X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Weekly Rankings
Compare Any Players
Stats & Leaders
Starts and Sit
Daily Fantasy
Who To Pickup
24x7 News and Alerts

EPL Betting Picks for Matchweek 30: English Premier League

It's been a long three weeks since our last EPL article following the FA Cup quarter-final fixtures then the international fixtures. We did hit two from three picks before the hiatus, with Everton losing at home to lowly Burnley the only blot on our copybook. The international break can cause some additional volatility with teams having most of their squad off in all corners of the globe and unusually, countries played three games rather than the normal two. This will likely lead to more player rotation so we'll tread a little more carefully than normal.

  • Picks total - 33 out of 79
  • Correct scores - 9 out of 81

Before you read on, remember these important things: Betting on sports should be fun. If you aren't having fun with it, stop. Never bet what you can't afford to lose. And if you don't agree with my picks, don't bet on them. I'm far from being a professional gambler and just enjoy a flutter on the soccer. All I'm doing is looking at stats to try and find potential value in the likelier outcomes. I'll predict the score of each game I look at (although these are notoriously difficult to pick so I'm not suggesting you bet on these significantly) and will be picking the bet I think offers the best value so it'll be down to you what you bet on and how.

I won't be previewing every game, but just identifying the three games I believe have the best value bet. Feel free to reach me on Twitter @Baseball_Jimbo for any info, have a pop for any duds and (hopefully) pats on the back for winners. All odds are taken from Pinnacle or Draftkings Sportsbooks and were correct at the time of writing.

Featured Promo: Get any Props Premium Pass for 50% off using code WINNING. Win more with our two new Props Optimizer tools -- one for PrizePicks Props, and one for Sportsbook Betting Props. Find optimal prop bets and get our recommended picks daily! Go Premium, Win More!

 

Saturday, April 3rd, 2021

Sheffield United @ Leeds United - 10:00 am ET

Sheffield United lost their last league game 5-0 at Leicester City. What was most concerning about that game was what happened when they conceded a second goal; they just gave up. With 30 minutes left, they were one-nil down and still in the game but as soon as the second goal went in, you could see a team completely apathetic to their situation. Now managerless and seemingly a club with no direction and allegations being hurled about by the owner about the former manager, Sheffield United are all but relegated. This game will likely be another step towards confirmed relegation.

Leeds United continues to fight for a top-10 finish after ending a run of three games without a win by beating Fulham before the break. Like many teams this season, Leeds has a better record in away games than at home but they have been able to take advantage of teams beneath them in the table in home games. In seven such games, they have five wins and two losses. The two losses were both 1-0 and Sheffield United has just two clean sheets all season and has just one goal scored in their last six games.

Leeds United 11th - 39 pts
Sheffield United 20th - 14 pts

Score prediction: Leeds United 3 - 0 Sheffield United (Pinnacle odds +1000)

Betting Pick:

  • Single Game Parlay -  Leeds United over 1.5 goals & Sheffield United under 1.5 goals @ -103 (Draftkings)

 

Sunday, April 4th, 2021

Burnley @ Southampton - 7:00 am ET

Burnley picked up a huge win away at Everton before the break and now find themselves seven points clear of the relegation zone. They drew their two previous games and now have lost just once in their last eight games. They have only won two of those eight games with draws being a common theme this season (only two teams have drawn more than Burnley's nine). Burnley follows this game with a home encounter against Newcastle and if they win both, that should all but secure them Premier League football next season.

Unlike their opponents, Southampton has been on a downward trajectory in recent times. They did manage to seal an FA Cup semi-final berth a fortnight ago but in the league, they've lost ten of their last twelve games and their solitary win came against bottom of the table Sheffield United. They have scored five goals in their last three league games but this twelve-game run has seen them concede 32 goals with the one clean sheet coming against Sheffield United. Southampton faces West Brom next and will also feel two wins keeps them from relegation.

I can see a draw in this game but Southampton's league form has been so poor, it's hard to back them to win and I think Burnley nick the win.

Southampton 14th - 33 pts
Burnley 15th - 33 pts

Score prediction: Southampton 1 - 2 Burnley (Pinnacle odds +1200)

Betting Pick:

  • Both teams to score - Yes @ -104 (Pinnacle)

 

Fulham @ Aston Villa - 11:30 am ET

Fulham is still fighting for survival, just two points adrift for 17th place and avoiding relegation. Unfortunately, their recent form hasn't been great with one win and three losses from their last four games and back-to-back defeats prior to the international break. They are still somewhat difficult to breakdown with five clean sheets in their last ten games and only nine goals conceded in that time (five of which came in their last two games).

