RADIO
BALLER MOVE: Draft target ~pick 58
CURRENT ADP: ~73 overall
ANALYSIS: Suárez had offseason shoulder surgery in January 2020 and said he was 100% by June. The .268 ISO and 15 home runs in 57 games backed that up, but fantasy owners got burned by a .202 average. Stare long and hard at the .214 BABIP and realize that’s nearly 100 points lower than his previous career-worst mark, which was .304 back in 2016. A career .310 BABIP points to his usual average in the .260-.280 range but speed bumps in 60-game seasons can happen!
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I don't love the whole "best shape of his life" tweets but there's little doubting Eugenio is in better form this year. Charlie Goldsmith touched on that in a spring training recap for Cincinnati.com: "After losing 15 pounds over the offseason, Suárez is faster than he has been in recent years, and he showed that speed by extending that hit into a sliding double."
A healthy offseason and the friendly Great American Ballpark in his sails means you should be very interested at this price point. He’s underrated coming off a down year but had 600-plus plate appearances in his four previous seasons and the power output remains healthy. He hit 49 taters in 2019! At just 29 years old, Suárez could blast through the 40-homer wall yet again and offer many happy returns.
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