X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Weekly Rankings
Compare Any Players
Stats & Leaders
Starts and Sit
Daily Fantasy
Who To Pickup
24x7 News and Alerts

Fantasy Implications - Marshawn Lynch to Raiders

What once seemed like a far-fetched rumor or the kind of thing you'd pull off in Madden '18, the reality is that Marshawn Lynch may very well be wearing silver and black next season. The once-retired, Skittles-loving running back is bringing the rainbow to his hometown of Oakland. That is, once he gets officially reinstated by the league and the Raiders are able to acquire his rights.

If this comes to fruition, which may just be a formality at this point, does Lynch still have any fantasy viability? His age and prolonged absence from the league say no, but his track record and potential for red zone opportunities say yes. Let's break down the possibilities to get a sense of just where Lynch should go in early drafts.

Keep tabs on Rotoballer's NFL page for the latest reaction and analysis to free agent moves in order to stay ahead of the game.

 

Marshawn Lynch's Impact in Oakland

There's a reason Lynch abruptly retired before the age of 30. In the 2015 season, Lynch averaged 3.8 yards per carry in the seven games he played; he also scored just three touchdowns after leading the league in rushing TD the previous two seasons. He was even less effective in the passing game, which was once considered a strength of his during his time in Buffalo, averaging a career-low 6.2 yards per reception. Coming off a Super Bowl loss the previous year, the Seahawks didn't experience much of a hangover, finishing 10-6, but Lynch went from injured to demotivated to retired in a hurry.

Fast forward to the present and Lynch suddenly has a burning desire to play again, but on one condition - it has to be in his home city of Oakland. The irony of course is that the Raiders will be moving to Las Vegas within two years, so Lynch's return, as exciting as it may be for Raiders' fans, should be short-lived. For now, we're only concerned with the upcoming season and how Lynch may benefit fantasy teams.

Lynch wasn't nicknamed "Beast Mode" for nothing. His tough-running ways and ability to break tackles make him an ideal runner between the tackles. In his last full season of 2014, Lynch led the league in Missed Tackles Forced with a whopping 101 missed tackles. According to ProFootballFocus, he also finished first on a per-game basis with 3.14 touches/MT. Not surprisingly, he also led the league in Yards After Contact, gaining nearly three extra yards per carry, and Elusiveness Rating at 94.3. Ironically, the man he is replacing for the early-down role in Oakland, Latavius Murray, had the fourth-lowest Elusiveness Rating at 13.9 and Missed Tackles Forced at 14.14 touches/MT that same season.

If Murray was able to punch in 12 rushing scores behind a dominant offensive line, despite being fairly easy to bring down, could Lynch surpass that total? The Raiders' offensive line was the second-ranked group in the preseason and graded out as the fourth-best unit in the NFL for 2016. The majority of their damage in the run offense came straight up the middle, which plays to Lynch's strengths.

Murray had a 70% red zone share in rushing attempts and a 47% overall share. Lynch, assuming he is fully healthy, should have similar numbers. This means about 15 carries per game, which translates to just under 70 yards a game if he maintains a healthy 4.5 Y/A. It would be easy to get carried away and say that Lynch could easily replicate the 12 TD Murray scored last year or the 12 TD he averaged between 2011-2014. The difference is that Lynch will be 31 years old when the season starts and there will be a year's worth of rust to shake off. His ADP is yet to be determined since he hasn't been reinstated yet, but an educated guess would place him between rounds 9-12, since that would be just outside the top 30 RB.

 

How Will Other Players Be Affected?

It seems likely that the Oakland offense will run the exact same way as it did in 2016. Second-year players DeAndre Washington and Jalen Richard will come in on passing downs and for a couple of series each to provide some speed. Neither will get looks near the goal-line, since they each stand 5'8" tall. Add in Jamize Olawale and the next three backs combined for 14 red zone carries. Nobody else in Oakland's backfield is worth attention in standard leagues and only if there is an injury should either Richard or Washington be considered as a bench stash in PPR. In terms of the passing game, nothing much should change either. The Raiders work primarily out of the shotgun, so Lynch, as a reclamation project, will be made to fit into the offense, not vice versa.

Interestingly, in this case we don't have any adjustments to make for Lynch's former team because the Seahawks have already had a year to move on. We broke down Eddie Lacy's signing in Seattle for you already - he will play a role similar to Lynch in Oakland as the grinder while C.J. Prosise and Thomas Rawls compete for touches by offering speed and agility. Lacy has also rated highly in elusiveness when healthy, but Seattle's offensive line won't do him any favors. The 'Hawks hogs ranked dead-last in the league in 2016, with only center Justin Britt ranking as high as the top-20 at his position. A between-the-tackles runner like Lacy may suffer the same fate Lynch did in his last go-round in 2015. Believe it or not, Lynch may have a leg up on Lacy in Seattle and Latavius Murray in Minnesota because of the O-line play.

