X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Weekly Rankings
Compare Any Players
Stats & Leaders
Starts and Sit
Daily Fantasy
Who To Pickup
24x7 News and Alerts

EPL Betting Picks for Matchweek 33: English Premier League

It's been a tumultuous week in the Premier League. The European Super League was formed and then ended within 48 hours, Tottenham fired Head Coach Jose Mourinho, Sheffield United got relegated and fans across the league have united to condemn the owners of six clubs. These are the sort of intangibles that can have an impact on players and games so we need to tread carefully. This weekend also sees the final of the Carabao Cup so we only have eight games to choose from. As a result, we're going to look at some slightly higher odds picks but please tread more carefully with your stakes.

  • Picks total - 39 out of 90
  • Correct scores - 10 out of 89

Before you read on, remember these important things: Betting on sports should be fun. If you aren't having fun with it, stop. Never bet what you can't afford to lose. And if you don't agree with my picks, don't bet on them. I'm far from being a professional gambler and just enjoy a flutter on the soccer. All I'm doing is looking at stats to try and find potential value in the likelier outcomes. I'll predict the score of each game I look at (although these are notoriously difficult to pick so I'm not suggesting you bet on these significantly) and will be picking the bet I think offers the best value so it'll be down to you what you bet on and how.

I won't preview every game, but just identifying the three games I believe have the best value bet. Feel free to reach me on Twitter @Baseball_Jimbo for any info, have a pop for any duds and (hopefully) pats on the back for winners. All odds are taken from Pinnacle or Draftkings Sportsbooks and were correct at the time of writing.

Featured Promo: Get any Props Premium Pass for 50% off using code WINNING. Win more with our two new Props Optimizer tools -- one for PrizePicks Props, and one for Sportsbook Betting Props. Find optimal prop bets and get our recommended picks daily! Go Premium, Win More!

 

Saturday, April 24th, 2021

Brighton @ Sheffield United - 3:00 pm ET

Brighton probably needs just one more win to ensure they avoid relegation. Credible draws against Everton and Chelsea now mean beating the bottom of the table and already relegated Sheffield United should secure Premier League football for next season. Brighton has only lost one away game to a team in the bottom half and that was a 1-0 defeat against West Brom when they missed two penalties. In seven such games, they have just one clean sheet and have scored in all but one game (outside the West Brom penalty debacle),

Sheffield United was finally relegated last weekend after losing to Wolves. Ordinarily, relegation being confirmed helps a team relax and start playing better, something we've seen regularly over the years. While I think we see some of that with Sheffield United, they've been so bad I don't think they'll win here but I do think they score (something they have only done in 14 of 32 games). Their relegation will likely lead to a more entertaining game than they normally partake in but they will likely still come up short. Nonetheless, we'll hedge things with our pick.

Brighton 16th - 34 pts
Sheffield United 20th - 14 pts

Score prediction: Sheffield United 1 - 3 Brighton (Pinnacle odds +1600)

Betting Pick:

  • Both To Score/Total Goals - Yes & Over 2.5 @ +210 (Pinnacle)

 

Sunday, April 25th, 2021

Burnley @ Wolves - 7:00 am ET

Burnley is back in relegation bother after three straight defeats. Their form has been pretty dreadful for weeks now with just one win in their last nine games and just two wins in 13. They have found the back of the net in each of their last six games but have now gone seven games without a clean sheet. That is very "un-Burnley like" so I believe they will try and revert back to their strength of grinding out a result against the fifth-lowest scorers in the league.

Wolves have now ground out back-to-back 1-0 wins. but both have come against teams in the bottom three. They're one of the few teams that have won more points at home than away this season but they have yet to win consecutive home league games all season. Despite only scoring 32 goals in 32 games this season, they have managed to score in 13 of their 16 home games.

When looking at total goals in their games, Burnley ranks tied-2nd lowest (71 in 32) and Wolves ranks tied-4th lowest (73 in 32). Burnley will want to avoid defeat and with games against Sheffield United and Fulham still to come and will see a point here as a big step towards survival. The last time Burnley lost three league games in a row, they played out a 0-0 draw against West Brom and will likely base their game plan on a similar type of performance.

Burnley 17th - 33 pts
Wolves 12th - 41 pts

Score prediction: Wolves 1 - 1 Burnley (Pinnacle odds +600)

Betting Pick:

  • Money Line - Draw @ +235 (Pinnacle)

 

Manchester United @ Leeds United - 9:00 am ET

Manchester United has a Europa League semi-final first leg tie against Roma on the Thursday following this game. Given they are highly unlikely to finish anywhere other than second in the league, it's more than probable they rotate their lineup in league games as they prioritize the Europa League fixtures. Their league form has quietly been exceptional with five straight league wins and just one defeat in 26 league games. They have also yet to lose away in the league all season.

