X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Player Comparisons
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

FanDuel Daily Fantasy Baseball Lineup Picks (9/27/16): MLB DFS Advice

This is it, my friends. This is goodbye. Goodbye to the best daily fantasy day and sport there is - MLB Tuesday. It's been a pleasure writing these columns all year, and it's with a tear in my eye that I say - goodbye until next year. But first, actually, let's grab some cash one more time. In this article, I will be providing you with my daily fantasy baseball MLB lineup picks for FanDuel on 9/27/16. The DFS lineup picks will range from high-priced to low-priced options and identify options who will out-perform their expectations, including sleepers and value plays on FanDuel.

Before we get into it, let's take a look at over/unders, moneylines and park factors. The biggest over/under today stands alone at 9.5 - Brewers at Rangers - and happens to be the only game of nine runs or above. After that, it's a fairly evenly projected field with several games between 7.5 and 8.5 runs. The heaviest favorites right now on the moneyline are the Cardinals (-222), the Red Sox (-182) and the Giants (-187). As for park factors, the hitters with the highest positive park factors are the left-handed hitters of the Red Sox and Yankees, the right-handed batters of the Rays and White Sox, and the right-handed hitters of the Blue Jays and Orioles.

Editor's Note: Be sure to check out FantasyAces DFS contests. New users that sign up on Fantasy Aces and make a $20 deposit will receive RotoBaller's full season NFL Premium Pass for free (including Premium DFS), normally a $59.99 value. Expert DFS research, sample lineups, matchup ratings and lots more!

 

DFS Lineup Stacks to Target for FanDuel

The Texas Rangers against Jimmy Nelson

The Rangers have the highest run projection tonight at 5.5, and by a pretty wide margin, I might add. This game is taking place in a great power hitter's park in Arlington against the ever-so-hit-able Jimmy Nelson. For the season, Nelson has been serviceable, but he does allow a slugging percentage to right-handed and left-handed batters north of 4.30 and nearly 1.2 HR/9 allowed to both sides. The biggest reasons for the high projection comes down to two factors, in my opinion. For one, Nelson has been hit hard lately. He's getting squared up (23% line drive rate over past three starts) and in the second half of the season, his slugging percentage allowed is .480 - which is nearly 100 points higher than the first half of the season. Nelson has also performed much more poorly on the road than at home. The second reason, though, is that the Rangers have some hitters that have huge differentials in their splits - numbers that favor facing right-handed pitching - just as they do tonight. My favorite Rangers tonight are Jurickson Profar, Nomar Mazara and Rougned Odor.

St. Louis Cardinals left-handed batters against Robert Stephenson

The Cardinals have the second highest run projection of the night - 5.2 - and face a pitcher they should be able to tee off on. Their lineup is loaded with guys with excellent splits against right-handed pitching and Stephenson and his 1.6 WHIP and 2.2 HR/9 has little business being in the majors at this point. In 2016, left-handed batters have shown the most success against Stephenson. He's allowed a .387 wOBA, .563 slugging percentage and 2.93 HR/9 to that group. My favorite Cardinal hitters of the night are Matt Carpenter, Brandon Moss, Greg Garcia, and Jeremy Hazelbaker.

Also Consider:  Chicago Cubs left-handed batters against Ryan Vogelsong

 

DFS Starting Pitchers to Consider for FanDuel

Chris Sale (SP, CWS) - $10,800

Thanks to receny bias, we could see Sale at a much lower ownership rate than he should be at tonight. He performed poorly in his most recent start, but was electric in the two starts prior, averaging 57 FanDuel points in that span. He owns an excellent 1.02 WHIP and a really strong 9.2 K/9 rate. Tonight, he is of particular interest to me because of the elevated strikeout projection, which is thanks to the Rays striking out in nearly 27% of their at-bats versus southpaws this season.

Also Consider: Max Scherzer (SP, WAS) - $11,300

 

DFS Infielders to Consider for FanDuel

Catcher (C)

Willson Contreras (C, CHC) - $3,100

The Cubs backstop is listed a little higher in price tonight than you and I are accustomed to seeing, but he's still a nice value when you look at the matchup and what he's done lately. He has a .347 wOBA and .211 ISO split this season and an incredible 56% hard hit rate and 31% line drive rate in the last 15 days. Pretty safe to say he's seeing the ball well.