 

Conclusion

Lynch's chances for success actually seem better than we would expect for an aging running back. The key here is conditioning. Lynch was remarkably durable throughout his career, in spite of his physical style of play. With no lingering injuries and plenty of time to rest, he should clearly be healthy, but will have to prove that he has the stamina to play a 16-game schedule. Don't overpay for Lynch based on fond memories of the past; he shouldn't be anything higher than an RB3 in 12-team leagues. The best move may be to grab him as an RB4, if possible, and stash him for the second half of the season once he gets his legs under him and his feel for the game completely back.


Check out RotoBaller's famous fantasy football draft sleepers and waiver wire pickups list, updated regularly!




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Weekly Rankings
Compare Any Players
Stats & Leaders
Starts and Sit
Daily Fantasy
Who To Pickup
24x7 News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Malcolm Brogdon16 mins ago

Will Not Play Tuesday
Jordan Poole21 mins ago

Uncertain Against Houston
Bub Carrington26 mins ago

Listed As Questionable For Tuesday
Jalen Green33 mins ago

Questionable Against Washington
Tari Eason39 mins ago

Doubtful Tuesday Against The Wizards
Josh Richardson48 mins ago

Downgraded To Out
Lauri Markkanen58 mins ago

Could Return Tuesday Against Atlanta
Keyonte George1 hour ago

Ruled Out For Tuesday
John Collins1 hour ago

Out Tuesday Against Atlanta
Jordan Clarkson1 hour ago

Will Miss At Least Two Weeks
Yuki Kawamura2 hours ago

Available To Play Monday Against The Mavericks
Luke Kennard2 hours ago

Available To Play Monday
Desmond Bane2 hours ago

Downgraded To Out Against Dallas
Jalen Brunson2 hours ago

Cleared To Face Orlando
Karl-Anthony Towns2 hours ago

Won't Play On Monday
Michael Lorenzen2 hours ago

Signs One-Year Deal With Kansas City
Luke Kennard2 hours ago

Available For Monday's Game
Andre Drummond2 hours ago

Unavailable Against Suns
Gavin Lux2 hours ago

Traded To Cincinnati
Deandre Ayton2 hours ago

Available On Monday
Ben Simmons3 hours ago

Won't Play On Monday
D'Angelo Russell3 hours ago

Ruled Out For Monday
Kyle Lowry3 hours ago

Sidelined On Monday
Kyler Murray3 hours ago

"100 Percent" Chance That Kyler Murray Will Start For Cardinals In 2025
Brock Purdy3 hours ago

Wants Contract Done Sooner Than Later
Christian McCaffrey3 hours ago

"Definitely Close" To Being Fully Recovered
Jayden Daniels3 hours ago

Commanders "Not Concerned" With Jayden Daniels' Leg Soreness
Amari Cooper3 hours ago

Bills Hopeful Amari Cooper Will Be Available In Wild-Card Round
Erik Haula4 hours ago

Expected To Miss "A Few Weeks"
Patrik Laine4 hours ago

Misses Third Consecutive Game
Adam Larsson4 hours ago

Available Monday
Dakota Joshua4 hours ago

Out Week-To-Week
Elias Pettersson4 hours ago

Remains Out On Monday
Quinn Hughes4 hours ago

A Game-Time Decision For Monday
Aaron Ekblad4 hours ago

Unlikely To Play On Monday
Chicago Bears5 hours ago

Bears Seek Permission To Interview Mike McCarthy For Head-Coaching Job
Jalen Hurts6 hours ago

Still In The Concussion Protocol
Anthony Richardson6 hours ago

Will Be Colts Starter In 2025
Luis Arraez6 hours ago

Yankees Talking With Padres About Luis Arraez
Las Vegas Raiders7 hours ago

Antonio Pierce Expects To Return As Raiders Head Coach
Chicago Bears7 hours ago

Chicago Requests Interview With Mike Kafka For Head-Coaching Job
Geno Smith8 hours ago

Expected To Return To Seattle
Christian Watson9 hours ago

Believed To Have Suffered A Torn ACL
Seattle Seahawks9 hours ago

Seahawks Fire Offensive Coordinator Ryan Grubb
Chicago Bears9 hours ago

Bears Formally Request To Interview Ben Johnson, Aaron Glenn For Head-Coaching Job
Zay Flowers9 hours ago

Considered Day-To-Day
Michael Pittman Jr.9 hours ago

Dealing With Fracture In His Back
Brian Thomas Jr.10 hours ago

Tops Century Mark In Loss To Colts
New England Patriots10 hours ago

Patriots Request To Interview Ben Johnson
New York Jets11 hours ago

Jets Request Interviews With Arthur Smith, Bobby Slowik, Joe Brady
Jonnu Smith11 hours ago

