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Fantasy Football Winners and Losers of 2025 NFL Free Agency

Davante Adams - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News

The biggest NFL free-agency frenzy of 2025, namely the first few days of free agency, is now in the books, so the majority of the biggest moves have been made by now. There are still a few big names that haven't signed yet, but most of the most coveted players have found new landing spots ahead of the 2025 NFL season.

Of course, every time a player goes to a new team, they invariably step into a situation that's at least somewhat different than it was with their previous team. For some, it's hard to predict just how different things will be, but sometimes, it's clear that things are either worse or better than they were before. And plenty of players from this year fit on both sides of that bill.

It's highly relevant for fantasy football. Just last season, we saw running backs Saquon Barkley and Derrick Henry go from terrible offenses (the New York Giants and Tennessee Titans, respectively) to some of the league's best offensive units (the Philadelphia Eagles and Baltimore Ravens, respectively), and the results were that they both had monster seasons. The situation makes a huge difference, so let's break down the biggest winners and losers of 2025 NFL free agency ahead of next season.

Be sure to check all of our fantasy football rankings for 2025:

 

Free Agency Winners

Davante Adams, WR, Los Angeles Rams

Easily the biggest winner of free agency for fantasy football was Adams, who signed a two-year contract with the Los Angeles Rams. He'll immediately become a target hog on one of the best offenses in the NFL, led by quarterback Matthew Stafford and engineered by head coach Sean McVay. Stafford is still playing at a high level in the twilight of his career, and dips in his 2024 stats from the previous season can be attributed to a rash of injuries to his offensive line and wide receiver group.

The OL didn't pass-protect very well, and wide receivers Puka Nacua and Cooper Kupp both missed significant time due to ailments. But Stafford persisted nonetheless and led his team to nearly upsetting the Philadelphia Eagles, the eventual Super Bowl champions, in the Divisional Round. They probably would have won if running back Kyren Williams hadn't fumbled the game away.

Speaking of happier topics, McVay is one of the brightest offensive minds the league has ever seen. He's inspired changes in offenses around the league, and the McVay/Shanahan (referencing San Francisco 49ers head coach Kyle Shanahan) coaching tree is massive. Nearly every season, the Rams are playoff contenders, and they consistently have a great offense when they're not dealing with a ton of injuries.

McVay has a very clear plan for Adams, which will likely involve using him a ton. He could flirt with around 10 targets per game, and in an elite offense with one of the best WRs in the league playing on the same team, defenses should struggle mightily to contain him.

Adams is one of the greatest route-running technicians the NFL has ever seen. In the hands of someone like McVay, he will be extremely dangerous next season, and his fantasy football value should skyrocket as a result. He's 32 years old and will turn 33 in late December, but his time with the New York Jets showed that he had plenty of good play ahead of him.

Adams is the biggest winner of free agency by far.

Najee Harris, RB, Los Angeles Chargers

Harris gets an immediately upgraded offense overall, a better offensive line, and will play for another offensive coordinator in the Los Angeles Chargers' Greg Roman who implements a run-first philosophy. It's just like Pittsburgh Steelers OC Arthur Smith, who Harris played for in 2024.

And there isn't much backfield competition behind Harris right now, as the team released RB Gus Edwards, who was terrible last season anyway. Rookie RB Kimani Vidal doesn't seem to have the requisite athleticism to be a good NFL back, so he's likely not a threat to Harris' workload anyway.

Harris has played in 17 games in all of his four seasons with the Steelers. It's hard not to imagine that the Chargers love his blue-collar, workman's play style, and his durability as well.

This also bodes well for Harris taking the vast majority of the backfield work like RB J.K. Dobbins did last season. It doesn't appear that Los Angeles is interested in re-signing Dobbins, either, as he's still a free agent.

It's unclear what the Chargers plan on doing in the draft. But they have plenty of other issues to address, most notably pass-catcher. Among their wide receivers and tight ends in 2024, it was only Ladd McConkey who consistently got open, caught the passes thrown his way, and helped the offense move the chains.

The playoff game against the Houston Texans was a stark reminder of what happens when a team doesn't have enough good WRs and TEs and goes against a good pass defense.

Mike Williams, RB, Los Angeles Chargers

I'm not sure Williams has much left in the tank. He has a long and extremely concerning injury history, didn't play well in 2024 (despite coming off a torn ACL), and will turn 31 years old in the middle of the 2025 season (early October).

But this is a great landing spot for him. The Chargers don't have much talent at pass-catcher, and Williams reunited with the quarterback who made him a great fantasy option in seasons past.

Given the overall state of the receiver free-agent market and how this year's class is seen as lacking depth and talent, it seems plausible that L.A. will focus on other positions in the draft and kick the can down the road here, relying on quarterback Justin Herbert to play a ton of hero ball and carry his team on his back in the passing game while the aforementioned RB Harris plods relentlessly on the ground.

