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Fantasy Baseball Third Base ADP Report - Draft Targets and Avoids (2025)

Junior Caminero - Fantasy Baseball Rankings, Draft Sleepers, MLB DFS Picks

The 2025 fantasy baseball average draft position (ADP) for third base steeply declines after the first four or five names.

This speaks to the varying skill offerings, uncertain trust in 2024 breakout names, and the realization by most early 2025 drafters that they can wait to wade through those giant middle tiers.

This ADP is from 20 NFBC Draft Champion drafts. You'll find the ADP tables below, along with my analysis of the ADP at the position, player values I like/dislike, etc. Reminder: this is simply the ADP data for third basemen, not my rankings.

Be sure to check all of our fantasy baseball draft tools and resources:

 

Third Base Fantasy Baseball ADP Analysis

Rank Player Team Position(s) ADP / AAV Min Max
1 Jose Ramirez CLE 3B 5.81 3 11
2 Jazz Chisholm Jr. NYY 3B, OF 26.33 18 46
3 Rafael Devers BOS 3B 31.56 14 46
4 Austin Riley ATL 3B 32.19 25 45
5 Manny Machado SD 3B 40.22 30 74
6 Mark Vientos NYM 3B 93.5 77 138
7 Junior Caminero TB 3B 98.75 77 121
8 Jordan Westburg BAL 2B, 3B 101.42 76 119
9 Royce Lewis MIN 3B 106.03 39 142
10 Jake Burger TEX 1B, 3B 121.61 88 149
11 Matt Chapman SF 3B 139.06 122 201
12 Alex Bregman FA 3B 140.03 124 165
13 Luis Rengifo LAA 2B, 3B 163.64 145 195
14 Alec Bohm PHI 3B 180.86 150 218
15 Eugenio Suarez ARZ 3B 183.08 153 269
16 Maikel Garcia KC 2B, 3B 208.42 173 262
17 Josh Jung TEX 3B 211.25 173 254
18 Nolan Arenado STL 3B 225.14 174 284
19 Max Muncy LAD 3B 239.75 190 291
20 Willi Castro MIN 2B, 3B, SS, OF 249.11 218 287
21 Isaac Paredes HOU 3B 262.36 178 341
22 Connor Norby MIA 3B 272.06 240 335
23 Noelvi Marte CIN 3B 274.58 156 346
24 Ryan McMahon COL 3B 275.06 192 351
25 Christopher Morel TB 2B, 3B 282.33 207 337
26 Jose Caballero TB 2B, 3B, SS 287.94 224 372
27 Joey Ortiz MLW 3B 297.17 269 339
28 Jeimer Candelario CIN 1B, 3B 298.61 272 338
29 Matt Vierling DET 3B, OF 316.03 277 340
30 Matt Shaw CHC 3B 320.03 227 429
31 Coby Mayo BAL 3B 347.75 229 407
32 Ke'Bryan Hayes PIT 3B 356.81 322 402
33 Josh Smith TEX 3B, SS 359.69 230 448
34 Jose Miranda MIN 3B 365.28 322 446
35 Jose Tena WAS 3B 375.25 314 445
36 Isiah Kiner-Falefa PIT 2B, 3B, SS 390.25 322 447
37 Ernie Clement TOR 3B, SS 392.36 333 521
38 Dylan Moore SEA 2B, 3B, SS, OF 398.03 344 460
39 Miguel Vargas CWS 3B, OF 448.39 383 529
40 Lenyn Sosa CWS 2B, 3B 461.56 363 576
41 Jace Jung DET 3B 474.44 349 541
42 Brett Baty NYM 3B 509.14 441 565
43 Paul DeJong KC 3B, SS 517.11 442 678
44 Max Schuemann ATH 3B, SS 545.25 462 648
45 Shay Whitcomb HOU 3B 551.03 352 702
46 Addison Barger TOR 3B, OF 563.97 417 724
47 Jared Triolo PIT 2B, 3B 572.81 469 726
48 Yoan Moncada CWS 3B 576.11 467 725
49 Edmundo Sosa PHI 2B, 3B, SS 589.03 475 717
50 Bryan Ramos CWS 3B 591.58 487 746
51 Santiago Espinal CIN 2B, 3B 603.5 469 703
52 Kyle Farmer COL 2B, 3B 609.28 412 701
53 Zach McKinstry DET 3B, SS, OF 612.64 505 684
54 Enrique Hernandez LAD 3B, OF 629.58 515 742
55 Oswaldo Cabrera NYY 3B 634.19 474 745
56 Gio Urshela ATH 3B 648.22 441 746
57 Ramon Urias BAL 3B 655.28 512 746
58 Brady House WAS 3B 661.17 432 744
59 Jose Iglesias NYM 2B, 3B 677.03 476 742
60 Ezequiel Duran TEX 3B, OF 677.08 530 736
61 Darell Hernaiz ATH 3B 696.17 452 748
62 Eguy Rosario SD 3B 701.89 582 747
63 Donovan Solano SD 1B, 3B 716.78 568 746
64 Oswald Peraza NYY 3B 718.25 405 737
65 DJ LeMahieu NYY 1B, 3B 718.78 550 748
66 Anthony Rendon LAA 3B 721.47 595 748
67 Gabriel Arias CLE 3B 734.14 455 666
68 Josh Rojas SEA 3B 734.58 656 747
69 Emmanuel Rivera BAL 1B, 3B 738.39 603 730
70 Chris Taylor LAD 2B, 3B, OF 742.22 641 741
71 Cam Smith HOU 3B 744.22 598 731
72 Brock Wilken MLW 3B 745.25 620 675
73 Graham Pauley MIA 3B 746.06 573 573
74 Jon Berti NYY 3B 746.42 661 730
75 Eric Wagaman MIA 3B 747.14 646 749
76 Oliver Dunn MLW 3B 747.83 681 707
77 Trey Lipscomb WAS 3B 748.72 678 742
78 Ildemaro Vargas WAS 2B, 3B 750.06 717 717
79 Tyler Wade SD 3B, OF 750.94 749 749