Catches Touchdown In Season Ending Loss To Jets
Deshaun Watson11 hours ago

Suffers Setback In Achilles Recovery
Frank Vatrano14 hours ago

Nets Two Goals On Sunday Evening
Sebastian Aho14 hours ago

Leads Carolina To Victory With Three-Point Night
Bo Horvat14 hours ago

Scores Game-Winner On Sunday
Filip Chytil14 hours ago

Scores Twice On Sunday
Jake McCabe14 hours ago

Exits Early On Sunday
Philip Tomasino14 hours ago

Placed On Injured Reserve
Kris Letang1 day ago

Returns To Penguins Lineup
William Carrier1 day ago

Misses Sunday's Game With A Lower-Body Injury
Aaron Ekblad1 day ago

Sits Out Sunday's Practice
Travis Hamonic1 day ago

To Miss Up To Four Weeks
Linus Ullmark1 day ago

Out Week-To-Week
Frank Vatrano1 day ago

Signs Three-Year Extension With Ducks
Clayton Kershaw2 days ago

Intends To Pitch In 2025, Expected To Return To Los Angeles
Thatcher Demko2 days ago

Joining Team For Five-Game Road Trip
Pyotr Kochetkov2 days ago

Starts Against Wild On Saturday
Charlie Morton3 days ago

Signs One-Year Deal With Baltimore
Pete Alonso4 days ago

Angels "Looking At" Pete Alonso
Xander Schauffele5 days ago

Hoping To Find Success Again At Majors In 2025
Chris Kirk5 days ago

Starts 2025 Defending The Sentry Title
Max Homa5 days ago

Hopes To Rebound After Disappointing 2024 Season
Nick Dunlap5 days ago

Looks To Build On Impressive Rookie Season
Collin Morikawa5 days ago

Heads To The Sentry After Excellent 2024 Season
PGA5 days ago

Sungjae Im Hoping To Start 2025 Season Strongly At The Sentry
Russell Henley5 days ago

Closes Out 2024 Season Strong
Jason Day5 days ago

Looks Ahead To 2025 Season At The Sentry
Akshay Bhatia5 days ago

To Repeat Last Year’s Sentry Performance?
Ludvig Aberg5 days ago

Returns To The Sentry
Jesús Luzardo5 days ago

Jesus Luzardo Feeling 100 Percent
Maverick McNealy5 days ago

Making First Career Start At Kapalua
Corey Conners5 days ago

Making Third Consecutive Start At Kapalua
Viktor Hovland5 days ago

A Gametime Decision For Year's First Event
Tony Finau5 days ago

Making Sixth Start At Kapalua After Rumor-Filled Offseason
Justin Thomas5 days ago

Looks To Get Off To Fast Start In 2025 At Kapalua

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

MORE RECENT ARTICLES

 
Terry McLaurin - Fantasy Football Rankings, NFL Injury News, DFS Lineup Picks

Wild Card Weekend PPR Rankings for Fantasy Football: Puka Nacua, Saquon Barkley, Derrick Henry, A.J. Brown, Nico Collins, Terry McLaurin, Mike Evans

You might think fantasy football leagues are done until next September, but that is not the case! All sorts of new playoff league contests are kicking off this week, along with DFS contests, and our coverage will continue as always through the Super Bowl. If there's a fantasy or DFS contest to win, we'll have […]


Quentin Johnston - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL DFS Lineup Picks

Wild Card Weekend PPR FLEX Rankings for Fantasy Football: Jalen McMillan, DeVonta Smith, Quentin Johnston, Jaylen Warren, Jayden Reed, Amari Cooper

Traditional fantasy football leagues have come to an end, but there are still ways to win with playoff league and DFS contests starting this weekend. Our coverage at RotoBaller will continue as always through the Super Bowl. Like in the regular season, we're here to help you crush any contest or tournament you're interested in […]


James Cook - Fantasy Football Rankings, NFL Injury News, DFS Lineup Picks

Wild Card Weekend PPR Running Back Rankings for Fantasy Football: Bucky Irving, James Cook, J.K. Dobbins, Joe Mixon, Aaron Jones, Jaylen Warren

Hopefully, you captured a fantasy football championship or had big DFS wins during the 2024 NFL regular season. However, whether you had plenty of success or struggled, there are more ways to compete during the NFL postseason! With Playoff league contests starting this week and DFS contests, our coverage will continue as always through the Super […]


Jordan Addison - Fantasy Football Rankings, NFL Injury News, DFS Lineup Picks

Wild Card Weekend PPR Wide Receiver Rankings for Fantasy Football: A.J. Brown, Nico Collins, Jordan Addison, Ladd McConkey, Cooper Kupp, Khalil Shakir

