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Fantasy Baseball Shortstop ADP Report - Draft Targets and Avoids (2025)

Tyler Fitzgerald - Fantasy Baseball Rankings, Draft Sleepers, Waiver Wire Pickups

Tim's 2025 fantasy baseball shortstop (SS) draft sleepers, targets, avoids based on ADPs. His favorite shortstop fantasy baseball sleepers to draft in 2025.

The shortstop position is quite loaded at the top in 2025 fantasy baseball drafts, allowing many managers to focus on the position early on the board.

This speaks to the varying skill offerings, uncertain trust in 2024 breakout names, and the realization by most early 2025 drafters that they can wait to wade through those giant middle tiers.

This fantasy baseball ADP data is from 40 NFBC Draft Champion drafts. You'll find the ADP tables below along with my analysis of the ADP at the position, player values I like/dislike, etc. Reminder: this is simply the ADP data for third basemen, not my personal rankings.

Be sure to check all of our fantasy baseball lineup tools and resources:

 

Shortstop Fantasy Baseball ADP Analysis

Rank Player Team Pos ADP / AAV Min Max
1 Bobby Witt Jr. KC SS 1.68 1 2
2 Elly De La Cruz CIN SS 4.03 3 8
3 Gunnar Henderson BAL SS 5.95 5 8
4 Mookie Betts LAD SS, OF 10.75 7 17
5 Francisco Lindor NYM SS 15.63 10 20
6 Trea Turner PHI SS 24.2 7 33
7 Oneil Cruz PIT SS, OF 41.18 22 57
8 Corey Seager TEX SS 42.13 24 54
9 CJ Abrams WAS SS 44.38 24 64
10 Willy Adames SF SS 75.43 56 101
11 Matt McLain CIN 2B, SS 105.48 86 139
12 Ezequiel Tovar COL SS 125.93 102 164
13 Anthony Volpe NYY SS 139.95 100 189
14 Bo Bichette TOR SS 151.08 97 211
15 Zach Neto LAA SS 154.75 64 236
16 Xander Bogaerts SD 2B, SS 158.58 139 235
17 Xavier Edwards MIA SS 164.3 131 209
18 Ceddanne Rafaela BOS SS, OF 168.48 132 210
19 Jeremy Pena HOU SS 170.2 130 198
20 Masyn Winn STL SS 174.58 151 203
21 Dansby Swanson CHC SS 181.78 151 274
22 Tyler Fitzgerald SF SS 225.2 140 270
23 Trevor Story BOS SS 237.6 185 329
24 Willi Castro MIN 2B, 3B, SS, OF 247.8 218 287
25 Carlos Correa MIN SS 259.75 226 315
26 Jose Caballero TB 2B, 3B, SS 287.7 224 372
27 Ha-Seong Kim TB SS 297.9 219 367
28 Jordan Lawlar ARZ SS 326.15 241 402
29 Jacob Wilson OAK SS 355.15 289 401
30 David Hamilton BOS 2B, SS 356.95 200 469
31 Josh Smith TEX 3B, SS 359.43 230 448
32 Brooks Lee MIN SS 378.85 268 444
33 Isiah Kiner-Falefa PIT 2B, 3B, SS 388.85 322 447
34 Luisangel Acuna NYM SS 392.13 235 575
35 Ernie Clement TOR 3B, SS 392.28 333 521
36 Dylan Moore SEA 2B, 3B, SS, OF 396.05 331 460
37 J.P. Crawford SEA SS 418.88 348 490
38 Orlando Arcia ATL SS 444.83 390 511
39 Trey Sweeney DET SS 454.9 391 584
40 Brayan Rocchio CLE SS 463.8 320 735
41 Geraldo Perdomo ARZ SS 465.3 403 605
42 Paul DeJong KC 3B, SS 517.5 442 678
43 Colson Montgomery CWS SS 518.23 455 599
44 Max Schuemann OAK 3B, SS 546.03 462 648
45 Carson Williams TB SS 552.33 358 640
46 Romy Gonzalez BOS 1B, 2B, SS 575.98 478 742
47 Edmundo Sosa PHI 2B, 3B, SS 587.45 475 717
48 Zach McKinstry DET 3B, SS, OF 612.8 439 726
49 Marcelo Mayer BOS SS 633.83 458 730
50 Jett Williams NYM SS 641.33 503 749
51 Scott Kingery LAA SS 657.65 537 737
52 Chase Meidroth FA SS 672.05 528 733
53 Kevin Newman LAA 2B, SS 673 551 725
54 Cole Young SEA SS 697.98 566 745
55 Miguel Rojas LAD SS 698.23 555 744
56 Javier Baez DET SS 700.88 517 729
57 Marco Luciano SF SS 718.1 561 739
58 Vidal Brujan CHC 2B, SS, OF 723.93 602 735
59 Liover Peguero PIT SS 726.6 535 746
60 Taylor Walls TB SS 735.8 548 747
61 Brett Wisely SF 2B, SS 739 595 743
62 Daniel Schneemann CLE SS, OF 742.05 650 748
63 Nasim Nunez WAS SS 742.08 606 740
64 JJ Wetherholt STL SS 742.18 593 703
65 Blaze Alexander ARZ SS 747.98 715 749
66 Tim Anderson MIA SS 748.35 660 736
67 Max Muncy OAK SS 748.48 683 742
68 Leo Jimenez TOR 2B, SS 749.03 672 672
69 Alex Freeland LAD SS 749.83 707 748
70 Nicky Lopez CWS 2B, SS 750 727 735
71 Nick Allen ATL SS 750.28 722 722
72 Leodalis De Vries SD SS 750.63 736 736