 

Third Basemen I Plan To Draft Most Frequently

1. Manny Machado - San Diego Padres
2. Isaac Paredes - Houston Astros
3. Junior Caminero - Tampa Bay Rays
4. Noelvi Marte - Cincinnati Reds
5. Matt Chapman - San Francisco Giants
6. Maikel Garcia - Kansas City Royals
7. Joey Ortiz - Milwaukee Brewers
8. Connor Norby - Miami Marlins
9. Ke'Bryan Hayes - Pittsburgh Pirates
10. Matt Shaw - Chicago Cubs

If you want stolen bases from a top ADP third basemen not named Jose Ramirez, who's elite regardless, you either pay for Jazz Chisholm Jr.'s game-changing contributions there or Machado's double-digit potential a round or two later.

If I'm not concerned about the batting average, I'd likely try for Chisholm. Still, in leagues where BA matters, I'd prioritize San Diego's likely cleanup hitter, which remains an incredible situation for fantasy production.

While the Pads' Statcast Park Factor ranks tied for second to last at 96, Petco Park continues to modestly improve home run potential: a 104 rating overall (ninth), 111 for righty bats (T-sixth). Machado has taken advantage:

Paredes' batting order role in front of Yordan Alvarez feels worthy of a fantasy target. Expect his price point to surge in the next month-plus.

Caminero's batting average in his first MLB action leaned heavily on success versus lefty pitchers, but he hit six of seven of his homers against righty pitching, which shows a foundation that is ready to explode. He turns 22 in July and, despite more growing pains to come, is worth the gamble among the group of names. Stash a more stable player in the later rounds of deep leagues to serve as insurance.

Even after the Jonathan India trade, Marte could be stuck in the Reds' plate-appearance shuffle in the infield, especially after the acquisition of Gavin Lux. However, the 23-year-old's power-speed combo could push him into a significant role that would compile valuable supplemental numbers at a fantasy corner infield spot.

Is Chapman a predictable HR and RBI grab? Sure. Does he require a large commitment of value? Not really in mixed leagues.

Is Garcia a predictable steals-first grab? Sure. Does he require a large commitment of value? Not really in mixed leagues. I can't hate that multipositional eligibility, either.

Ortiz's defense and versatility should keep him in Milwaukee's lineup all year. His hit tool carried his prospect hype, though, and another full year of experience should position him to increase his R+RBI potential while sniffing 20-20 territory. Norby carries a similar vibe with a much higher power ceiling.

Remember when Hayes was a middle-round pick in mixed drafts? Yeesh. The burden of proof that he can deliver on his past prospect hype is much more alluring in 2025 than in previous seasons. For a 20-20 year, if everything breaks, right? Why not?

Shaw's power remains in question, but the top Cubs prospect's bat speed, versatility, speed, and projectable extra-base offense should allow him to step into Paredes' abandoned role early in the season.

 

Third Base ADPs I Don't Love

Mark Vientos, New York Mets

It's difficult to criticize too many of these third-base ADPs, given the general reliability of the best names, a widespread acceptance of the risk-reward profiles comprising a giant mid-range group, the specialized targeting of those players with diverse skill sets that complete draft strategies, and the comfortable margin for error for those who wait. (If these mid-range names bust in mixed leagues ... who cares? Replacement value remains abundant.)

However, the most popular option after the top five is an apt case to examine.

While Vientos' pop looks real, can he take the necessary steps forward with plate discipline and sustain a pace close to his seemingly inflated 26.5% HR/FB last year? I'm not confident the flaws in the 25-year-old's game are baked adequately into his ADP.

The peripheral benefits of hitting behind Francisco Lindor and Juan Soto will keep his price relatively high, but the actual player's skills matter, too.

I get the urgency to grab one of the likely best players in that ocean of mid. Just be prepared to suffer the most from anyone drafting in those tiers if Vientos falls short of expectations.



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