First Base (1B)

Brandon Moss (1B, STL) - $3,200

Moss against a subpar, inexperienced major league pitcher at this price is like stealing. Not only does he have excellent splits against right-handed pitching this season - .357 wOBA and a .312 ISO - but he's also smacked the ball hard over the past two weeks.

Second Base (2B)

Rougned Odor (2B, TEX) - $3,700

Odor is sure to be a part of my favorite stack of the night - the Rangers - and he'll be on my all-stud lineup as well. He has great park factors working in his favor tonight, faces a subpar pitcher and owns these splits in 2016 - .334 wOBA and a .242 ISO.

Shortstop (SS)

Asdrubal Cabrera (SS, NYM) - $3,300

One of the things I seek out when looking for big value in a player is a huge disparity in his splits. Cabrera fits that bill, as he displays a wOBA and ISO that 12 and 90 points higher, respectively. The difference in wOBA is marginal at best, but the ISO differential is noteworthy. In addition to that, he has a 35% hard hit and 23 line drive rate over the past 15 days.

Third Base (3B)

Justin Turner (3B, LAD) - $3,700

Like Cabrera, Turner is a big differentials guy, only the gaps in his numbers are even wider and his floor is a little higher with his .382 wOBA and .250 ISO. He has a good matchup tonight against Paul Clemens and has been squaring up the ball excellently in the past two weeks, as his 29% line drive rate in that time shows.

 

DFS Outfielders to Consider for FanDuel

Mike Trout (OF, LAA) - $4,100

The rest of my outfield is loaded with value - and I think there is a ton of it to be found across the board today - so paying up for Trout shouldn't be an issue. He has been a fantasy points machine lately, exceeding value in seven of his last 10 games, by an average of 5.6 points a night. He and his .424 wOBA split have an excellent matchup tonight.

Jeremy Hazelbaker (OF, STL) - $2,500

Hazelbaker is such a steal tonight. I can't quite understand why his recent strong performances haven't driven up his price, but this certainly isn't a complaint. Tonight, he faces a subpar pitcher that gets drilled by lefties. Jeremy and his .263 ISO split should fare very well.

Joc Pederson (OF, LAD) - $3,300

Young Joc has been crushing the ball lately, to the tune of a 42% hard hit rate over the past two weeks. He's got a good matchup against the subpar Clemens, and his .381 wOBA and .267 ISO splits give him a high floor with home run upside.

Also Consider: Jurickson Profar (OF, TEX) - $2,200 and Josh Reddick (OF, LAD) - $3,100

 

Full Season MLB & DFS Premium Pass

Get a Premium Pass for the entire MLB season - including the playoffs - for only $29.99. That's Premium access to over 10 tools, and over 20 valuable resources, for one incredible price. Here's a taste of what you get:

  • DFS lineup picks and cheat sheets for FanDuel and DraftKings - seven days a week
  • Three expert lineups: FanDuel, DraftKings, and Stack of the Day - seven days a week
  • Top DFS value plays, avoids and injury updates - seven days a week
  • Lineup tools: daily premium hitter and pitcher matchup ratings

 
All of this for just $14.99... it's simply the best deal around. No other site offers this type of deal. What are you waiting for?
 

 

Live Expert Q&A Chats - Every Weekday @ 1 PM and 6 PM EST (DFS)

Fantasy Baseball Chat Room

[iflychat_embed id="c-55" hide_user_list="yes" hide_popup_chat="no" height="400px"]

 

POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Player Comparisons
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Sebastian Aho22 mins ago

