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The Week 13 Sunday Night Football game features the surging Packers against the defending Super Bowl Champion Chiefs. Below you can read our Sunday Night Football matchups analysis article for the Chiefs vs. Packers game to help make any fantasy lineup decisions for both season-long and DFS.
Green Bay is looking to stay in the NFC playoff mix, while Kansas City needs to continue to stack wins to clinch a playoff bye in a few weeks. Overall, it should be a fun contest for "real life" and fantasy football.
Read our fantasy football breakdowns for these games -- the recommended starts, sits, and matchups we love heading into the Week 13 matchups. Good luck RotoBallers!
Be sure to check all of our fantasy football rankings for 2024:- Quarterback fantasy football rankings
- Running back fantasy football rankings
- Wide receiver fantasy football rankings
- Tight end fantasy football rankings
- Kicker fantasy football rankings
- FLEX fantasy football rankings
- Defense (D/ST) fantasy football rankings
- Superflex fantasy football rankings
- IDP fantasy football rankings
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Kansas City Chiefs at Green Bay Packers
Spread: Chiefs -6.0
Implied Total: Chiefs (24.25) vs. Packers (18.25)
Pace: Chiefs (23rd) vs. Packers (14th)
Chiefs Off. DVOA: 35.6% Pass (5th), -4.9% Rush (17th)
Packers Off. DVOA: 24.6% Pass (10th), -16.0% Rush (25th)
Chiefs Def. DVOA: -15.2% Pass (3rd), -0.7% Rush (27th)
Packers Def. DVOA: 8.8% Pass (17th), -5.9% Rush (19th)
WEATHER: This game is expected to feature a cold temperature with the possibility of rain or snow, but unless the rain or snow comes, it shouldn't have a significant impact.
Matchups We Love
Patrick Mahomes (QB, KC)
The Chiefs got off to a slow start down 14-0 before storming back to blow out the Raiders in Week 12. It forced Mahomes to throw for a little longer, which enabled him to get to 300 total yards and two scores. The hope here is that the Packers come out firing like they did against the Lions, pushing the Chiefs to stay more balanced because the matchup is very favorable for the run game.
Travis Kelce (TE, KC)
Kelce made sure to right the ship in Week 12 with six grabs for 91 yards. He's less impacted by the passing volume because he's the No. 1 target, but it still helps his outlook if the game is competitive.
Isiah Pacheco (RB, KC)
The matchup was great, leading to success for Pacheco as a rusher with two trips to the end zone. What was great to see was the usage in the passing game, which correlated with Jerick McKinnon being inactive. His five receptions were the second-most of the year and highest since Week 6. He's a great tailback to play regardless of whether McKinnon is active because of the matchup against Green Bay, but he moves into the top 12 if McKinnon is out again.
UPDATE: McKinnon has been ruled out, which thrusts Pacheco into the top 12.
Matchups We Hate
None
Other Matchups
Rashee Rice (WR, KC)
Much like Pacheco, Rice benefited from the absence of his teammates, namely Mecole Hardman Jr., who has been placed on Injured Reserve, and Kadarius Toney, who will be back in action in Week 13. He made a nice move to take a short pass 39 yards to the house, plus he earned 10 targets. There's always going to be volatility given the way they rotate their wideouts, but his route participation (68%) and target share (32%) hit season highs, and head coach Andy Reid commented on the improving connection between him and Mahomes. It's worth taking another chance on him as a top-36 receiver, especially if the Packers, who are vulnerable to slot wide receivers, keep it close.
Jordan Love (QB, GB)
Love has been playing well over the past three weeks, completing 63% of his passes for an average of 293 yards and 2.3 touchdowns at 7.9 yards per attempt. He's also adding about 17 rushing yards per game on the ground. After back-to-back outings with 40 passing attempts, it dropped to 32 last week, but much of that was game script. He's at home on a two-game winning streak, so hosting the Chiefs feels a lot less scary than it would have earlier in the year. He's a high-end streamer in what could be a shootout.
Packers WRs
The players supporting Love and Green Bay's winning streak have been their trio receiving corps, consisting of Jayden Reed, Christian Watson, and Romeo Doubs. Reed has emerged as the most consistent receiver while Watson maintains the ability to make big plays and produce spike weeks. Those two benefited from Luke Musgrave and Dontayvion Wicks missing Week 12, concentrating the volume and resulting in a combined 47% target share. Musgrave is going to be out for a while, but Wicks is on track to return this week. L'Jarius Snead is likely to take on Watson in coverage, opening the door for Reed, who deserves consideration as a top-24 wideout. Although, he is dealing with a chest injury and has yet to practice. Watson stays in the top 36 with a higher ceiling and Doubs remains a flex option, but both would move up if Reed misses.
UPDATE: Reed has been listed as questionable for Sunday's game. It seems he'll play, but we'll need more clarity over the weekend to know.
A.J. Dillon (RB, GB)
Dillon's performance on the field has been bad this season. He ranks 39th among qualified backs in rushing yards over expected per attempt at -0.39, 37th in elusive rating at 36.6, and 27th in yards after contact per attempt at 1.6. He turned his 17 touches into 81 yards on Thanksgiving against the Lions, most of it coming as a receiver. He's still useable for fantasy so long as Aaron Jones remains out, which should be the case again this week. He's a flex option with secure volume and opportunity.
Notable Injuries
UPDATE: Jones has been ruled out as expected, making Dillon a flex option.
Injuries:
Aaron Jones (knee)
Luke Musgrave (kidney)
Jayden Reed (chest)
Mecole Hardman Jr. (thumb)
Jerick McKinnon (groin)
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