 

Shortstops To Draft Most Frequently

1. Oneil Cruz - Pittsburgh Pirates
2. Bo Bichette - Toronto Blue Jays
3. Tyler Fitzgerald - San Francisco Giants
4. Anthony Volpe - New York Yankees
5. Dansby Swanson - Chicago Cubs
6. Trevor Story - Boston Red Sox
7. Xander Bogaerts - San Diego Padres
8. Carlos Correa - Minnesota Twins
9. Jordan Lawlar - Arizona Diamondbacks

Given their tantalizing skills, I'm happy to invest strongly in any of the top seven (after that, we're going to keep talking). But I'll highlight Cruz, who might deliver the best ROI of these top 10 names.

The latest holder of the moniker Cruz Missile, the 26-year-old shoots lasers, holding the 16th-best barrels per plate appearance rate (9.5%), and even with a questionable Pirates lineup, Cruz could propel himself through his 30-homer, 30-steal upside to eclipse 90 in both run-centered columns within general 5x5 formats.

Fitzgerald cooled toward the end of the season but broke in a major way as arguably baseball's hottest hitter for at least a week. The league adjusted to him, though: After launching 14 HR on a .998 OPS in his first 200 plate appearances, he mustered just 1 HR and a .597 OPS across his final 141 PA.

The 27-year-old also will need to adjust versus breaking and off-speed pitches:

Tyler Fitzgerald must improve against offspeed and breaking pitches to sustain his 2024 fantasy baseball breakout

Still, the late bloomer shows obvious pop from a position that could rival more expensive options (more on that later), and he should lock in playing time for 2025 to crawl his way to a 2o-20 season. Enough doubt is priced in for me to attempt to cash in again.

Volpe remains in the Yankees' plans thanks to his elite defense, and a late-season tweak to his swing unlocked more thump in his lumber. Heading into just his age-24 season, the former top prospect could throw together a 20-homer, 40-steal season if the in-play luck aligns.

Let's not ignore veterans with 20-20 paces when healthy. Swanson, Story, and Bogaerts deliver established bargains in the middle rounds of mixed leagues that would be amazing middle infield deployments or acceptable starting shortstops in shallower formats.

Though stolen base upside is just about non-existent in his profile, Correa could deliver much of the four-category output that one of the biggest bust risks (more on him soon) could deliver, for about 200 picks cheaper.

Lawlar remains a solid bench stash even if you expect him to be recalled to the big club in June or July. A torn thumb ligament, hamstring strain, and woeful stretches against major-league pitching have dulled the once-top prospect's shine, but post-hype buying opportunities in drafts often lead to eye-popping profit with pedigrees like his.

 

Shortstop ADPs I Don't Love

1. Corey Seager - Texas Rangers
2. CJ Abrams - Washington Nationals

In RotoBaller's Early Fantasy Baseball Draft Busts, I wrote about how I don't want to overpay for Seager's "Zero Stolen Bases" contribution. When you're investing in that position early, target five-category performers -- or at least four-category stars who have the profile to surprise with batting average.

With no more than three steals in a single year since 2017, Seager hasn't even taken full advantage of the changing rules with pitcher pickoffs that have helped stolen-base frequency increase league-wide. Could he start seizing the day? Perhaps. But his stat line plays much more effectively for fantasy managers to keep pace at other positions.

Abrams, meanwhile, has a flaw that doesn't even consider his off-the-field mistake (staying out past curfew at a casino) that led to a season-ending demotion to Triple-A. While the power-speed combo certainly holds a certain level of reality, fantasy players should more strongly lean on the steals column in redraft leagues.

The 24-year-old carries two uninspiring power indicators from last season. He ranked (1) a middling 154th (tied) with a 4.8% barrels per plate appearance, and (2) tied for the eighth-lowest No Doubter Homer Percentage (25%) among the 92 players who hit 20-plus homers last year.

Though Abrams remains a long-term buy/hold, returns for this year might be limited if he can't take steps forward with pop.



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