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Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the Cleveland Browns vs. Atlanta Falcons, another article in our weekly series of free NFL betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free NFL betting breakdown article is for Sunday, October 2nd, 2022.
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Today's Betting Overview - Browns @ Falcons
The Browns take on the Falcons on Sunday, October 2nd at Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta. RotoBaller provides free handicapping picks and odds for all NFL games throughout the 2022 season.
- Matchup: Cleveland Browns (2-1) vs. Atlanta Falcons (1-2)
- Date: Sunday, October 2nd, 2022
- Time: 1:00 PM ET
- Venue: Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Today's NFL Sportsbook Odds - Browns @ Falcons
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Cleveland Browns - NFL Betting Analysis
This week, the Browns will look to keep things rolling, after picking up a 29-17 win over their division rival, the Pittsburgh Steelers. Besides winning straight up, the Browns also came away with an ATS win as the -4.5 point favorites. By the end of the game, the teams combined for 46 points, surpassing the betting line of 38. On their way to picking up a 12 point win, Cleveland held a 2 point lead heading into the 4th quarter at 16-14. Through 3 games, the Browns have an ATS record of 2-1. So far, they have an over-under record of 3-0. This week's betting total of 50.0 is higher than the line in their previous games.
As the Browns prepare to take on Atlanta, they have played well on offense, ranking 6th in points per game at 28.33. Look for the team to put together another strong offensive performance, as they are facing a Falcons defense giving up 27 points per game. Although the Browns come into the game ranked just 27th in pass yards per game, they will benefit from facing an Atlanta secondary that is vulnerable through the air. We expect Cleveland to have an above average performance in the passing attack. On the ground, the Browns come into the game averaging 190.67 yards per game, placing them 1st in the league. However, our projections show they could be in line for let down game in this week's matchup vs Atlanta.
Atlanta Falcons - NFL Betting Analysis
This week, the Falcons will look to keep things rolling, after picking up a 27-23 over the Seattle Seahawks. Going into last week's matchup, Atlanta was 1.0 point underdogs on the spread. The teams combined for a total of 50 points, which surpassed the over-under betting line of 43. Despite being the 1.0 point underdogs heading into the game, the Falcons held a 4 point lead heading into the 4th quarter. Through 3 games, the Browns have an ATS record of 2-1. So far, they have an over-under record of 3-0. This week's betting total of 50.0 is higher than the line in their previous games.
Heading into this week's matchup, the Falcons offense is averaging 26.67 points per game, placing them 9th in the NFL. Despite, Atlanta comes into the game with a good matchup on offense, our projections show that the team could be in line for a below average scoring performance. Although the Falcons come into the game ranked just 26th in pass yards per game, they will benefit from facing a Cleveland secondary that is vulnerable through the air. We expect Atlanta to have an above average performance in the passing attack. A key matchup to watch through the game is if Atlanta will be able to run the ball with their usual effectivness? Even though they are averaging 156.67 yards per game on the ground, look for them to struggle against a defense that can be tough to run against.
Today's NFL Betting Pick - Browns vs. Falcons
Looking back at the recent matchups between Cleveland and Atlanta, the Falcons have taken 4 of the last 5 contests. The two teams have combined to average 38.8 points per game in their last 5 meetings. Cleveland and Atlanta did not play each other in the 2021-2022 regular season.
The Cleveland Browns have performed well vs the spread in recent games, going 2-1. On average, the Browns have averaged 21.0 points per game in the past 5 head-to-head matchups, compared to Atlanta at 17.8.
Through their last 3 games, the Browns have a record of 2-1. The team has also been excellent vs the spread, going 2-1. Their over-under record in these games was 3-0
Across the Browns last 3 road games, the team averaged 20.67 points per game while allowing 24.67. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 2-1, while going 1-2 straight-up.
Across their previous 3 regular season games, the Falcons have a straight up record of just 1-2. In addition, the team has not done well vs the spread, going 3-0. Their over-under record in these games was 3-0.
In their last 3 games at home, the Falcons have a straight up record of 1-2 while going 1-2 vs the spread. The team averaged 22.0 points per game in this stretch.
Recommended ATS Betting Pick: Browns -1.5
Recommended OU Betting Pick: Over 50.0
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