X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Draft Rankings
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Value Picks
Player Comparisons
News and Alerts

Fantasy Football Positive Target Regression Candidates: Wide Receivers

George Pickens - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, Waiver Wire Pickups

The 2024 NFL season is quickly approaching, and as fantasy football managers, it is important to identify which players are likely to receive increased targets. Many factors contribute to these target upticks, including quarterback changes, coaching staff changes, and overall team dynamics.

In this article, we will discuss four wide receivers who are likely to see more balls in their direction for the upcoming season than they did in 2023. Those players are Demario Douglas of the New England Patriots, Jahan Dotson of the Washington Commanders, Drake London of the Atlanta Falcons, and George Pickens of the Pittsburgh Steelers.

This article will investigate how these wideouts fared last season and what changes on their teams could lead to more opportunities. These players are the ones to focus on if you're looking for players to step up in 2024.

Be sure to check all of our fantasy football rankings for 2024 fantasy football drafts:

 

Demario Douglas, New England Patriots

Last season, Demario Douglas led the New England Patriots with 561 receiving yards. He was consistently involved in the passing game, having an 18 percent target share. His role became even more significant from Week 7 forward, growing to 21 percent of the target share. The Liberty product failed to grab a touchdown in 2023.

The New England Patriots made notable additions to their wide receiver room in the 2024 NFL Draft, bringing in Ja'Lynn Polk and Javon Baker. These rookies were a move to address the team's need for depth at the position.

K.J. Osborn, joining from Minnesota, and JuJu Smith-Schuster, who had a subpar 2023 season with just 29 receptions for 260 yards and a lone touchdown in 11 games, are not expected to pose a significant threat to Douglas' role on the team. Kendrick Bourne's recovery from an ACL injury also presents more chances for Douglas to shine in the offense.

Douglas received 79 targets in 2023 but should accumulate more this season with improved quarterback play and a roster situation that puts him on top. Whether rookie quarterback Drake Maye or veteran presence Jacoby Brissett is under center, Douglas will have better quarterback play than he's seen with Mac Jones and Bailey Zappe.

 

Jahan Dotson, Washington Commanders

After an encouraging rookie campaign with the Washington Commanders, Jahan Dotson's 2023 season was a bummer. Despite a pass-heavy offense, inefficiency was an issue in the passing game. The 24-year-old saw 49 catches for 518 yards and four scores on 83 targets his sophomore season in the league. In his rookie season, Dotson posted 35 catches for 523 yards and seven touchdowns on 61 targets despite playing only 12 games.

The Commanders are a high-volume passing organization that will see improved quarterback play in 2024. Washington selected quarterback Jayden Daniels as the second overall pick in this year's draft, which is a considerable upgrade. Last season, Dotson caught passes from Sam Howell and Jacoby Brissett, but the new QB system should help the wide receiver thrive.

The Penn State alum is the No. 2 wide receiver behind Terry McLaurin. Dotson is expected to benefit from a new offensive system under offensive coordinator Kliff Kingsbury. The Commanders also hired Dan Quinn as their new head coach, signaling a fresh start for this talented offense.

With Curtis Samuel exiting to the Bills in free agency, Dotson's opportunities should increase, especially since he demonstrated his potential in games Samuel missed last year. Adding Luke McCaffrey as WR3 (selected in the 2024 NFL Draft) only strengthens the receiving group. With improved quarterback play and a new coaching staff, Dotson should see an increased share of targets in 2024.

 

Drake London, Atlanta Falcons

Despite inadequate quarterback play and coaching decisions, Atlanta Falcons wide receiver Drake London saw 110 targets in 2023. The arrival of Kirk Cousins as the Falcons' new quarterback is a boost for London's value. With Arthur Smith's release as head coach, London is in an ideal position to break out in 2024.

The soon-to-be 23-year-old saw 117 targets as a rookie. In his sophomore season, he saw seven fewer targets and played in one fewer game than in 2022. He put up monster numbers, but he'll see an increase in passing volume this season, leading to more targets.

His stats over two years, totaling 141 catches for 1,771 yards in 33 games, emphasize his potential for a breakout season. Last year, the former eighth overall draft pick led Atlanta with 69 catches for 905 yards. The team attempted the eighth-fewest pass attempts in the NFL. Additionally, the Falcons tend to run the ball when losing by multiple scores. The team threw the ball only 54 percent of the time when losing by multiple scores last season.