Leads Carolina To Victory With Three-Point Night
Bo Horvat29 mins ago

Scores Game-Winner On Sunday
Filip Chytil35 mins ago

Scores Twice On Sunday
Jake McCabe44 mins ago

Exits Early On Sunday
Philip Tomasino49 mins ago

Placed On Injured Reserve
Jahmyr Gibbs7 hours ago

Scores Four Touchdowns As Lions Claim Top Seed
Tyreek Hill7 hours ago

Played Through Torn Ligament In Wrist
Miami Dolphins7 hours ago

Dolphins Bringing Back Mike McDaniel, Chris Grier
David Montgomery7 hours ago

Completes Workout Ahead Of Playoffs
Courtland Sutton8 hours ago

Reaches 1,000 Yards, Scores In Week 18
Minnesota Vikings8 hours ago

Vikings Won't Trade Kevin O'Connell
Marvin Mims Jr.8 hours ago

Scores Two Touchdowns For Second Straight Week
Bo Nix8 hours ago

Saves His Best For Last To Get Broncos Into The Playoffs
Greg Dortch8 hours ago

Scores Two Touchdowns In Week 18
Karl-Anthony Towns9 hours ago

Questionable Versus Orlando
Trey Murphy III9 hours ago

Injured On Sunday Night
Ben Simmons9 hours ago

Might Miss Monday's Game
Quentin Johnston9 hours ago

Has A Career Game In Week 18
D'Angelo Russell9 hours ago

Considered Questionable Against The Pacers
Kyler Murray9 hours ago

Throws Season-High Four Touchdown Passes In Week 18
Justin Herbert9 hours ago

Has A Big Game In Week 18
Joel Embiid9 hours ago

Back On The Injury Report For Monday Night
Patrick Taylor Jr.10 hours ago

Goes Over 100 Yards In Week 18
Davante Adams10 hours ago

Finds The End Zone In Week 18 Win
Derek Carr10 hours ago

Looking Forward To Returning With Saints
Indianapolis Colts11 hours ago

Shane Steichen And Chris Ballard To Return In 2025
Aaron Rodgers11 hours ago

Throws Four TDs In Week 18 Win
Tyreek Hill11 hours ago

Done As A Dolphin?
Josh Downs11 hours ago

Productive On Large Target Share Sunday
Kayshon Boutte12 hours ago

Explodes Again Versus Buffalo
Geno Smith12 hours ago

Tosses Four Touchdowns In Statement Performance And Suffers Hip Injury
Tari Eason13 hours ago

Out On Sunday
Gabe Vincent13 hours ago

Remains Sidelined Versus Rockets
Anthony Davis13 hours ago

Cleared For Action Sunday
LeBron James13 hours ago

Good To Go Against Houston
Jonathan Kuminga14 hours ago

To Miss Time With "Significant" Ankle Sprain
Stephen Curry14 hours ago

Available Sunday
Kris Letang14 hours ago

Returns To Penguins Lineup
William Carrier14 hours ago

Misses Sunday's Game With A Lower-Body Injury
Aaron Ekblad14 hours ago

Sits Out Sunday's Practice
Travis Hamonic14 hours ago

To Miss Up To Four Weeks
Bilal Coulibaly15 hours ago

Ruled Out Sunday Against New Orleans
Jordan Poole15 hours ago

Out Sunday Against New Orleans
Linus Ullmark15 hours ago

Out Week-To-Week
Dejounte Murray15 hours ago

Available Sunday In Washington
Frank Vatrano15 hours ago

Signs Three-Year Extension With Ducks
Brandon Miller15 hours ago

Will Be Back In Action On Sunday
LaMelo Ball15 hours ago

Will Play Sunday Against Cleveland
Karl-Anthony Towns15 hours ago

Avoids Serious Injury
Keegan Murray16 hours ago

Will Play On Sunday
De'Aaron Fox16 hours ago

Ruled Out On Sunday
Jordan Clarkson16 hours ago

Sitting Out On Sunday
John Collins16 hours ago

Unavailable On Sunday
Clayton Kershaw2 days ago

Intends To Pitch In 2025, Expected To Return To Los Angeles
Thatcher Demko2 days ago

