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Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the Green Bay Packers vs. Atlanta Falcons, another article in our weekly series of free NFL betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free NFL betting breakdown article is for Sunday, September 17th, 2023.
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Today's Betting Overview - Packers @ Falcons
The Packers take on the Falcons on Sunday, September 17th at Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta. RotoBaller provides free handicapping picks and odds for all NFL games throughout the 2023 season.
- Matchup: Green Bay Packers (1-0) vs. Atlanta Falcons (1-0)
- Date: Sunday, September 17th, 2023
- Time: 1:00 PM ET
- Venue: Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Today's NFL Sportsbook Odds - Packers @ Falcons
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Green Bay Packers - NFL Betting Analysis
In their opening game of the season, the Packers hit the road to take on the Bears and secured a 38-20 win. In additon to winning straight-up, the Packers covered the spread as 1 point underdogs. Combining for 41 points with Chicago, the team's exceeded the over/under line of 41.
On offense, the Packers finished 329 yards against the Bears. On third-down situations, the Packers had 56.2% conversion rate. Notably, Aaron Jones led the rushing attack with 41 yards, while Jordan Love passed for 245 yards. Aaron Jones is coming off a game in which he led Green Bay with 86 on two receptions.
Against the Bears' offense, the Packers allowed 311 yards of total offense. Of these yards, 122 were attributed to the rushing defense, while 189 yards were surrendered on 37 pass attempts.
Atlanta Falcons - NFL Betting Analysis
The Falcons' season commenced with them taking on the Panthers, leading to a 24-10 win. Against the spread, the Falcons' 14-point win was enough to cover as 3.5-point favorites. After combining for 40.5
Offensively, Desmond Ridder finished with 115 passing yards while completing 83% of his passes. On the ground, the Falcons rushed the ball 26 times for 130 yards. The team converted 2 of 10 third-down opportunites. Kyle Pitts is coming off a game in which he led Atlanta with 44 on two receptions.
Defensively, the Falcons recorded two interceptions against the Panthers and allowed a total of 127 passing yards. The rush defense gave up 154 yards on 32 attempts.
Today's NFL Betting Pick - Packers vs. Falcons
The Packers and Falcons did not have any head-to-head matchups last season. But over the last three times playing each other, the Packers have a record of 2-1. The Packers also had the edge vs. the spread in these games, at 2-1. These games averaged a combined total of 52 points per game leading to an over/under record of 2-1.
- When looking at their past three road matchups, Green Bay has an ATS record of 3-0 while averaging 30 per game. The team went 3-0 overall in these games.
- Although Atlanta has a straight up record of 0-5 in their last five home games, they have not held up as well vs the spread going 1-4. The team averaged 14 points per game in these games.
- As the betting underdog, the Falcons have an ATS mark of just 1-4 in their last five games. Atlanta posted a straight up mark of 0-5 in these matchups.
- Going back to their last ten games as the favorite, the Packers have a straight up record of 4-6. But, their mark vs the spread was just 3-7.
Recommended ATS Betting Pick: Falcons +1.5
Recommended OU Betting Pick: Under 40.5
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