How much of his old play he can recapture is questionable, but he'll be a nice fill-in for what the team wanted WR Quentin Johnston to do. It let go of Williams and drafted Johnston, but it couldn't have gone more poorly.

While Johnston had a few touchdowns and one or two "big" games in 2024, he's largely been a massive failure, mainly because he has hands made of marble. He also plays smaller than his size. The strengths that he was supposed to have are somehow weaknesses.

So, Williams, if he can get healthy and hasn't lost most of his explosiveness, strength, and vertical jump, should once again be a nice deep threat and contested-catch specialist. He's 6-foot-3 and 220 pounds, and his skill set nicely complements that of McConkey.

I like this landing spot for him a lot, though I do hope the Chargers draft a young WR in the draft, and it could hurt Williams' fantasy value if that rookie played well.

DeAndre Hopkins, WR, Baltimore Ravens

This is a win for both the Ravens and Hopkins. Though he had one nice game with the Kansas City Chiefs in 2024, he was mostly underutilized. Chiefs head coach Andy Reid forced him into a rotation, which limited his snaps, targets, and receptions, naturally. He should get a bit more playing time with the Ravens in 2025, though maybe not a whole lot.

I almost put him in the "Honorable Mentions" section, though, because he'll likely be the team's fourth receiving option. He'll be behind wide receivers Zay Flowers and Rashod Bateman, both much younger wideouts who have shown promise but lack much volume, and tight end Mark Andrews, who is the team's clear best red-zone and end-zone target, given his size and athleticism.

I don't know what D-Hop's role will be, exactly, but I'm not expecting it to be huge. And he'll be in a run-first offense. It's just that quarterback Lamar Jackson was such an efficient passer in 2024, and his elite mobility and speed forced defenses to scoot their linebackers closer to the line of scrimmage, allowing the Ravens pass-catchers to get open much more easily.

He's also still a solid short-yardage and TD target, which helps. He's a nice addition to the offense and gets a slight upgrade in the situation.

Justin Fields, QB, New York Jets

It looks like Fields will be the starting QB for the Jets moving forward, considering the size of the contract he got. I'm not super excited about the offensive environment he'll be in or the talent around him, nor do I think he's set for another elite fantasy season, but he'll be the starter, so that's a win in itself.

I doubt this move works out nicely. But there's nothing to destroy a fantasy player's value like being a backup and not seeing the field. Fields will be fantasy-relevant in 2025, we just don't know how much yet before we see the offense. His rushing upside is massive, so even if he's a terrible passer (he is), he can still put up big fantasy numbers. I don't imagine it will be very consistent.

Evan Engram, TE, Denver Broncos

Engram will join a team with a good quarterback in Bo Nix, a good offensive-minded head coach in Sean Payton, and one with less target competition than he had last season with the Jacksonville Jaguars.

It might not be easy for him to be the TE2 in PPR scoring again like he was in 2023, but he's in a better place now than he would have been if he had stayed with the team that now has sensational wide receiver Brian Thomas Jr. hogging targets.

Engram is a great fit for the Broncos. For fantasy football, Payton's love of getting good tight ends involved in the passing game will be a boon for him. Jimmy Graham's monster seasons in New Orleans were under the tutelage of Payton, after all, and he's not afraid of calling a ton of plays that send the ball the TE's way.

Honorable Mentions: Raheem Mostert, Jaylen Warren, Aaron Jones, Geno Smith, Zach Ertz

 

Free Agency Losers

Cooper Kupp, WR, Seattle Seahawks

Kupp may have a better season in 2025 than he did in 2024. He'll be 32 years old before the season starts, though, and with a long history of injuries under his belt, I think it might be difficult for him to pull off.

Kupp has hamstring strains, several ankle sprains, an MCL sprain, a torn ACL, and nerve issues in his history, and he's now playing for a team with an objectively worse quarterback and offensive line situation.

With the Rams, he was force-fed targets until the wheels fell off. Getting phased out of a Sean McVay offense and subsequently released is a very bad sign. And he'll join a team with another receiver, Jaxon Smith-Njigba, who plays primarily out of the slot.

Perhaps they will split reps or move JSN mostly outside, but who knows? The team also signed WR Marquez Valdes-Scantling, primarily for his speed, who should play mostly outside.

The offense could be extremely awkward in the 12 personnel sets it wants to run. It's unlikely that JSN will be taken off the field for these, and what's the point in signing the speedster MVS just to have him off the field when the team has two WRs on either perimeter and none in tight or in the slot? Kupp could see fewer reps than we think he will.

I'm not sure he'll even be a full-time player, or mostly full-time, in 2025. I'm suspicious his usage won't be conducive to fantasy success, and rather than being in an offense that's willing to force nearly all its volume to its top guys, he'll be utilized more sparingly.