Atlanta has struggled with quarterback consistency and effective coaching. Still, the team looks to refresh with Raheem Morris as head coach and Zac Robinson as offensive coordinator. These coaches come from the Los Angeles Rams, a team that averaged the seventh-most passing yards per game last season (245.6). With the upgrades around London, there will be a positive target regression.

 

George Pickens, Pittsburgh Steelers

George Pickens of the Pittsburgh Steelers is one player to benefit immensely from a quarterback change. Kenny Pickett is no longer quarterbacking the Steelers. Pickett only averaged 6.3 yards per attempt last year. The Steelers signed Russell Wilson and Justin Fields, who have a better track record than Pickett. As a deep-threat receiver, Pickens will have a chance to flourish with quarterbacks who can air it out.

The departure of Diontae Johnson solidifies Pickens' status as the primary target in the Steelers offense. Last season, Pickens recorded 63 receptions for 1,140 yards and five scores on 106 targets. This was an improvement from his rookie season, where he tallied 52 receptions on 84 targets.

With only tight end Pat Freiermuth and rookie wideout Roman Wilson as his main target competition, the 23-year-old is set to see a considerable increase in his target share. In 2023, Pickens had a 21.9 percent target share, which is expected to rise with Johnson now in Carolina.

When Johnson missed four games due to injury last season, Pickens prospered, gaining a massive 28.6% target share. Pickens led Pittsburgh in receptions, targets, and yards in 2023. He tied with Johnson for the most touchdowns on the team at five. With Wilson likely under center to start the season, the Georgia product is set to be the team's top wide receiver for fantasy football purposes. Look for Pickens to increase his target share and touchdown total in 2024.



Download Our Free News & Alerts Mobile App

Like what you see? Download our updated fantasy football app for iPhone and Android with 24x7 player news, injury alerts, rankings, starts/sits & more. All free!




Win More With RotoBaller

Be sure to also check out all of our other daily fantasy football articles and analysis to help you set those winning lineups, including this new RotoBaller YouTube video:

More Fantasy Football Analysis




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Draft Rankings
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Value Picks
Player Comparisons
News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Kyle Pitts17 mins ago

Good To Go For Week 1
Tee Higgins27 mins ago

Listed As Doubtful For Week 1
Jordan Addison36 mins ago

Cleared For Week 1
Russell Wilson44 mins ago

Hopeful To Play In Week 1
Keenan Allen55 mins ago

Listed As Questionable Ahead Of Chicago Debut
Pat Freiermuth1 hour ago

Steelers, Pat Freiermuth Agree To Contract Extension
DeAndre Hopkins2 hours ago

Questionable For Week 1
Russell Wilson2 hours ago

Seen Practicing On Friday
Pat Freiermuth2 hours ago

Steelers, Pat Freiermuth Making Progress On Extension
Josh Downs2 hours ago

Officially Ruled Out
Tee Higgins2 hours ago

Now Looking Iffy For Week 1?
Ja'Marr Chase2 hours ago

Thinks Extension Is Within Reach; Willing To Play Without A New Deal
Jessica Andrade2 hours ago

Looks To Extend Her Win Streak
Natalia Silva3 hours ago

Looks For 12th Victory In A Row
Ja'Marr Chase3 hours ago

Considers Himself A Game-Time Decision For Sunday
Yanal Ashmouz3 hours ago

Looks To Bounce Back At UFC Vegas 97
Trevor Peek3 hours ago

Looks To Get Back In The Win Column
Miami Dolphins3 hours ago

Jalen Ramsey Signs Three-Year Extension, Becomes Highest-Paid Cornerback
Rashee Rice3 hours ago

Will Likely Play The Entire 2024 Season Despite Legal Charges
Chris Padilla3 hours ago

Looks For Fifth Consecutive Win
Tee Higgins4 hours ago

Ja'Marr Chase At Practice On Friday, Tee Higgins Sitting Out
Rongzhu 4 hours ago

Returns At UFC Vegas 97
Kyle Pitts6 hours ago

Says He'll Definitely Play In Week 1
Christian McCaffrey6 hours ago

Should Be "Fine" For Week 1
ANA7 hours ago

Tomas Suchanek Set To Miss 6-8 Months Following ACL Injury
Beckett Sennecke7 hours ago