Joining Team For Five-Game Road Trip
Pyotr Kochetkov2 days ago

Starts Against Wild On Saturday
Joseph Woll2 days ago

In Maple Leafs Net On Saturday
Scott Wedgewood2 days ago

Unavailable On Saturday
Jack Drury2 days ago

Back For Hurricanes Saturday
Auston Matthews2 days ago

Returns To Action On Saturday
Jordan Binnington2 days ago

Shuts Out Senators
Brandon Saad2 days ago

Ends Goal Drought With A Hat Trick
Mike Matheson2 days ago

Records Two Assists Friday
Nick Foligno2 days ago

Pots Two Goals In Friday's Win
Charlie Morton3 days ago

Signs One-Year Deal With Baltimore
Pete Alonso4 days ago

Angels "Looking At" Pete Alonso
Xander Schauffele5 days ago

Hoping To Find Success Again At Majors In 2025
Chris Kirk5 days ago

Starts 2025 Defending The Sentry Title
Max Homa5 days ago

Hopes To Rebound After Disappointing 2024 Season
Nick Dunlap5 days ago

Looks To Build On Impressive Rookie Season
Collin Morikawa5 days ago

Heads To The Sentry After Excellent 2024 Season
PGA5 days ago

Sungjae Im Hoping To Start 2025 Season Strongly At The Sentry
Russell Henley5 days ago

Closes Out 2024 Season Strong
Jason Day5 days ago

Looks Ahead To 2025 Season At The Sentry
Akshay Bhatia5 days ago

To Repeat Last Year’s Sentry Performance?
Ludvig Aberg5 days ago

Returns To The Sentry
Jesús Luzardo5 days ago

Jesus Luzardo Feeling 100 Percent
Maverick McNealy5 days ago

Making First Career Start At Kapalua
Corey Conners5 days ago

Making Third Consecutive Start At Kapalua
Viktor Hovland5 days ago

A Gametime Decision For Year's First Event
Tony Finau5 days ago

Making Sixth Start At Kapalua After Rumor-Filled Offseason
Justin Thomas5 days ago

Looks To Get Off To Fast Start In 2025 At Kapalua
Patrick Cantlay6 days ago

Looks For Hot Start In 2025
Sam Burns6 days ago

In Top Form Ahead of Kapalua
Cameron Young6 days ago

Needs To Avoid Bad Rounds In Hawaii
Sahith Theegala6 days ago

Looking For Big 2025 Start In Hawaii
Hideki Matsuyama6 days ago

Always A Threat In Hawaii
Billy Horschel6 days ago

Seeks To Build Off Great 2024 Campaign

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

MORE RECENT ARTICLES

 
Jahmyr Gibbs - Fantasy Football, Rankings, Draft, Sleeper, DFS, Running Back

2025 NFL Playoffs Bracket: Predictions, Picks for the Entire NFL Postseason and Super Bowl LIX

The playoff matchups are finally written, and the exciting home stretch is upon us. It's been a thrilling 2024 regular season, but the postseason brings a special competitive edge to every snap. Several familiar faces and a few new ones are looking to dazzle in their first taste of the playoffs. Teams are hitting the […]


George Pickens - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL injury News

Biggest Fantasy Football Busts Of The Week - Fantasy Outlooks For Sam Darnold, Tyreek Hill, Jaxon Smith-Njigba, George Pickens, Jordan Addison, more

The 18th and final Sunday of the 2024 NFL regular season has come and gone. Hopefully, you woke up on Monday morning feeling very good about how your matchup went. However, this week's slate of games was certainly stress-inducing for many fantasy football managers. Part of that stress was caused by a group of players […]


Chiefs Defense - Fantasy Football D/ST Streamers, Team Defense Rankings, IDP Waiver Wire

Where is the Super Bowl This Year? Super Bowl LIX Date, Time, Location

The regular season is finally over. All the playoff teams are now set, and we only have one week before the postseason begins. It's never too early to start thinking about the Super Bowl, and while it may seem that the repeat champions from the 2022 and 2023 season will simply win it again, we […]


Josh Allen - Fantasy Football Rankings, NFL Injury News, DFS Lineup Picks

FFPC Playoff Challenge - Fantasy Football Lineup Strategies for 2024 Playoff Leagues

Whether you captured a fantasy football title or fell just short of taking home your league's championship trophy, you are surely looking for more action during the NFL postseason! The FFPC (Fantasy Football Players Championship) has established itself as the leader in high-stakes competitive fantasy football they have you covered for playoff contests. Once again, […]


