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Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Atlanta Falcons, another article in our weekly series of free NFL betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free NFL betting breakdown article is for Sunday, December 4th, 2022.
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Today's Betting Overview - Steelers @ Falcons
The Steelers take on the Falcons on Sunday, December 4th at Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta. RotoBaller provides free handicapping picks and odds for all NFL games throughout the 2022 season.
- Matchup: Pittsburgh Steelers (4-7) vs. Atlanta Falcons (5-7)
- Date: Sunday, December 4th, 2022
- Time: 1:00 PM ET
- Venue: Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Today's NFL Sportsbook Odds - Steelers @ Falcons
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Pittsburgh Steelers - NFL Betting Analysis
The Steelers head into week 13 looking for another win, as they picked up 7 point victory over the Indianapolis Colts (24-17). In terms of betting, Pittsburgh picked up an ATS win, as they were the 2.5-point underdogs. By the end of the game, the teams combined for 41 points, surpassing the betting line of 39. Pittsburgh went into the 4th quarter of the game trailing by 1 at 17-16 but still came back to win and cover the spread as underdogs. Through 11 games, the Steelers have an ATS record of 5-5-1. So far, they have an over-under record of 5-6. This week's betting total of 43.0 is right in line with their previous games.
As the Steelers prepare to take on Atlanta, they are ranked 28th in points per game at 17.64. Look for the team to put together a strong offensive performance vs a Falcons defense giving up 29.3 points per game. Although the Steelers come into the game ranked just 25th in pass yards per game, they will benefit from facing an Atlanta secondary that is vulnerable through the air. On the ground, Pittsburgh is averaging 113.6 yards per game which is 21st in the league. This week, they have a good matchup vs a defense allowing 127.5 yards per game on the ground.
Atlanta Falcons - NFL Betting Analysis
In week 12, the Atlanta Falcons dropped their NFC matchup against the Commanders by a score of 19-13. Not only did Atlanta lose the game, they also failed to cover the spread. Going into the game, the team was 3.5-point underdog. The two teams combined point total of 32 remained below the betting line of 40. The Falcons were not able to make a comeback in last week's game, as they trailed Washington by a score of 16-13 heading into the final quarter. Through 12 games, the Falcons have an ATS record of 7-5. So far, they have an over-under record of 6-6. This week's betting total of 43.0 is right in line with their previous games.
Heading into this week's matchup, the Falcons' offense is averaging 22.67 points per game, placing them 14th in the NFL. So far, the Falcons are 31st in pass yards per game and are matched up with one of the worst secondaries in the league. For the season, the Steelers are allowing 263 passing yards per game. On the ground, Atlanta is 2nd in the league in rush play percentage, turning to the run on 56% of their plays. This emphasis on the run has led to an average of 160 yards per game.
Today's NFL Betting Pick - Steelers vs. Falcons
Heading into the game, Atlanta will look to turn things around in the series, as the Steelers have won each of the last 3 games. The over-under record in these games sits at 1-2, with the average scoring total coming in at 43.0 points. Pittsburgh and Atlanta did not play each other in the 2021-2022 regular season.
The Pittsburgh Steelers have covered the spread in each of the last 3 contests. On average, the Steelers have averaged 27.67 points per game in the past 3 head-to-head matchups, compared to Atlanta at 15.33.
Over their last 3 regular season games, the Steelers have gone 2-1 straight up. In addition, their ATS record over this stretch is 2-1 while posting a 2-1 over-under mark.
Although Pittsburgh has a straight-up record of 1-2 in their last 3 road games, they have not held up as well vs the spread going 2-1. The team averaged 15.67 points per game in these games.
Through their 3 most recent regular season matchups, the Falcons have gone 1-2. In a similar fashion, the team's record vs the spread in these games was just 1-2. Their over-under record in this span was 1-2.
When looking at their past 3 home matchups, Atlanta has an ATS record of 1-2 while averaging 27.0 per game. The team went 2-1 overall in these games.
Recommended ATS Betting Pick: Steelers +1
Recommended OU Betting Pick: Over 43.0
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