Ruled Out For 6-8 Weeks
Marshall Rifai7 hours ago

Signs Two-Year Extension With Maple Leafs
DAL7 hours ago

Alex Goligoski Retires From NHL
NYR7 hours ago

Marc Staal Announces Retirement
Oskar Sundqvist7 hours ago

Resumes Skating
NHL7 hours ago

Dominik Kubalik Moves To Switzerland
Reynaldo López13 hours ago

Reynaldo Lopez Fans Season-High 11
Austin Gomber13 hours ago

Sensational Against Braves
Parker Meadows14 hours ago

Nails Game-Winning Grand Slam
Jacob deGrom14 hours ago

To Make Another Rehab Start On Saturday
Jeimer Candelario16 hours ago

Still Limited To Rehab
Ketel Marte16 hours ago

Could Return This Weekend
Brent Rooker18 hours ago

Hits A Pair Of Homers
Marquise Brown19 hours ago

Expected To Return To Practice Next Week; Could Play In Week 2
Mike Williams19 hours ago

In The Clear For Week 1
Brock Bowers20 hours ago

Stays Limited On Thursday
Cody Durden21 hours ago

Steps Up On Short Notice At UFC Vegas 97
Matt Schnell21 hours ago

Enters UFC Vegas 97 On A Losing Streak
Steve Garcia21 hours ago

Steps Up On Short Notice At UFC Vegas 97
Kyle Nelson21 hours ago

An Underdog Once Again At UFC Vegas 97
Sean Brady21 hours ago

Gets First UFC Main Event At UFC Vegas 97
Gilbert Burns21 hours ago

An Underdog At UFC Vegas 97
Ronel Blanco22 hours ago

Astros Skipping Ronel Blanco's Turn In The Rotation
Alec Bohm23 hours ago

Still Sidelined
Bryce Harper23 hours ago

Back In Thursday's Lineup
J.D. Martinez23 hours ago

Mets Reinstate J.D. Martinez From Paternity List
Matt McLain1 day ago

Pain-Free, To Resume Baseball Activities
Hunter Greene1 day ago

To Throw Bullpens Thursday And Sunday
Max Kepler1 day ago

Twins Put Max Kepler On 10-Day Injured List
Byron Buxton1 day ago

Feels More Soreness, Won't Rejoin The Team In KC
Kyle Tucker1 day ago

Astros Hope Kyle Tucker Will Make His Return On Friday
Zac Gallen1 day ago

Throws Six Innings Of No-Hit Ball In Win
George Kirby1 day ago

Fans Nine, Picks Up 11th Win On Wednesday
Jesse Winker1 day ago

Hits A Grand Slam On Wednesday
MacKenzie Gore1 day ago

Strikes Out Nine In Quality Start
Gunnar Henderson1 day ago

Homers In Three-Hit Effort
Stephen Curry1 day ago

Fired Up To Prove Doubters Wrong
1 day ago

Cedi Osman On The Brink Of Joining Real Madrid
1 day ago

Warriors Working Out Troy Brown Jr.
1 day ago

Mac McClung Signs Partially Guaranteed Deal With Magic
Talen Horton-Tucker1 day ago

Joins Bulls On Partially Guaranteed Deal
GG Jackson II1 day ago

Ruled Out For At Least Three Months
3 days ago

Jordan Goodwin Gets Camp Deal With The Lakers
RJ Barrett3 days ago

Thrilled To Be In Toronto
TOR3 days ago

Maple Leafs Among Teams Interested In Max Pacioretty
TOR3 days ago

Steven Lorentz Joins Maple Leafs On Professional Tryout Agreement
Thatcher Demko3 days ago

Resumes Skating
Brad Marchand3 days ago

Has Multiple Offseason Surgeries
Torey Krug3 days ago

To Miss Season Due To Ankle Surgery
Leon Draisaitl3 days ago

Signs Eight-Year Extension With Oilers
Nikola Vucevic4 days ago

Not Concerned About Trade Chatter
Trae Young4 days ago

"Value" Not As High
Rudy Gobert4 days ago

Timberwolves Want Rudy Gobert "For A Long Time"
NASCAR4 days ago

Bubba Wallace Unable To Sustain Qualifying Pace To Secure Playoff Bid
Kyle Larson4 days ago

Outdueled In The End
Denny Hamlin4 days ago

Builds Momentum For Playoffs
Ross Chastain4 days ago

Hail-Mary Attempt To Make Playoffs Falls Short
Kyle Busch4 days ago

Comes Up Just Short In Bid To Win His Way Into Playoffs
Chris Buescher4 days ago

Misses Out On Playoffs After Finishing Sixth At Darlington
Chase Briscoe4 days ago