Baker Mayfield, Mike Evans - Tampa Bay Bucs, Fantasy Football

Fantasy Football Start 'Em, Sit 'Em - Week 18 Matchups Analysis

Welcome back, RotoBallers, to another start'em and sit'em piece as we look ahead to Week 18! This Week 18 matchups analysis and Start 'Em, Sit 'Em will help you make the right lineup decisions in the final week of the regular season.  Whether you play in a Week 18 fantasy football championship or are looking for some DFS […]


Amon-Ra St. Brown - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News

Vikings vs. Lions Sunday Night Football Start 'Em, Sit 'Em: Sam Darnold, Jared Goff, Aaron Jones, Jahmyr Gibbs, Justin Jefferson, Amon-Ra St. Brown, and more

With a small group of fantasy managers still battling it out for league championships, we have an excellent matchup for Sunday Night Football between two teams who are very capable of providing offensive fireworks. The Minnesota Vikings and Detroit Lions are set to square off in a Week 18 primetime matchup. This one is for […]


Patrick Mahomes - Fantasy Football Rankings, NFL Injury News, DFS Lineup Picks

NFL Inactives Week 18 (Updated): Which Teams Are Resting Starters? Who's Sitting or Playing in Week 18

If your fantasy football league extends to Week 18, you either forgot to change that setting, or you love living on the edge. The final week of the NFL regular season is always tricky to navigate, as several teams either do not play their key starters or pull them early. Many teams have already clinched […]


Joe Flacco - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News

Quarterback Start 'Em, Sit 'Em Picks for Fantasy Football Playoffs - Week 18 (2024)

It's Week 18, finally. The quarterback position has been a roller coaster this season, with a lot of unexpected names having big seasons and others disappointing massively. It's not always easy to choose who to start and sit at this position, and many fantasy managers probably have multiple QBs they're considering for their starting lineups. […]


NFL Week 18 Predictions: Picks, Analysis, and Motivations for Every Game

Hello, football fans, and welcome to the final week of the NFL regular season! As we head into Week 18, we got things kicked off with a pair of games on Saturday featuring four AFC North squads. Moving into Sunday, motivation will be key for several teams in the regular-season finale. Who is fighting to […]


Amari Cooper - Fantasy Football Rankings, NFL Injury News, DFS Lineup Picks

Fantasy Football Injury Reports For Week 18 (Sunday Morning Updates): Tony Pollard, Amari Cooper, Darnell Mooney, Austin Ekeler, and more

Heading into Week 18 of the NFL season, injuries continue to impact the upcoming schedule. These play a huge factor in start/sit decisions for fantasy managers. Our injury updates and reports for Week 18 as of Sunday, January 5, 2025, will give you the latest updates on key fantasy football players. The injury news for […]


Sam Darnold - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News

NFL DFS Lineup Picks For FanDuel, DraftKings - Vikings vs. Lions SNF Showdown (Week 18)

Welcome back, RotoBallers! It's the showdown we've all been waiting for and certainly the most pivotal of all showdowns through this point of the season. We have Sam Darnold and the Minnesota Vikings (14-2) taking on division rival Jared Goff and the Detroit Lions (14-2). Not only is this game for the NFC North crown, […]


Michael Penix Jr. - Fantasy Football Rankings, NFL Injury News, DFS Lineup Picks

Week 18 Superflex 2QB Rankings for Fantasy Football: Updates for Sam Darnold, Bryce Young, Michael Penix Jr., Joshua Dobbs, Drew Lock, Drake Maye

The Week 18 slate is here, meaning several teams who are eliminated from postseason action or have already locked up a playoff spot are set to rest some key starters. We're here to help you sort through it all with our Week 18 fantasy football Superflex rankings (2QB) for 2024. If you're still chasing a […]


Zach Charbonnet - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL DFS Picks

Week 18 PPR Rankings for Fantasy Football Playoffs: Overall Updates Include Isaac Guerendo, Zach Charbonnet, Blake Corum, Jordan Addison, Jayden Reed

If your league championship is in Week 18, you surely already know it's a difficult week to navigate. Below, you'll see our NFL team's updated Week 18 fantasy football PPR rankings for 2024. Let's see where key players like Isaac Guerendo, Zach Charbonnet, Blake Corum, Jordan Addison, and Jayden Reed stand for the must-win Week […]