On the flip side of that, Leeds has yet to win a home league game against a team currently above them in the league. But they come into this game in good form, unbeaten in five games which included draws against Chelsea and Liverpool and a win against Manchester City. With Leeds' recent form (and positive results against top-5 teams) along with Manchester United's focus likely being on their Europa League game, I can see a surprise being sprung.

Manchester United 2nd - 66 pts
Leeds United 10th - 46 pts

Score prediction: Leeds United 2 - 1 Manchester United (Pinnacle odds +1150)

Betting Pick:

  • Draw no bet - Leeds United @ +205 (Pinnacle & DraftKings)

 

Parlay

  • You can take all three picks as a parlay @ +3067

 

Good luck with those EPL bets and remember to bet responsibly! Check back next week for the matchweek 34 picks.

More Betting and DFS Picks

POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Weekly Rankings
Compare Any Players
Stats & Leaders
Starts and Sit
Daily Fantasy
Who To Pickup
24x7 News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Christian Watson15 mins ago

Questionable To Return On Monday Night With Knee Injury
Anthony Davis19 mins ago

Will Play Against Pistons
LeBron James27 mins ago

Active Against Pistons
Dario Saric51 mins ago

Available On Monday
Draymond Green59 mins ago

Ready To Go Monday
Isaac Guerendo1 hour ago

Expected To Practice On Thursday
Ben Sheppard1 hour ago

Upgraded To Available
Gary Payton II2 hours ago

Misses First Game Of The Season
Kyler Murray2 hours ago

Cardinals Won't Rest Kyler Murray In Final Two Games
Moses Moody2 hours ago

Available For Monday's Game
Jamal Murray2 hours ago

Out On Monday
Nelson Agholor2 hours ago

Zay Flowers, Nelson Agholor Listed As DNPs On Monday
Dalano Banton3 hours ago

Returns From Two-Game Absence
San Francisco 49ers3 hours ago

Trent Williams Won't Return For Final Two Games
Robert Williams III3 hours ago

Sits Out Monday's Game
Ivica Zubac3 hours ago

Active Versus Grizzlies
Kenneth Walker III3 hours ago

Listed As DNP On Monday
Marcus Smart3 hours ago

Unavailable Monday
Ja Morant3 hours ago

Back In Grizzlies Lineup
Desmond Bane3 hours ago

Good To Go Monday
RJ Barrett3 hours ago

Returns To Action Monday
Alexandre Sarr3 hours ago

Ruled Out On Monday
Bilal Coulibaly4 hours ago

Won't Play Monday
Terry Rozier4 hours ago

Ruled Out For Monday
Luka Doncic4 hours ago

Returning On Monday
Bogdan Bogdanovic4 hours ago

Will Not Play On Monday
Dillon Brooks4 hours ago

A Late Scratch On Monday Versus Hornets
Jake Neighbours5 hours ago

Good To Go Versus Red Wings
Filip Gustavsson5 hours ago

Returns To Work Monday
Sean Couturier5 hours ago

Back For Battle Of Pennsylvania
Jake Walman5 hours ago

Unavailable Monday
Zach Werenski5 hours ago

Questionable For Monday's Action
Ivan Barbashev5 hours ago

Nicolas Roy Remain Out Monday
Leo Carlsson5 hours ago

Not Expected To Play On Monday
Diontae Johnson6 hours ago

Texans Claim Diontae Johnson Off Waivers From Ravens
Zach Charbonnet6 hours ago

Should Be Full-Go For Thursday
David Njoku6 hours ago

Undergoing MRI On His Knee
George Pickens7 hours ago

Expected To Play On Christmas Day
Jalen Hurts7 hours ago

In Concussion Protocol
J.K. Dobbins7 hours ago

Chargers Opening J.K. Dobbins' Practice Window
Patrick Mahomes7 hours ago

Thinks His Ankle Will Be Better Off In Week 17
Andrew McCutchen8 hours ago

Re-Signs With Pirates
Walker Buehler9 hours ago

Red Sox Agree On One-Year Deal
Tank Dell9 hours ago

Tears ACL, Out For Remainder Of Season
Garrett Wilson10 hours ago

Wants To Be More Involved
Tyrone Tracy Jr.10 hours ago

Aggravates Ankle Injury In Week 16
Josh Allen11 hours ago

Says His Arm Is Fine
De'Von Achane12 hours ago

Dominant In Week 16 Victory
Sean Manaea14 hours ago

Returns To Mets On Three-Year Deal
Joc Pederson15 hours ago

Agrees To Contract With Texas
Aliaksei Protas15 hours ago

Scores Twice On Sunday