Aston Villa's season is in danger of petering out into nothingness with just one win in their last seven games and they too went into the international break on a poor run of form (winless in four games). Goals are increasingly hard to come by as they've missed talisman Jack Grealish recently and they've scored just five goals in their last ten games, failing to score twice in any of those games. Like Fulham, they have five clean sheets in their last ten games and just nine conceded in that period.

Both teams are finding goals hard to come by but have been relatively solid defensively. I don't believe either team scores more than one as in each of their last ten games, only Fulham has managed to do that (once). We'll play it safe and take under 2.5 goals which has been the case in eight of both team's last ten games. We'll pad it up with Aston Villa to get at least one player carded, something that's happened in eight of their last nine league games and in all but one of their thirteen home league games this season. In Fulham's last 16 league games, an opposing player has been booked in 15 of them too. That takes the game odds from -143 to +106.

Aston Villa 10th - 41 pts
Fulham 18th - 26 pts

Score prediction: Aston Villa 1 - 1 Fulham (Pinnacle odds +575)

Betting Pick:

  • Single Game Parlay - Total match goals under 2.5 & Aston Villa over 0.5 total cards @ +106 (Draftkings)

 

Parlay

  • You can take all three picks as a parlay @ +696

 

Good luck with those EPL bets and remember to bet responsibly! Check back next week for the matchweek 31 picks.

More Betting and DFS Picks

POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Weekly Rankings
Compare Any Players
Stats & Leaders
Starts and Sit
Daily Fantasy
Who To Pickup
24x7 News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Christian Watson15 mins ago