Steals Win At Darlington, Earns Berth In Playoffs
Martin Truex Jr4 days ago

. Continues His Recent 2024 Struggles At Darlington
Joey Logano4 days ago

Quietly Collects A Top-10 Finish At Darlington
Ty Gibbs4 days ago

' Strong Darlington Run Derailed By Late Crash
Ryan Blaney4 days ago

Ends His Darlington Day Early In Lap 2 Crash
Christopher Bell4 days ago

Powers His Way To A Podium Finish At Darlington
Tyler Johnson4 days ago

Signs Professional Tryout Agreement With Bruins
Arturs Silovs4 days ago

Expected To Be Fine For Training Camp
Josh Norris4 days ago

Fully Recovered From Shoulder Surgery
Simon Nemec4 days ago

Sustains Upper-Body Injury Playing For Slovakia
NHL4 days ago

Filip Zadina Signs With Swiss Team
Seth Jarvis4 days ago

Inks Eight-Year Extension With Hurricanes
4 days ago

Saben Lee Joins Turkish Team Manisa
Klay Thompson4 days ago

Mavericks Aim To Make Klay Thompson's Life "Easier"
Jimmy Butler4 days ago

Reportedly "Likes" Brooklyn
Collin Sexton4 days ago

Sees Himself As Top 10 Point Guard In NBA
Reed Sheppard4 days ago

Expected To Play "Significant Role" For Rockets
Martin Truex Jr5 days ago

Should DFS Players Roster Martin Truex Jr. For Darlington?
Joey Logano5 days ago

Is A Great DFS Option For Darlington
Carson Hocevar5 days ago

Should Fantasy Players Roster Carson Hocevar For Darlington?
Chase Elliott5 days ago

Is One Of The Best DFS Options Available For Darlington
Ryan Blaney5 days ago

Is A Great Tournament Option For Darlington
Christopher Bell5 days ago

Is Christopher Bell Worth Rostering For Darlington?
Grayson Allen5 days ago

Committed To Staying Healthy
Kyle Larson5 days ago

Is A Top Favorite To Win At Darlington
Denny Hamlin5 days ago

Will Compete As A Top DFS Darlington Pick
Justin Haley5 days ago

Expect Justin Haley To Be A Solid DFS Value Pick At Darlington

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

MORE RECENT ARTICLES

 
David Montgomery - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News

NFL DFS: FanDuel Daily Fantasy Football Picks for Week 1 - Top Lineup Plays Include Joe Burrow, Joe Mixon, Tyreek Hill, Stefon Diggs, Chris Godwin

After an exciting opening night matchup between the Chiefs and Ravens, the Packers and Eagles will meet in Brazil on Friday to keep things rolling. However, business will pick up on Sunday, with a loaded schedule on tap for Week 1. In this article, I will be providing you with my Week 1 daily fantasy... Read More


Lamar Jackson - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News

2024 RotoBaller Challenge - Take Over an Orphan Team, Get A Free NFL Premium Pass!

  Who will be crowned champ of the RotoBaller Challenge? Did you miss out on drafting a team in the 8th annual RotoBaller Challenge? Don't sweat, there are still ample opportunities to join the battle for FREE! There are several orphan teams in existing leagues (teams that already drafted but the manager dropped out). If you... Read More


Romeo Doubs - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News

Who Should I Start? Friday Night Fantasy Football Lineup Decisions for Week 1 (2024) - Jayden Reed, Romeo Doubs, Jordan Love, Josh Jacobs, Christian Watson, Dallas Goedert, DeVonta Smith, DJ Moore

It's almost time for Friday Night Football. Who Should I Start? Who Should I Sit? We've got a special treat this year, as the NFL will have its First Friday game in Brazil. Set your optimal fantasy football lineups for Friday Night Football and Week 1 of the 2024 NFL season. Our free Who Should... Read More


Dalton Kincaid - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, Waiver Wire Pickups

Bold Predictions for Fantasy Football Week 1: Jared Goff, Trevor Lawrence, Rachaad White, Nico Collins, Dalton Kincaid