Clayton Keller15 hours ago

Tallies Four Points On Sunday
Linus Ullmark15 hours ago

Leaves Sunday's Game With Upper-Body Injury
Zach Hyman15 hours ago

Extends Goal Streak To Six Games
Mikko Rantanen15 hours ago

Tallies Two Helpers, Extends Point Streak To Nine Games
Kaapo Kakko15 hours ago

Scores First Goal With Seattle
Drake Maye20 hours ago

Shows Flashes In Two-Touchdown Effort
CeeDee Lamb21 hours ago

Eclipses Triple-Digit Yardage Sunday
Jalen McMillan22 hours ago

Extends Touchdown Streak Against Cowboys
Nathaniel Lowe1 day ago

Traded To Washington
Linus Ullmark1 day ago

Red-Hot Ahead Of Meeting With Oilers
Pyotr Kochetkov1 day ago

Achieves Rare Feat In Sunday's Win
Sebastian Aho1 day ago

Scores Third Goal In Four Games
Michael Amadio1 day ago

In Concussion Protocol
Mackenzie Blackwood1 day ago

Takes On Kraken Sunday
Matt Rempe1 day ago

Slapped With Eight-Game Suspension
Jesús Luzardo2 days ago

Phillies Acquire Jesus Luzardo From Miami
Mark Stone2 days ago

Tallies Three Points In Saturday's Victory
Patrik Laine2 days ago

Extends Goal Streak To Three Games
Alex Bregman2 days ago

Mets Showing Interest In Alex Bregman
Carlos Santana2 days ago

Inks One-Year Contract With Cleveland
Josh Naylor2 days ago

Traded To Arizona
Paul Goldschmidt2 days ago

Agrees With Yankees On One-Year Deal
Chicago Cubs3 days ago

Roki Sasaki Meets With Cubs
Christian Walker3 days ago

Agrees To Three-Year Deal With Astros
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.4 days ago

Extension Remains In Play For Toronto
New York Mets4 days ago

Roki Sasaki Meets With Mets On Thursday
Max Kepler4 days ago

Phillies Sign Max Kepler To One-Year Deal
Marcus Semien4 days ago

Rangers Could Look To Rest Marcus Semien More
Jesús Luzardo4 days ago

Cubs Trade Talks For Jesus Luzardo Are "Dead"
Josh Naylor4 days ago

Mentioned In Trade Talks With Mariners
Nolan Arenado5 days ago

Blocks Trade To Astros
Devin Williams5 days ago

Yankees Name Devin Williams As The Closer

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

MORE RECENT ARTICLES

 
Michael Florio's Football Show - Podcast RotoBaller Network

Florio's Football Show: Jalen McMillan, Adam Thielen, Bryce Young, Michael Carter and More!

Michael Florio is back going over his top waiver wire targets for Week 17! Florio also discusses his favorite streaming defenses of the week before going over all of his starts and sits! Get everything you need for the week, before you even set your waivers! Be sure to also tune into RotoBaller Radio on SiriusXM […]


Survivor League Strategy Graphic

How To Master NFL Survivor Pools: Top Strategies to Win Your Survivor Leagues

Key Takeaways Survivor Pool Basics: NFL Survivor Pools are elimination contests where participants pick one team to win each week, but can’t reuse teams throughout the season. A single loss eliminates your entry. Winning Strategies: Success in Survivor Leagues requires strategic planning, like mapping out picks weeks in advance, avoiding popular or "chalk" selections to […]


Video: MUST ADD Waiver Wire Pickups For Week 17! Fantasy Football 2024

Our top 2024 fantasy football Week 17 waiver wire pickups for RB, WR, TE, and QB. This week's must-add fantasy football free agents -- potential waiver wire winners heading into Week 17 for running backs, wide receivers, tight ends, and quarterbacks. Be sure to tune into RotoBaller Radio on SiriusXM (SiriusXM channel 87) - every […]


Christian Watson - Fantasy Football Rankings, NFL Injury News, DFS Lineup Picks

NFL DFS Lineup Picks For FanDuel, DraftKings - Saints vs. Packers MNF Showdown (Week 16)

Welcome back, RotoBallers! We have an NFC showdown tonight as Spencer Rattler and the banged-up New Orleans Saints (5-9) head to Lambeau to take on Jordan Love and the Packers (10-4). The Packers are poised to solidify themselves as the sixth seed in the NFC playoffs, while the Saints hope to make it through the […]


