a 33.3% strikeout rate. The upside is there, but the arrow is pointing downwards.

Josue Briceño, Detroit Tigers

If you simply look at Josue Briceño's surface stats from 2024, you won't be blown away. A sprained knee cost Briceño three months and limited him to 40 games In those 40 games, Briceño hit .278 with a .381 OBP, but with only two home runs and nine extra-base hits. But that's why surface stats don't always tell the full story. While Briceño didn't hit for a ton of power that shows up in the box score, he posted an impressive 82.2% contact rate and 42.3% hard-hit rate in Single-A this season.

Oh, and did I mention he just reincarnated as early-2000s Barry Bonds out in the Arizona Fall League? Briceño is an above-average contact hitter with a solid approach and plus power that is still developing. Even with his massive AFL showing, Briceño's perceived value and price tag aren't as high as they should be in dynasty leagues, making him an attractive target via trade. Briceño is pushing Top-50 overall prospect status and could be in the Top-25 discussion by mid-2025.



Download Our Free News & Alerts Mobile App

Like what you see? Download our updated fantasy baseball app for iPhone and Android with 24x7 player news, injury alerts, sleepers, prospects & more. All free!



More Fantasy Baseball Advice




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Draft Rankings
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Jaden Hardy14 mins ago

Making Progress, Assigned To G League
Giancarlo Stanton18 mins ago

Doing More
Anthony Davis19 mins ago

Assigned To G League, Ramping Up For Return
Carlos Carrasco25 mins ago

Likely To Earn Rotation Spot
Cam Smith30 mins ago

Has A "Good" Chance To Make Opening Day Roster
Jung Hoo Lee34 mins ago

Going For MRI Exam
Kelly Olynyk36 mins ago

Tagged As Questionable On Monday
Julio Rodríguez42 mins ago

Julio Rodriguez Scratched On Monday With Illness
José Berríos48 mins ago

Jose Berrios To Start Opening Day For Blue Jays
Jurickson Profar54 mins ago

Takes Batting Practice, Could Return On Thursday
Yves Missi58 mins ago

Questionable Monday Against Pistons
Tyler Reddick1 hour ago

Solid Performance Is Derailed By Late Pit-Road Issues At Las Vegas
Ryan Blaney1 hour ago

Struggles End In A Disappointing Exit Late At Las Vegas
Josh Berry2 hours ago

Impressively Earns First Cup Series Win At Las Vegas
AJ Allmendinger2 hours ago

Scores First Top-10 Finish Of Season At Las Vegas
Kyle Larson2 hours ago

Leads The Most Laps, But Settles For A Top-10 Finish At Las Vegas
Ross Chastain2 hours ago

Obtains A Hard-Fought Top-Five Finish At Las Vegas
MacKenzie Gore2 hours ago

Named Opening Day Starter
Daniel Suarez2 hours ago

Scores Career-Best Finish At Las Vegas, But Falls Short Of Winning
Jack Leiter3 hours ago

Allows Two Runs Across Four Frames
Gleyber Torres3 hours ago

Returns To The Lineup Monday
Agustin Ramirez3 hours ago

Optioned To Triple-A
Brandon Nimmo3 hours ago

Will Start In The Outfield Monday
Zebby Matthews3 hours ago

Optioned To Triple-A
David Festa3 hours ago

Sent To Triple-A
Brandon Pfaadt3 hours ago

Strikes Out Seven In Spring Training Start
Kevin Alcántara3 hours ago

Kevin Alcantara Sent To Triple-A Iowa
Jace Jung4 hours ago

Optioned To Triple-A
Chris Sale4 hours ago

Gets Opening Day Start For The Atlanta Braves
Cole Perfetti6 hours ago

Tallies Goal, Assist In Victory
Karel Vejmelka6 hours ago

Earns Victory On Sunday
Jordan Kyrou6 hours ago

Tallies Three Points On Sunday
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins6 hours ago

Dishes Out Three Helpers
Cale Makar6 hours ago

Tallies Three Points On Sunday
Dmitry Kulikov6 hours ago

Injured On Sunday
NASCAR8 hours ago

Bubba Wallace Wrecks At Las Vegas But Shows Promising Speed
Alex Bowman8 hours ago