Questionable To Return On Monday Night With Knee Injury
Anthony Davis19 mins ago

Will Play Against Pistons
LeBron James27 mins ago

Active Against Pistons
Dario Saric51 mins ago

Available On Monday
Draymond Green59 mins ago

Ready To Go Monday
Isaac Guerendo1 hour ago

Expected To Practice On Thursday
Ben Sheppard1 hour ago

Upgraded To Available
Gary Payton II2 hours ago

Misses First Game Of The Season
Kyler Murray2 hours ago

Cardinals Won't Rest Kyler Murray In Final Two Games
Moses Moody2 hours ago

Available For Monday's Game
Jamal Murray2 hours ago

Out On Monday
Nelson Agholor2 hours ago

Zay Flowers, Nelson Agholor Listed As DNPs On Monday
Dalano Banton3 hours ago

Returns From Two-Game Absence
San Francisco 49ers3 hours ago

Trent Williams Won't Return For Final Two Games
Robert Williams III3 hours ago

Sits Out Monday's Game
Ivica Zubac3 hours ago

Active Versus Grizzlies
Kenneth Walker III3 hours ago

Listed As DNP On Monday
Marcus Smart3 hours ago

Unavailable Monday
Ja Morant3 hours ago

Back In Grizzlies Lineup
Desmond Bane3 hours ago

Good To Go Monday
RJ Barrett3 hours ago

Returns To Action Monday
Alexandre Sarr3 hours ago

Ruled Out On Monday
Bilal Coulibaly4 hours ago

Won't Play Monday
Terry Rozier4 hours ago

Ruled Out For Monday
Luka Doncic4 hours ago

Returning On Monday
Bogdan Bogdanovic4 hours ago

Will Not Play On Monday
Dillon Brooks4 hours ago

A Late Scratch On Monday Versus Hornets
Jake Neighbours5 hours ago

Good To Go Versus Red Wings
Filip Gustavsson5 hours ago

Returns To Work Monday
Sean Couturier5 hours ago

Back For Battle Of Pennsylvania
Jake Walman5 hours ago

Unavailable Monday
Zach Werenski5 hours ago

Questionable For Monday's Action
Ivan Barbashev5 hours ago

Nicolas Roy Remain Out Monday
Leo Carlsson5 hours ago

Not Expected To Play On Monday
Diontae Johnson6 hours ago

Texans Claim Diontae Johnson Off Waivers From Ravens
Zach Charbonnet6 hours ago

Should Be Full-Go For Thursday
David Njoku6 hours ago

Undergoing MRI On His Knee
George Pickens7 hours ago

Expected To Play On Christmas Day
Jalen Hurts7 hours ago

In Concussion Protocol
J.K. Dobbins7 hours ago

Chargers Opening J.K. Dobbins' Practice Window
Patrick Mahomes7 hours ago

Thinks His Ankle Will Be Better Off In Week 17
Andrew McCutchen8 hours ago

Re-Signs With Pirates
Walker Buehler9 hours ago

Red Sox Agree On One-Year Deal
Tank Dell9 hours ago

Tears ACL, Out For Remainder Of Season
Garrett Wilson10 hours ago

Wants To Be More Involved
Tyrone Tracy Jr.10 hours ago

Aggravates Ankle Injury In Week 16
Josh Allen11 hours ago

Says His Arm Is Fine
De'Von Achane12 hours ago

Dominant In Week 16 Victory
Sean Manaea14 hours ago

Returns To Mets On Three-Year Deal
Joc Pederson15 hours ago

Agrees To Contract With Texas
Aliaksei Protas15 hours ago

Scores Twice On Sunday
Clayton Keller15 hours ago

Tallies Four Points On Sunday
Linus Ullmark15 hours ago

Leaves Sunday's Game With Upper-Body Injury
Zach Hyman15 hours ago

Extends Goal Streak To Six Games
Mikko Rantanen15 hours ago

Tallies Two Helpers, Extends Point Streak To Nine Games
Kaapo Kakko15 hours ago

Scores First Goal With Seattle
Drake Maye20 hours ago

Shows Flashes In Two-Touchdown Effort
CeeDee Lamb21 hours ago

Eclipses Triple-Digit Yardage Sunday
Jalen McMillan22 hours ago

Extends Touchdown Streak Against Cowboys
Nathaniel Lowe1 day ago

Traded To Washington
Linus Ullmark1 day ago

Red-Hot Ahead Of Meeting With Oilers
Pyotr Kochetkov1 day ago

Achieves Rare Feat In Sunday's Win
Sebastian Aho1 day ago

Scores Third Goal In Four Games
Michael Amadio1 day ago

In Concussion Protocol
Mackenzie Blackwood1 day ago

Takes On Kraken Sunday
Matt Rempe1 day ago

Slapped With Eight-Game Suspension
Jesús Luzardo2 days ago

Phillies Acquire Jesus Luzardo From Miami
Mark Stone2 days ago

Tallies Three Points In Saturday's Victory
Patrik Laine2 days ago

Extends Goal Streak To Three Games
Alex Bregman2 days ago

Mets Showing Interest In Alex Bregman
Carlos Santana2 days ago

Inks One-Year Contract With Cleveland
Josh Naylor2 days ago

Traded To Arizona
Paul Goldschmidt2 days ago

Agrees With Yankees On One-Year Deal
Chicago Cubs3 days ago

Roki Sasaki Meets With Cubs
Christian Walker3 days ago

Agrees To Three-Year Deal With Astros
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.4 days ago

Extension Remains In Play For Toronto
New York Mets4 days ago

Roki Sasaki Meets With Mets On Thursday
Max Kepler4 days ago

Phillies Sign Max Kepler To One-Year Deal
Marcus Semien4 days ago

Rangers Could Look To Rest Marcus Semien More
Jesús Luzardo4 days ago

Cubs Trade Talks For Jesus Luzardo Are "Dead"
Josh Naylor4 days ago

Mentioned In Trade Talks With Mariners
Nolan Arenado5 days ago

Blocks Trade To Astros
Devin Williams5 days ago

Yankees Name Devin Williams As The Closer

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

MORE RECENT ARTICLES

 
Michael Florio's Football Show - Podcast RotoBaller Network

Florio's Football Show: Jalen McMillan, Adam Thielen, Bryce Young, Michael Carter and More!

Michael Florio is back going over his top waiver wire targets for Week 17! Florio also discusses his favorite streaming defenses of the week before going over all of his starts and sits! Get everything you need for the week, before you even set your waivers! Be sure to also tune into RotoBaller Radio on SiriusXM […]


Survivor League Strategy Graphic

How To Master NFL Survivor Pools: Top Strategies to Win Your Survivor Leagues

Key Takeaways Survivor Pool Basics: NFL Survivor Pools are elimination contests where participants pick one team to win each week, but can’t reuse teams throughout the season. A single loss eliminates your entry. Winning Strategies: Success in Survivor Leagues requires strategic planning, like mapping out picks weeks in advance, avoiding popular or "chalk" selections to […]


Video: MUST ADD Waiver Wire Pickups For Week 17! Fantasy Football 2024

Our top 2024 fantasy football Week 17 waiver wire pickups for RB, WR, TE, and QB. This week's must-add fantasy football free agents -- potential waiver wire winners heading into Week 17 for running backs, wide receivers, tight ends, and quarterbacks. Be sure to tune into RotoBaller Radio on SiriusXM (SiriusXM channel 87) - every […]


Christian Watson - Fantasy Football Rankings, NFL Injury News, DFS Lineup Picks

NFL DFS Lineup Picks For FanDuel, DraftKings - Saints vs. Packers MNF Showdown (Week 16)

Welcome back, RotoBallers! We have an NFC showdown tonight as Spencer Rattler and the banged-up New Orleans Saints (5-9) head to Lambeau to take on Jordan Love and the Packers (10-4). The Packers are poised to solidify themselves as the sixth seed in the NFC playoffs, while the Saints hope to make it through the […]