Michael Penix Jr. - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News

Top Week 17 Quarterback Pickups - Best Fantasy QB Adds, Streamers Include Anthony Richardson, Bo Nix, Bryce Young, more

Fantasy managers who rode Jalen Hurts and Josh Allen throughout the season and into the playoffs were certainly disappointed by their production in Week 16. Many managers were likely knocked out of the playoffs thanks to their underwhelming fantasy performances due to injuries and ineffectiveness. Still, some awesome quarterback performances could have swung fantasy matchups. […]


Jonathan Taylor - Fantasy Football Rankings, NFL Injury News, DFS Lineup Picks

Top 10 Running Back Studs - Best Fantasy Football RB Performances Including Jonathan Taylor, Chuba Hubbard, De'Von Achane, And More

Week 16 felt like a whirlwind. It featured enormous performances for both wideouts and running backs. This slate of NFL action has brandished the second-most touchdowns of the season -- one shy of matching the highest total of 2024 (Week 8). Just in time for the fantasy semi-finals. If you're still kicking, then kudos. Getting […]


Dalton Schultz - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News

Tight Ends Fantasy Football Waiver Wire - Week 17 TE Pickups Including Dalton Schultz, Hunter Henry, Chig Okonkwo, Brenton Strange and More!

This is championship week, people! So, if you are reading this, congratulations of sorts are in order. It all comes down to this in the majority of fantasy football leagues around the country and around the world. You drafted well, you picked up the right guys on the waiver wire, and you made all the […]


Kareem Hunt - Fantasy Football Rankings, NFL Injury News, DFS Lineup Picks

Week 17 Waiver Wire Rankings (2024) - Fantasy Football Pickups Include Kareem Hunt, Tyjae Spears, Patrick Taylor Jr., Jalen McMillan, Dalton Schultz

Fantasy championship week is finally here, the moment fantasy managers have grinded all season to get to. At RotoBaller HQ, we have worked hard all season to help you prepare for this week, and we are back with our Week 17 fantasy football waiver wire rankings for 2024 to help secure a fantasy championship. Use […]


Drew Lock - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, Waiver Wire Pickups

10 Worst QB Performances From Week 16, Including Drew Lock and Dorian Thompson-Robinson

Week 16 brought a mixed bag of quarterback performances. The Saturday games were excellent, but Sunday brought puzzling quarterback play. Particularly, Drew Lock and Dorian Thompson-Robinson struggled mightily in Week 16. Many quarterbacks are playing for their 2025 roster spots and starting jobs right now. Some of the guys on this list are not doing […]


Tyjae Spears - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, Waiver Wire Pickups

Running Back Fantasy Football Waiver Wire Pickups for Week 17: Kendre Miller, Tyjae Spears, Trey Benson, Michael Carter, Audric Estime

Congratulations to those of you who are constructing rosters in Week 17. You have maintained your highest level of flexibility while navigating through injuries, bye weeks, production-inhibiting coaching decisions, and other unwanted developments that emerged during the season. Now your diligence has placed you at the threshold of capturing your league's championship. Winning your league […]


Calvin Austin - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News

Wide Receiver Waiver Wire Pickups - Top Fantasy Football WR Adds for Week 17 Include Hollywood Brown, Wan'Dale Robinson, Calvin Austin III, Olamide Zaccheaus

This is it. Unless you're in some weird league that plays in Week 18, this upcoming week is the finals for your fantasy league. If you're still alive, it's you against one other person for the fantasy championship. With this week being the final chance for you, we're narrowing the focus of our wide receiver […]


Patrick Taylor Jr. - Fantasy Football Rankings, Waiver Wire Pickups, NFL Injury News

Biggest Fantasy Football Busts Of The Week - Fantasy Outlooks For Najee Harris, Brian Robinson Jr., Cooper Kupp, Khalil Shakir, Trey McBride, more

The 16th Sunday of the 2024 NFL season has come and gone. Hopefully, you woke up on Monday morning feeling very good about how your matchup went. However, this week's slate of games was certainly stress-inducing for many fantasy football managers. Part of that stress was caused by a group of players who drastically underachieved […]


Tyjae Spears - Fantasy Football Rankings, NFL Injury News, DFS Lineup Picks

Unexpected Boom Performances: Fantasy Football Risers Include Gus Edwards, Olamide Zaccheaus, Tyjae Spears, Chig Okonkwo, Kayshon Boutte

With fantasy football leagues now into their postseasons, Week 16 gave us a lot of stunning performances. One such outing came from rookie sensation Jayden Daniels. The Washington quarterback passed for 258 yards and five touchdowns, and he added 81 more yards on the ground to spur the Commanders to victory. Vikings superstar wideout Justin […]