Recovers From Loose Wheel To Finish Seventh
Austin Cindric8 hours ago

Wins Stage 1, But Loose Wheel Foils Victory Bid
William Byron8 hours ago

Loses Las Vegas Race On Strategy But Expands Points Lead
Ryan Preece8 hours ago

Earns Best Career Non-Drafting Oval Finish At Las Vegas
Mookie Betts13 hours ago

Won't Play In Tokyo Series Against Cubs
Tee Higgins13 hours ago

Becomes Highest-Paid WR2 In NFL History
Ja'Marr Chase13 hours ago

Bengals Make Ja'Marr Chase The Highest-Paid Non-QB In NFL History
Brandin Podziemski14 hours ago

On Track To Return Tuesday
Christian Braun14 hours ago

Tagged As Probable On Injury Report
Aaron Gordon14 hours ago

Listed As Questionable For Monday
Jamal Murray14 hours ago

Iffy For Monday
Nikola Jokić14 hours ago

Nikola Jokic May Sit Out Meeting With Warriors
Quinten Post14 hours ago

Uncertain For Monday
Stephen Curry15 hours ago

Questionable To Play On Monday
Vince Williams Jr.16 hours ago

Returning On Monday
Coby White16 hours ago

Tagged As Probable For Monday
Josh Giddey16 hours ago

Doubtful For Monday
Gary Trent Jr.16 hours ago

Cleared For Sunday
Scotty Pippen Jr.16 hours ago

Listed As Questionable For Monday
Ja Morant16 hours ago

Won't Play Monday
Aaron Nesmith17 hours ago

Questionable Versus Minnesota
Tyrese Haliburton17 hours ago

On The Injury Report For Monday Night
Michael Tonkin17 hours ago

Will Open Season On Injured List
Aaron Wiggins17 hours ago

Returns To Action Against Bucks
Michel Otañez17 hours ago

Michel Otanez Shut Down From Throwing
Myles Turner17 hours ago

Questionable Against Minnesota
Miami Dolphins18 hours ago

Ryan Stonehouse Signs With Dolphins
Sam Darnold18 hours ago

Could Opt Out After One Season
Mark Andrews18 hours ago

Unlikely To Be Cut
Igor Shesterkin19 hours ago

Remains In Rangers Crease Sunday
John Gibson19 hours ago

Still Out On Sunday
Nick Bjugstad19 hours ago

Returns For Utah Sunday
Filip Chytil19 hours ago

Questionable For Sunday
Jiri Kulich20 hours ago

In Concussion Protocol
Adam Pelech20 hours ago

Out On Sunday
Zach Hyman20 hours ago

A Game-Time Call Sunday
Atlanta Falcons21 hours ago

Keith Taylor Signs With Falcons
Atlanta Falcons21 hours ago

Storm Norton Back With Atlanta
Ronnie Rivers22 hours ago

Re-Ups With Rams
New York Jets1 day ago

Derrick Nnadi Signing With Jets
Washington Commanders1 day ago

Eddie Goldman Joins Commanders On One-Year Deal
Cooper Rush1 day ago

Agrees On Two-Year Deal With Ravens
Baltimore Ravens1 day ago

Ben Cleveland Remaining With Ravens
Seattle Seahawks1 day ago

Shemar Jean-Charles Signing With Seahawks
Velus Jones Jr.1 day ago

Signs With Saints
Christopher Bell1 day ago

Quest For Four Wins In A Row Just Got More Difficult
Kyle Larson1 day ago

Should Contend For Another Win At Las Vegas
Ryan Blaney1 day ago

Once Again The Chalk DFS Pick At Las Vegas
Ross Chastain1 day ago

Fastest In Practice At Las Vegas
Chris Buescher1 day ago

Has Sneaky Upside This Weekend
Quinton Byfield1 day ago

Scores In Sixth Straight Contest
Chase Elliott1 day ago

May Be A Sneaky DFS Option For Las Vegas Lineups
Artemi Panarin1 day ago

Extends Point Streak To Eight Games
Pyotr Kochetkov1 day ago

Shuts The Door On Flyers On Saturday
William Byron1 day ago

Expect William Byron To Compete For The Win At Las Vegas
Tyler Reddick1 day ago

Is One Of The Top DFS Options For Las Vegas
Anthony Cirelli1 day ago

Strikes Twice On Saturday
Denny Hamlin1 day ago

Could Denny Hamlin Be A Quality Driver For DFS At Las Vegas?
Alex Ovechkin1 day ago