Michael Penix Jr. - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News

Top Week 17 Quarterback Pickups - Best Fantasy QB Adds, Streamers Include Anthony Richardson, Bo Nix, Bryce Young, more

Fantasy managers who rode Jalen Hurts and Josh Allen throughout the season and into the playoffs were certainly disappointed by their production in Week 16. Many managers were likely knocked out of the playoffs thanks to their underwhelming fantasy performances due to injuries and ineffectiveness. Still, some awesome quarterback performances could have swung fantasy matchups. […]


Jonathan Taylor - Fantasy Football Rankings, NFL Injury News, DFS Lineup Picks

Top 10 Running Back Studs - Best Fantasy Football RB Performances Including Jonathan Taylor, Chuba Hubbard, De'Von Achane, And More

Week 16 felt like a whirlwind. It featured enormous performances for both wideouts and running backs. This slate of NFL action has brandished the second-most touchdowns of the season -- one shy of matching the highest total of 2024 (Week 8). Just in time for the fantasy semi-finals. If you're still kicking, then kudos. Getting […]


Dalton Schultz - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News

Tight Ends Fantasy Football Waiver Wire - Week 17 TE Pickups Including Dalton Schultz, Hunter Henry, Chig Okonkwo, Brenton Strange and More!

This is championship week, people! So, if you are reading this, congratulations of sorts are in order. It all comes down to this in the majority of fantasy football leagues around the country and around the world. You drafted well, you picked up the right guys on the waiver wire, and you made all the […]


Kareem Hunt - Fantasy Football Rankings, NFL Injury News, DFS Lineup Picks

Week 17 Waiver Wire Rankings (2024) - Fantasy Football Pickups Include Kareem Hunt, Tyjae Spears, Patrick Taylor Jr., Jalen McMillan, Dalton Schultz

Fantasy championship week is finally here, the moment fantasy managers have grinded all season to get to. At RotoBaller HQ, we have worked hard all season to help you prepare for this week, and we are back with our Week 17 fantasy football waiver wire rankings for 2024 to help secure a fantasy championship. Use […]


Drew Lock - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, Waiver Wire Pickups

10 Worst QB Performances From Week 16, Including Drew Lock and Dorian Thompson-Robinson

Week 16 brought a mixed bag of quarterback performances. The Saturday games were excellent, but Sunday brought puzzling quarterback play. Particularly, Drew Lock and Dorian Thompson-Robinson struggled mightily in Week 16. Many quarterbacks are playing for their 2025 roster spots and starting jobs right now. Some of the guys on this list are not doing […]


Tyjae Spears - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, Waiver Wire Pickups

Running Back Fantasy Football Waiver Wire Pickups for Week 17: Kendre Miller, Tyjae Spears, Trey Benson, Michael Carter, Audric Estime

Congratulations to those of you who are constructing rosters in Week 17. You have maintained your highest level of flexibility while navigating through injuries, bye weeks, production-inhibiting coaching decisions, and other unwanted developments that emerged during the season. Now your diligence has placed you at the threshold of capturing your league's championship. Winning your league […]


Calvin Austin - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News

Wide Receiver Waiver Wire Pickups - Top Fantasy Football WR Adds for Week 17 Include Hollywood Brown, Wan'Dale Robinson, Calvin Austin III, Olamide Zaccheaus

This is it. Unless you're in some weird league that plays in Week 18, this upcoming week is the finals for your fantasy league. If you're still alive, it's you against one other person for the fantasy championship. With this week being the final chance for you, we're narrowing the focus of our wide receiver […]


Patrick Taylor Jr. - Fantasy Football Rankings, Waiver Wire Pickups, NFL Injury News

Biggest Fantasy Football Busts Of The Week - Fantasy Outlooks For Najee Harris, Brian Robinson Jr., Cooper Kupp, Khalil Shakir, Trey McBride, more

The 16th Sunday of the 2024 NFL season has come and gone. Hopefully, you woke up on Monday morning feeling very good about how your matchup went. However, this week's slate of games was certainly stress-inducing for many fantasy football managers. Part of that stress was caused by a group of players who drastically underachieved […]


Tyjae Spears - Fantasy Football Rankings, NFL Injury News, DFS Lineup Picks

Unexpected Boom Performances: Fantasy Football Risers Include Gus Edwards, Olamide Zaccheaus, Tyjae Spears, Chig Okonkwo, Kayshon Boutte

With fantasy football leagues now into their postseasons, Week 16 gave us a lot of stunning performances. One such outing came from rookie sensation Jayden Daniels. The Washington quarterback passed for 258 yards and five touchdowns, and he added 81 more yards on the ground to spur the Commanders to victory. Vikings superstar wideout Justin […]