Running backs stole the show during the 2024 fantasy football season, but there were several wideouts who exceeded expectations and could make a difference in fantasy football playoff leagues. Our coverage for playoff leagues and DFS contests will continue throughout the Super Bowl. Let's kick things off with our Wild Card fantasy football PPR wide receiver […]


Pat Freiermuth - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News

Wild Card Weekend PPR Tight End Rankings for Fantasy Football: T.J. Hockenson, Zach Ertz, Cade Otton, Tucker Kraft, Dallas Goedert, Will Dissly

The NFL regular season and traditional fantasy football season might be over, but there are still ways to compete. Whether you have joined a playoff league over at the FFPC or are navigating rankings for DFS purposes, we have you covered. Like regular fantasy leagues, tight ends are always difficult to navigate. We've got you […]


Baker Mayfield - Fantasy Football Rankings, Waiver Wire Pickups, Draft Sleepers

Wild Card Weekend Quarterback Rankings for Fantasy Football: Jayden Daniels, Jalen Hurts, Jordan Love, Baker Mayfield, Sam Darnold, Justin Herbert

It's NFL playoff time for 14 franchises, and it's fantasy football playoff league time for fantasy managers still looking to compete! Whether you're scanning Wild Card rankings ahead of your playoff-league draft or are just looking for another source to build your DFS lineups, we have you covered. Let's dig into the Wild Card QB […]


Justin Tucker - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, Kicker Streamers

Wild Card Weekend Kicker Rankings for Fantasy Football: Justin Tucker, Chase McLaughlin, Tyler Bass, Jake Elliott, Will Reichard, Cameron Dicker

Sadly, the fantasy football regular season is over. However, if you're still itching to compete, RotoBaller will provide coverage for playoff leagues through the Super Bowl. To get things kicked off, find out where kickers such as Justin Tucker, Chase McLaughlin, Tyler Bass, Jake Elliott, Will Reichard, and Cameron Dicker are ranked for the Wild Card […]


Bills Defense - Von Miller IDP Rankings, D/ST Streamers, Fantasy Football Team Defense

Wild Card Weekend Team Defense Rankings for Fantasy Football: Ravens D/ST, Chargers D/ST, Bills D/ST, Eagles D/ST, Buccaneers D/ST, Rams D/ST

The 2024 fantasy football season flew by in a hurry, and as always, there were plenty of surprise breakouts and duds. With those leagues in the rearview mirror, it's time to turn our attention to fantasy football playoff leagues. RotoBaller will cover these setups through the Super Bowl with a special focus on FFPC leagues. […]


Will Levis - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, Waiver Wire Pickups

2025 NFL Draft Order: Where Every Team Picks in the 1st Round

While fans of 14 NFL franchises are looking forward to competing for the Super Bowl, the other 18 are set to begin grinding mock drafts to see who their team could take in the first round of the 2025 NFL Draft. It's never fun to miss the playoffs, but the idea of adding a high-end […]


Jordan Love - Fantasy Football Rankings, NFL Injury News, DFS Lineup Picks

Fantasy Football Sunday Injury Report: Updates for Jordan Love, Zay Flowers, Christian Watson, More

Well, the 2024 fantasy football season is officially in the books. It feels like just yesterday we were discussing sleepers, breakouts, and busts as we eagerly awaited the start of the year. I’m always amazed at how fast the season goes. The injury report from this weekend was relatively small, but the injuries that occurred […]


Lamar Jackson - Fantasy Football Rankings, NFL Injury News, DFS Lineup Picks

What Are Fantasy Football Playoff Leagues? How To Play, Join and Draft A Playoff League Team

The 2024 NFL regular season is over. After Week 18, there won't be any way to play more fantasy football, and managers will be forced to sit down and watch normal playoff football with absolutely nothing on the line... right? Not really! There are actually ways to play fantasy football throughout the playoffs. And we're […]


Jahmyr Gibbs - Fantasy Football, Rankings, Draft, Sleeper, DFS, Running Back

2025 NFL Playoffs Bracket: Predictions, Picks for the Entire NFL Postseason and Super Bowl LIX

The playoff matchups are finally written, and the exciting home stretch is upon us. It's been a thrilling 2024 regular season, but the postseason brings a special competitive edge to every snap. Several familiar faces and a few new ones are looking to dazzle in their first taste of the playoffs. Teams are hitting the […]


George Pickens - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL injury News

Biggest Fantasy Football Busts Of The Week - Fantasy Outlooks For Sam Darnold, Tyreek Hill, Jaxon Smith-Njigba, George Pickens, Jordan Addison, More

The 18th and final Sunday of the 2024 NFL regular season has come and gone. Hopefully, you woke up on Monday morning feeling very good about how your matchup went. However, this week's slate of games was certainly stress-inducing for many fantasy football managers. Part of that stress was caused by a group of players […]