Scores Goal, Adds Assist In Victory
Connor Dewar1 day ago

Scores Twice On Saturday
Jordan Mason2 days ago

Vikings Acquire Jordan Mason From 49ers, Sign Him To Two-Year Deal
Dee Eskridge2 days ago

Sticking With Dolphins
JuJu Smith-Schuster2 days ago

Returning To Chiefs
Tennessee Titans2 days ago

Chidobe Awuzie Released By Titans
Parris Campbell2 days ago

Headed To Dallas
Jiri Kulich2 days ago

Sustains An Upper-Body Injury Saturday
Tyler Myers2 days ago

Set To Return Against Blackhawks
Philadelphia Eagles2 days ago

Patrick Johnson Rejoins Philadelphia
Los Angeles Rams2 days ago

Larrell Murchison Back With The Rams
Roman Dolidze3 days ago

Set For A Rematch
Marvin Vettori3 days ago

Looks To Get Back In The Win Column
Chidi Njokuani3 days ago

Looks For His Third Win In A Row
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos3 days ago

Looks For His 12th UFC Win
Kurt Holobaugh3 days ago

An Underdog At UFC Vegas 104
Alexander Hernandez3 days ago

Looks To Win Back-To-Back Fights
Cody Gibson3 days ago

Looks For His Third Consecutive Win
Da'Mon Blackshear3 days ago

A Favorite At UFC Vegas 104
Brendson Ribeiro3 days ago

Searching For Second UFC Win On Saturday
Diyar Nurgozhay3 days ago

Set To Make His UFC Debut
MMA3 days ago

Seung Woo Choi In Dire Need Of Victory
Kevin Vallejos3 days ago

Makes Debut At UFC Vegas 104
Jacob Bridgeman5 days ago

Use Caution For Jacob Bridgeman At TPC Sawgrass
Nicolai Hojgaard5 days ago

Looks To Stay Consistent Heading Into PLAYERS Championship
Karl Vilips5 days ago

Makes PLAYERS Championship Debut After First PGA Tour Win
Taylor Pendrith5 days ago

A Sneaky Play At TPC Sawgrass
Sahith Theegala5 days ago

Out Of Form Ahead Of The PLAYERS Championship
Matt Fitzpatrick5 days ago

A Shaky Play Heading Into PLAYERS
Scottie Scheffler5 days ago

Eyeing Three-Peat At TPC Sawgrass
Aldrich Potgieter5 days ago

A Risky Play At TPC Sawgrass
Si Woo Kim5 days ago

Looks To Keep Building Momentum At The PLAYERS
Denny McCarthy5 days ago

Looks To Continue Solid Play At TPC Sawgrass
Collin Morikawa5 days ago

Poised For Another Strong Performance At TPC Sawgrass
Robert MacIntyre5 days ago

A Risky Play With Upside At The PLAYERS Championship
Jordan Spieth6 days ago

Looking To Change Fortunes At TPC Sawgrass
Cameron Young6 days ago

Avoid Cameron Young At The PLAYERS Championship
Michael Kim6 days ago

Continues Incredible Form Ahead Of The PLAYERS Championship
Justin Thomas6 days ago

Looking For More Magic At TPC Sawgrass
Xander Schauffele6 days ago

Continues Competitive Return At The Players Championship
Rory McIlroy6 days ago

Looks To Reverse Recent History At TPC Sawgrass
PGA6 days ago

Victor Hovland Looking To Find Form At The PLAYERS Championship
Brian Harman6 days ago

A Sleeper Pick At The PLAYERS Championship
Min Woo Lee6 days ago

A Hard Name To Trust At The Players Championship
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF

MORE RECENT ARTICLES

 
Davante Adams - Fantasy Football Rankings, NFL Injury News, DFS Lineup Picks

NFL Free Agency Tracker - Updates On Every Free Agent Signing (2025)

The NFL offseason is starting to heat up, and the league's legal tampering period is set to begin on March 10 at noon Eastern. Free agents cannot officially sign until the new league year begins on March 12 at 4 p.m. Eastern, but deals will be agreed to, and news will be coming in quickly […]


Kaleb Johnson - College Football Rankings, NCAA CFB DFS Lineup Picks - NFL Draft

2025 Fantasy Football Rookie Drafts: Best, Worst Picks In Rounds 1-4

You don't want to draft the below players, trust me. There are busts in every year's rookie class, and while some of them are tough to predict, others show clear signs that they aren't worth their capital. Many players have great fortune in college, playing on great teams that elevate their production and thus the […]


Matthew Golden - College Football Rankings, NCAA CFB DFS Lineup Picks, NFL Draft

2025 NFL Draft Wide Receiver Rankings: Top 5 Rookies

Last year’s wide receiver class was one of the best in recent history, totaling three top-10 picks and seven prospects coming off the board in the first round. Many have called this year’s class a massive downgrade compared to last year’s unit. Yet, the 2025 wide receiver draft class has several impressive prospects. There might […]


Brenton Strange - Fantasy Football Rankings, Waiver Wire, TE Streamers, NFL DFS

Winners and Losers of 2025 NFL Free Agency in Fantasy Football

NFL Free Agency has been quite the frenzy. At RotoBaller, we track it all for you right here! It might not always feel like it, but there have been a ton of impactful moves. And with every move comes a fantasy football impact, right? This article takes a look at some of the top winners […]


Jaylen Wright - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, Waiver Wire Pickups

Fantasy Football Breakouts: Running Back Sleepers For 2025

The running back position is in constant flux in Dynasty fantasy football, as depth charts are constantly shuffled around, teams often decide to move on from productive players and replace them with cheaper or younger options, and players have their first good seasons in their careers. We're mostly concerned with that last point -- RBs […]


Albert Haynesworth - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, Waiver Wire Pickups

Worst NFL Free Agent Signings Of All Time

With the free agency period for the 2025 NFL season now underway, many big-name players will find new homes as teams compete to sign anyone and everyone they think they need to help their squad. While many signings end up being good moves, or at least help their teams fill holes at certain positions on […]


Cole Kmet - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL injury News

Dynasty Fantasy Football Trade Targets and Avoids: Tight Ends to Buy or Sell (2025)

It's tough to find good tight ends in dynasty fantasy football. Unfortunately, it's also very easy to be stuck with one that sticks around in the doldrums of low production. Such is the case for many TEs, and even those who have good seasons here and there often lack consistency year over year. It's not […]


D'Andre Swift - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injuries

Dynasty Fantasy Football Trade Targets and Avoids: Running Backs to Buy or Sell (2025)

Running back volume and production is highly mercurial in the NFL. It can thus be difficult to know when to trade away and when to trade for tailbacks. There is constant competition for roles in certain backfields, and red-herring situations are abound due to injuries and plain luck. While some RBs are certainly safe in […]


Josh Downs - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News Updates

2025 Fantasy Football Sleepers: Third-Year Breakouts

Patience can be tough, especially in fantasy football. We want instant production from rookies, but these players often take a while to get going. These youngsters need to adjust to the speed of the NFL and learn from their early struggles to break out fully. The third year in the NFL is oftentimes when things […]


Justin Fields - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News

NFL Free Agency Winners and Losers - Fantasy Football Outlooks from Florio

Free Agency is the most fun week of the NFL offseason. Even when it is not the strongest class, there is never a shortage of excitement. Players changing teams at a rapid rate. It is a week filled with hope that your favorite team will add stars and that those under-the-radar players you love will […]


Josh Downs - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News Updates

Josh Downs Fantasy Football Dynasty Outlook (2025)

The 2025 NFL Draft is quickly approaching. For the last few months, dynasty fantasy football gamers have been meticulously studying the incoming rookie class to gain any edge they can on their league mates. While we should be anxiously awaiting our rookie drafts, we must also take time and analyze how veteran players are valued […]


Tyron Smith Top Landing Spots: 2025 NFL Free Agency Outlook

New York Jets and former long-time Dallas Cowboys offensive tackle Tyron Smith was one of the best offensive linemen in the NFL for an extended period of time. He's made five All-Pro teams, two with the first team and two with the second team, been selected to eight Pro Bowls, and earned a spot on […]


Bills Defense - Von Miller IDP Rankings, D/ST Streamers, Fantasy Football Team Defense

Von Miller Top Landing Spots: 2025 NFL Free Agency Outlook

Buffalo Bills linebacker Von Miller, one of the greatest pass-rushers in NFL history, was released by his team on March 9, 2025. He had signed a six-year, $120 million deal with the team in 2022, but the soon-to-be 36-year-old wasn't able to make it to the end of that contract, so he's now looking for […]