X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

EPL Betting Picks for Matchweek 10: English Premier League

Jamie Steed previews EPL Matchweek 10 of the 2021/22 season, starting on 10/30/2021. He breaks down the top English Premier League wagers, bets and picks for the soccer games

We got back to winning ways last weekend. Although we correctly predicted the Burnley and Southampton game would be a draw, only the bookings bet came in. But Crystal Palace and Newcastle made it a break-even Saturday following their 1-1 draw in which both goals came in the second half and Newcastle received the most bookings. Then on Sunday, we swept all the picks in the Manchester United versus Liverpool game with Liverpool running riot en route to a 5-0 win in which Mo Salah scored a hat-trick. That resulted in a 153% ROI for the matchweek.

Before you read on, remember these important things: Betting on sports should be fun. If you aren't having fun with it, stop. Never bet what you can't afford to lose. And if you don't agree with my picks, don't bet on them. I'm far from being a professional gambler and just enjoy a flutter on soccer. All I'm doing is looking at stats to try and find potential value in the likelier outcomes. I'll predict the score of each game I look at (although these are notoriously difficult to pick so I'm not suggesting you bet on these significantly) and will be picking the bets I think offers the best value so it'll be down to you what you bet on and how.

We've been cranking up the soccer content this year at RotoBaller too. We'll be bringing you DFS and Fantasy Premier League content, on top of the weekly betting content. Follow the team on Twitter (@vdray5@RichKingFF@LucidMediaDFS@PhilOfSports and yours truly @Baseball_Jimbo) and reach out to any of us if you ever have any soccer questions or need advice on any of this.

 

2021-22 EPL Betting Picks

  • Total picks: 38-38-3 (+15.76 U)
  • Match results: 13-8

 

Saturday, October 30th, 2021

Brentford (+175) at Burnley (+181) - 10:00 am ET

Burnley comes into this game still searching for their first league win of the season. A 1-1 draw at Southampton last weekend means they have only lost one of their last four EPL games but will need to pick up a win soon if they are to avoid being cut off from the teams above the relegation places. They didn't win a game until matchweek 9 last season and managed to finish 17th but they might be digging themselves into a hole they can't escape from this season.

Newly promoted Brentford has performed above expectations with three wins, three draws and three defeats so far. They come into this week following two straight defeats after losing to Leicester City 2-1 last Sunday. They've built a solid base defensively with no team outside the top-3 having conceded fewer than the nine Brentford have allowed.

At the other end of the pitch, Ivan Toney was expected to be their top scorer and his goals would be the best chance they have of avoiding relegation. Toney has just two goals in nine games so far, while Bryan Mbeumo also has two goals and has scored in both of Brentford's previous away games. He's had 11 shots in four away games so far and his technical and physical abilities might be better suited to away games.

In four away games, Brentford has scored in the first half on three occasions, although they have just one second half goal in those games. The only blank came in their 0-0 draw with Crystal Palace and if they do get anything from this game, they will likely need to get off to a good start with Burnley in need of a win and probably having to chase the game late if they aren't in front themselves.

One thing Brentford has lacked this season is corners with just 33 total taken ranking 20th in the league. Burnley has had 46 corners, which ranks 10th, of which 29 have been in their four home games with just 17 in five away games. In those home games, Burnley has taken more corners than their opponents in three games with the other being a tie. That's despite being winless so Burnley isn't reliant on winning games to have the most corners in a game.

We'll back the draw although I do think Burnley can pick up their first win. The draw no bet being odds-on doesn't really appeal, however, if it drifts out to +100, I'll bite on it. Burnley should win the corner market even if they don't win the game and we'll add in a higher odds prop bet in the form of Mbeumo scoring.

Score prediction: Burnley 1 - 1 Brentford

Betting Picks:

  • Moneyline - Draw (+230) 0.5 units
  • Most corners - Burnley (-132) 1.5 units
  • Team to score first-half - Brentford (+132) 1 unit
  • To score anytime - Bryan Mbeumo (+210) 0.5 units

 

Southampton (+135) at Watford (+228) - 10:00 am ET

Southampton followed up their first win of the season with a 2-2 draw with Burnley last weekend and will look to secure their first away win of the season. Watford scored four goals in the final 15 minutes last weekend to stun Everton 5-2 and pick up their first win under new boss Claudio Ranieri.