Week 1 is here, and I’m back with another edition of fantasy football bold predictions. This week’s list of bold predictions will include Jared Goff, Trevor Lawrence, Rachaad White, Nico Collins, and Dalton Kincaid. Every week, I will provide some fun and bold fantasy football predictions. While these bold predictions aren’t the most likely outcomes,... Read More


A.J. Brown - Fantasy Football Rankings, NFL Injury News, DFS and Betting Picks

Packers vs. Eagles Friday Night Start 'Em, Sit 'Em: Jordan Love, Josh Jacobs, Romeo Doubs, Saquon Barkley, DeVonta Smith, A.J. Brown, Jayden Reed

For the first time in NFL history, a prime-time Friday Night Football game will follow the traditional Thursday night kickoff game, and this game has a twist. The Green Bay Packers and Philadelphia Eagles will play a fantasy football dream matchup on September 6 in Sao Paolo, Brazil. This game, to be televised on the... Read More


Will Levis - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, Waiver Wire Pickups

High-Upside Bench Stashes: Preseason Waiver Wire for Week 1 Includes Jaylen Wright, Noah Brown, Isaiah Likely, Will Levis and more

Mastering the waiver wire is a crucial skill that can lead you to a fantasy football championship. It's not just about strategically placing your FAAB budget on specific players but also about knowing when to stash players. This dual strategy keeps you engaged and focused on your ultimate goal of winning a fantasy championship. As... Read More


Rhamondre Stevenson - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News

Week 1 Fantasy Football Busts? Players Who May Disappoint Include Kyren Williams, Rhamondre Stevenson, Calvin Ridley, Brock Purdy

Week 1: When your fantasy football roster is the best in the world and you'll go undefeated en route to a championship (spoiler alert: it won't happen, but it's fun to pretend). While you are all celebrating the return of football, your favorite Debbie Downer is returning for another season of weekly bust picks. Between... Read More


The King's Week 1 Lineup Rankings and Analysis (Premium Content)

RotoBaller senior writer Scott "The King" Engel provides his Week 1 lineup fantasy football rankings in PPR, half PPR, and standard scoring formats. He also includes an analysis of highlighted players at each position. Regular starting options are included to illustrate which top performers may pave the way to a Week 1 fantasy football victory.... Read More


DeVonta Smith - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News

WR/CB Matchups to Upgrade and Downgrade - Fantasy Football Week 1 (2024)

The data we access for offensive and defensive players continues to skyrocket. Though we mainly focus on offensive players, the defensive matchups and coverages sometimes take a backseat. However, the goal of this weekly column is to cover the potential wide receiver upgrades and downgrades based on the weekly WR/CB matchups for fantasy football. There... Read More


Tyreek Hill - Fantasy Football Rankings, NFL Injury News, DFS Picks

Fantasy Football Start 'Em, Sit 'Em - Week 1 Matchups Analysis

Week 1 of the NFL season is finally here, which means its time to welcome you back to our Week 1 matchups analysis and Start Em, Sit Em column for fantasy football and the 2024 season! With the Kansas City Chiefs and Baltimore Ravens kicking off the season on Thursday, it's time to make those... Read More


Josh Allen - Fantasy Football Rankings, NFL Injury News, DFS Lineup Picks

Fantasy Football Matchups We Love: The Fantasy Matchmaker Week 1

Football is back. The regular season kicks off on Thursday when the Kansas City Chiefs meet the Baltimore Ravens. As such, fantasy football is back in business and fantasy managers will finally get to see their draft picks in action. Week 1 is a feeling-out period. No team is completely buttoned up. Additionally, projecting success... Read More


Terry McLaurin - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News

Wide Receiver Matchups to Target in Week 1: Jaylen Waddle, Terry McLaurin, Tank Dell, Khalil Shakir

Week 1 of the 2024 NFL season is finally here, and with it, a fresh start to your fantasy leagues and DFS bankroll. One of the best ways to gain an edge in weekly DFS and prop betting is by paying particular attention to a wide receiver’s primary cornerback matchup. These matchups can be difficult... Read More


Deebo Samuel - Fantasy Football Rankings, NFL Injury News, DFS Lineup Picks

Booms and Busts - Fantasy Football Starts and Sits for Week 1 Lineups (2024)

Finally! Week 1 of the 2024 NFL season has arrived. All of the fantasy football draft preparation is over. That means it’s time to stop ogling over your fantasy football roster and start hitting the grind. Week 1 is no different than any other week, and your team must get off to a hot start... Read More