In addition, the quarterback situation is abysmal, as the team signed QB Sam Darnold, who completely crumbled under duress in his last two games, to play behind one of the league's worst offensive lines.

I do have a pause here. While I think Darnold was a clear downgrade from Smith, I trust offensive coordinator Klint Kubiak and think he's one of the brightest OCs in the league.

What I still don't believe in is the offensive line, which was also terrible at run-blocking. That could disrupt the plans of running the ball heavily and force the Seahawks to pass more. That would be fine for the receivers, I guess, but could lead to a bad unit as a hole.

Not a great spot for Kupp to be in unless Kubiak is a genius. The fact that the Rams let him go isn't a great sign, either. I believe he's completely cooked, but I guess we'll see.

Chuba Hubbard, RB, Carolina Panthers

Hubbard easily had his best season as a pro in 2024. He took the vast majority of the workload in his backfield, largely due to the lack of Jonathon Brooks playing time. He came into the season with an ACL tear and re-tore it after just a few weeks of limited volume.

This allowed Hubbard to rack up 1,195 rushing yards and 10 touchdowns and catch 43 passes for 171 yards and a touchdown. He finished as the overall RB14 in full-PPR scoring despite a limited pass-catching role and missing two contests.

I still like Hubbard's situation a lot, to be fair. The Panthers offensive line was one of the best run-blocking units of 2024, largely due to the excellent play of their offensive guards.

Specifically, the signing of left guard Robert Hunt, one of the league's elite run-blockers in 2023 with the Miami Dolphins, propelled Carolina's run game to new heights. Hubbard averaged 2.6 yards before contact per rush attempt, which was seventh in the NFL among RBs with 200 or more rushes.

But Panthers head coach Dave Canales likely hadn't envisioned giving such a big workload to one RB, at least not toward the end of the season. Brooks was set up to join a committee with Hubbard, and the plan was likely to have them utilized much more evenly.

That didn't work out because of Brooks' injury, and he could miss the majority of the 2025 season. So, Carolina signed RB Rico Dowdle in free agency.

Dowdle is actually analytically (and production-wise, other than rushing touchdowns) very similar to Hubbard. Both are around the same age, are between 6-foot and 6-foot-1, are between 210 and 215 pounds, and have similar running styles and skill sets.

One of the best data-driven analysts on X, Dataroma, broke this down nicely for us. Hubbard and Dowdle being used so interchangeably certainly won't be good for Hubbard's production. The tandem should be excellent overall, but the dip in volume will certainly provide a hit to both of their fantasy values.

Rico Dowdle, RB, Carolina Panthers

I'd imagine both these backs will be pretty efficient and both have decent value during the season, but it might be hard to predict which to start in any given week.

Regarding Dowdle, he takes less of a hit because he had such little touchdown production in 2024. This section will be very short, though, because most of the logic was explained above.

As an aside here ...  holy mother of god, Jerry Jones is terrible.

Isiah Pacheco, RB, Kansas City Chiefs

The Chiefs re-signed running back Kareem Hunt to a one-year deal. I can't imagine why they'd do this unless they thought Pacheco might never return to his previous form, realized that it wasn't a great idea to give him workhorse volume moving forward, or were impressed enough with Hunt's production and consistency to give him another crack at a job within this committee backfield.

This is terrible for Pacheco dynasty fantasy football managers and also delivers his value a big hit in redraft. It was widely thought that Hunt was just a one-year rental while Pacheco recovered, but his presence will present huge issues for the former Rutgers back moving forward. Pacheco's massive volume in 2023 allowed him to thrive and finish as the RB15 overall despite playing in only 14 games.

Though that's part of the problem. Pacheco's running style, which involves charging as hard as he can into defenders and bashing his head into them at full force like a medieval battering ram, doesn't help, and neither does the fact that he picked up injuries that caused him to miss games by fighting defenders, like his shoulder injury in 2023.

It's possible the Chiefs could keep Hunt for another year and draft another RB to develop in either the 2025 or 2026 drafts. They seemed perfectly happy with their committee system from last season, and drifting away from it would expose Pacheco to more punishment.

It's easy to understand why they'd want to avoid this. It also helps them manage the cap more effectively moving forward, as paying a highly productive RB a big salary hasn't been useful recently unless they're an elite player.

Pacheco seems unlikely to be the dominant fantasy back he was for stretches of 2023 again anytime soon.

Sam Darnold, QB, Seattle Seahawks

Darnold signed a three-year deal with the Seahawks after the Minnesota Vikings let him walk in free agency. The Vikings have one of the best possible situations for a quarterback in the NFL, which allowed Darnold to resurrect his career and thrive in 2024.

Their elite offensive line, elite pass-catching weapons, and elite offensive system engineered by head coach Kevin O'Connell helped carry Darnold to the best season of his career by far. Despite his final two games being dumpster fires, Darnold earned a nice payday.

Former Seattle quarterback Geno Smith was traded to the Las Vegas Raiders, and with the Seahawks, he looked like one of the NFL's best quarterbacks when you accounted for how bad the offensive line is.

Signing Darnold is a puzzling move unless you consider that it was probably desperation because he proved that he couldn't handle NFL pressure in his final two games of the season. It was atrocious. For reference, Smith was constantly escaping from pressure and bailing out his OL group with his mobility and intelligence in 2024.

Darnold, meanwhile, was incredibly uncomfortable under duress, and simply held onto the ball like a deer in headlights, frozen while the pass rush enveloped him. He completed just 16 of his 41 passes for 166 yards against the Detroit Lions in Week 18 and took nine sacks against the Los Angeles Rams in the Wild Card round of the playoffs. And just like that, Minnesota knew it couldn't retain him.

He's a match made in hell for a poor offensive line. The Darnold we knew with the Jets and Panthers was the Darnold we will likely see -- it's just what he looks like when the pass protection isn't very good. As I stated above, I'm a big believer in Klint Kubiak, the Seahawks offensive coordinator, but he'll have his work cut out for him.

DK Metcalf and George Pickens, WRs, Pittsburgh Steelers

I already broke down, in depth, the situation with these two here. There's not much more to write until Pittsburgh figures out its quarterback situation.

Honorable Mentions: Christian Kirk, Miles Sanders



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2025 Fantasy Football Busts: Overvauled AFC Draft Avoids

There are 16 teams in the AFC (obviously) meaning that there are plenty of players in that conference that will bust, obviously. Identifying them isn't easy, of course, but since it's my job to research fantasy football as much as possible and deliver you the best possible content, I'll try anyway. I want you to […]


Bijan Robinson - Fantasy Football Rankings, NFL Rookies, Draft Sleepers

Who is the Dynasty RB1 for Fantasy Football: Bijan Robinson, Jahmyr Gibbs, Ashton Jeanty 2025 Outlooks

The fantasy football world is seeing a change in the running back position. The 2017 NFL Draft class produced several elite fantasy football running backs. Christian McCaffrey, Alvin Kamara, and Joe Mixon have been three of the top fantasy running backs since their rookie seasons. Meanwhile, James Conner, Aaron Jones, Kareem Hunt, Dalvin Cook, and […]


J.J. McCarthy - Fantasy Football Rankings, NFL Draft Sleepers

Dynasty Fantasy Football Quarterback Sleepers: Undervalued Trade, Draft Targets (2025)

Pretty much every NFL season features quarterbacks breaking out for the first time. It's a big advantage for you in dynasty fantasy football to get out ahead of the breakouts and identify the players early. A revolving door of breakout QBs on your roster can give you plenty of leverage in trades, as you can […]


Kaleb Johnson - College Football Rankings, NCAA CFB DFS Lineup Picks - NFL Draft

2025 Fantasy Football Rookie Drafts: Best, Worst Picks In Rounds 1-4

You don't want to draft the below players, trust me. There are busts in every year's rookie class, and while some of them are tough to predict, others show clear signs that they aren't worth their capital. Many players have great fortune in college, playing on great teams that elevate their production and thus the […]


Matthew Golden - College Football Rankings, NCAA CFB DFS Lineup Picks, NFL Draft

2025 NFL Draft Wide Receiver Rankings: Top 5 Rookies

Last year’s wide receiver class was one of the best in recent history, totaling three top-10 picks and seven prospects coming off the board in the first round. Many have called this year’s class a massive downgrade compared to last year’s unit. Yet, the 2025 wide receiver draft class has several impressive prospects. There might […]


Brenton Strange - Fantasy Football Rankings, Waiver Wire, TE Streamers, NFL DFS

Winners and Losers of 2025 NFL Free Agency in Fantasy Football

NFL Free Agency has been quite the frenzy. At RotoBaller, we track it all for you right here! It might not always feel like it, but there have been a ton of impactful moves. And with every move comes a fantasy football impact, right? This article takes a look at some of the top winners […]


Jaylen Wright - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, Waiver Wire Pickups

Fantasy Football Breakouts: Running Back Sleepers For 2025

The running back position is in constant flux in Dynasty fantasy football, as depth charts are constantly shuffled around, teams often decide to move on from productive players and replace them with cheaper or younger options, and players have their first good seasons in their careers. We're mostly concerned with that last point -- RBs […]


Albert Haynesworth - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, Waiver Wire Pickups

Worst NFL Free Agent Signings Of All Time

With the free agency period for the 2025 NFL season now underway, many big-name players will find new homes as teams compete to sign anyone and everyone they think they need to help their squad. While many signings end up being good moves, or at least help their teams fill holes at certain positions on […]