The most noticeable pick for this game is the bookings market. The referee appointed for this game is Peter Bankes who has brandished 25 cards in his four EPL games so far, with five yellow cards the fewest he's shown in any game. He's also refereed four cup and championship games this season, showing 18 cards in those.

The one game Bankes refereed featuring either of these teams was Watford's 2-0 defeat against Wolves in which he showed both sides three yellow cards. The two teams have combined for 36 yellow cards in their nine games and there have been a total of 39 in Watford games and 34 in Southampton games.

Another noticeable stat from these two sides is the number of goals they concede in the second half of games. In Watford's four home games, seven of the ten goals they've conceded have come in the second half. While Southampton has conceded just one first half goal in four away games, but allowed in seven in the second half.

In all league games, Watford has scored eight of their twelve goals in the second half and Southampton has scored five of their eight in the second half. It certainly looks like the second half will be the most exciting when these two meet and that's where we will focus some picks on as well.

Score prediction: Watford 2 - 1 Southampton

Betting Picks:

  • Moneyline - Watford (+228) 0.5 units
  • Draw no bet - Watford (+125) 1 unit
  • Total cards - Over 3.5 (-136) 1 unit
  • Highest scoring half - Second half (+100) 1 unit
  • Both teams to score second-half - Yes (+205) 0.5 units

Good luck with those EPL bets and remember to bet responsibly!

More Betting and DFS Picks

POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Logan Gilbert

Leaves Friday's Start With Forearm Tightness

Vikings Select Tai Felton To Finish Day 2

Seahawks Select Quarterback Jalen Milroe With The 92nd Pick Overall

Browns Select Dillon Gabriel 94th Overall

Packers Pick Savion Williams At No. 87 overall

Steelers Snag Kaleb Johnson In Round 3

Broncos Select Wide Receiver Pat Bryant With The 74th Overall Pick

Texans Select Jaylin Noel With 79th Pick

Lions Select Wide Receiver Isaac TeSlaa With The 70th Overall Pick
Jack Leiter

To Start On Sunday

Patriots Add Wide Receiver Kyle Williams In Round 3

Browns Draft Harold Fannin Jr. With 67th Pick
Garrett Mitchell

Makes Early Exit
Luke Keaschall

Removed Early On Friday
Blake Snell

Likely Avoids Major Injury
Cole Ragans

Dealing With Mild Groin Strain

Broncos Add RJ Harvey To Backfield With 60th Pick

Raiders Select Jack Bech With 58th Pick

Chargers Add Wide Receiver Tre Harris In Round 2
Detroit Lions

Lions Acquire 57th Pick From Broncos

Seahawks Draft Elijah Arroyo 50th Overall
Carolina Panthers

Panthers Acquire 51st Pick From Broncos
Arizona Cardinals

Cardinals Snag Will Johnson At No. 47

Jets Add A Pass-Catcher With Mason Taylor At No. 42

Rams Select Terrance Ferguson With 46th Pick
Houston Texans

Texans Acquire 48th Pick From Raiders, Draft Aireontae Ersery

Saints Snag Tyler Shough At No. 40
Brenton Doyle

Out For Personal Reasons On Friday
Brandin Podziemski

Not On Injury Report For Game 3
Jimmy Butler III

Warriors Optimistic About Jimmy Butler III Playing Saturday
Jae'Sean Tate

To Remain Out Saturday
Jock Landale

Unavailable For Game 3
Terry Rozier

Out On Saturday
Jrue Holiday

Ruled Out For Friday Night's Game 3 Against Orlando
Kevin Love

To Miss Saturday's Game
Jaylen Brown

Available For Friday Night's Game 3 Against Magic
Gary Payton II

Iffy For Saturday's Action
Jayson Tatum

Officially Available On Friday For Game 3 Against Magic
Will Smith

Back From Injury On Friday
Luke Kennard

Questionable For Game 4 On Saturday
Darius Garland

Listed As Questionable For Game 3
Ja Morant

To Miss Game 4 On Saturday
Rui Hachimura

Available For Game 3 In Minnesota
Aaron Ekblad

Available To Return Saturday
Erik Swanson

Ryan Burr Progressing
Daulton Varsho

To Return On Tuesday At The Latest
Max Scherzer

Takes Positive Step On Friday
Aleksander Barkov

Questionable For Saturday
Gabriel Landeskog

Set For Larger Role In Game 4
Calvin Pickard

To Start Game 3 For Oilers
Randy Arozarena

Resting For First Time This Year
Jonas Siegenthaler

To Play Limited Minutes In Game 3
MLB

Red Sox-Guardians Game Postponed On Friday
Luke Hughes

Remains Out On Friday
MLB

Tigers-Orioles Postponed On Friday
Patrik Laine

A Game-Time Decision Friday
Yainer Diaz

Out On Friday Against Royals
Iván Herrera

Ivan Herrera Hopes To Start Rehab Assignment Next Week
Salvador Perez

Sitting Out For First Time This Season
Jaylen Brown

Questionable For Game 3 On Friday
Brendan Donovan

Back In Action On Friday
Jimmy Butler III

Could Miss Game 3 On Saturday
Coby Mayo

Getting On A Roll At Triple-A
Moises Ballesteros

Riding An 11-Game Hit Streak
Victor Mesa Jr.

Starting Rehab Assignment On Saturday
Carlos Prates

Looks To Remain Undefeated In The UFC
Ian Machado Garry

Set For UFC Kansas City Main Event
Cade Cunningham

Collects Double-Double In Loss
Jalen Brunson

Drops 30 Points In Game 3
Karl-Anthony Towns

Leads All Scorers In Game 3 Victory
Zhang Mingyang

Scheduled For Co-Main Event
Anthony Smith

Set For His Final UFC Bout
David Onama

Set For Featherweight Bout
Giga Chikadze

Looks To Bounce Back
Abus Magomedov

Looks For His Third Consecutive Win
Michel Pereira

Returns To Action At UFC Kansas City
Nicolas Dalby

An Underdog At UFC Kansas City
Randy Brown

A Favorite At UFC Kansas City
Andre Muniz

Set To Open Up UFC Kansas City Main Card
Ikram Aliskerov

Looks To Get Back In The Win Column
Sergei Bobrovsky

Shuts Out Lightning In Game 2
Cam Fowler

Finishes Thursday's Win With Five Points
Robert Thomas

Posts Four Assists In Game 3 Win
Pavel Buchnevich

Celebrates Hat Trick During Four-Point Performance
Dylan DeMelo

Battling An Illness
Marcus Johansson

Exits Early Thursday
Aleksander Barkov

Hurt In Game 2
Jrue Holiday

Tagged As Questionable For Friday
Jayson Tatum

Likely Out Again On Friday
Anthony Cirelli

Good To Go Thursday
Andrei Vasilevskiy

Looks To Bounce Back In Game 2
Rasmus Ristolainen

To Miss Training Camp
Jonas Siegenthaler

Returns To Practice
Aliaksei Protas

Traveling With Capitals
Gabriel Vilardi

Still Out On Thursday
Max Pacioretty

Set To Join Maple Leafs Lineup For Game 3
Cam Davis

Looking For Better Fortunes At TPC Louisiana
Adam Svensson

Making Third Apperence At Zurich Classic
Max Greyserman

Aiming For Similar Success At TPC Louisiana
Lee Hodges

A High-Upside Player In New Orleans
PGA

Nico Echavarria Looks To Ride Off Of Elite Putting In New Orleans
Gary Woodland

A Player Worth Watching In New Orleans
Max McGreevy

Returns To The Zurich Classic Of New Orleans
Rasmus Hojgaard

In Search Of Consistency Ahead Of Zurich Classic
Sam Stevens

A Boom-Or-Bust Candidate In New Orleans
Nicolai Hojgaard

Looking To Turn Season Around At Zurich Classic
Christiaan Bezuidenhout

Looks To Sway A Hot Putter In Teams Favor At Zurich Classic
Akshay Bhatia

Looking To Bounce Back At TPC Louisiana
Carson Young

Looks To Turn Things Around At TPC Louisiana
Erik Van Rooyen

Looking For Momentum In Louisiana
Andrew Novak

Making Start At TPC Louisiana After Near Miss At Harbour Town
Ben Griffin

Making Third Career Start At Zurich Classic
Taylor Moore

Competing With A New Teammate In New Orleans
Wyndham Clark

Making Return To New Orleans
Kurt Kitayama

Teeing It Up Again In New Orleans
Collin Morikawa

Back At Zurich Classic For Fifth Time
Thomas Detry

Making Third Appearance At New Orleans Team Event
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF