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EPL Betting Picks and Game Previews for Matchday 2: English Premier League

Jamie Steed previews EPL Matchday 2 of the 2024-2025 season, starting on 8/24/2024. He previews each game from the English Premier League; picking bets and providing predictions for each game.

The EPL season is back and so is our weekly article looking at betting picks and predictions for all games. Matchday 2 kicks off on Saturday, August 24 with Manchester United visiting Brighton. It culminates on Sunday, August 25 when Liverpool hosts Brentford.

As we did last season, we'll offer a preview of every game. We'll predict the outcome, give a score prediction, and pick our favorite play for all fixtures. Before you read on, remember these essential things: betting on sports should be fun. If you aren't having fun with it, stop. And never bet what you can't afford to lose.

We're bringing you more soccer content than ever at RotoBaller. There are FPL and DFS articles every week along with our weekly betting picks and game previews article, all of which can be found here. Follow the team on X (@EuanFPL, @TheFPLManual, @df_solutions, @BellRoto, and yours truly @Baseball_Jimbo), and reach out to any of us if you ever have any soccer questions.

 

Matchday 1 Recap

Near misses were the feature of last weekend. All three parlays missed out by one goal, so we took a loss despite getting three correct scores. Tottenham Hotspur's inability to score a second goal at Leicester City on Monday ultimately saw us lose the "moneyline" parlay.

Brighton scoring a meaningless third goal against 10-man Everton denied us the "over/under 2.5 goals" parlay. Fulham blanked at Manchester United to start the weekend festivities, leaving us with a losing "both teams to score" parlay. Here's hoping for better fortunes this weekend.

 

Saturday, August 24, 2024

Brighton (+145) vs. Manchester United (+160) - 7:30 a.m. EDT

Brighton was the biggest winner last weekend, cruising past Everton. It couldn't have gone any better for the Premier League's youngest-ever manager, Fabian Hürzeler. Manchester United needed a late goal to avoid a potential banana skin on opening day. It could've won more comfortably.

Manchester United's home form wasn't the issue last season. It was games like this, away to sides in the top 12 that have seen it slip up so often. It does look better but so did Brighton last week. It should be an entertaining game but I expect it'll be a tight affair and both teams finding the net looks most likely.

Score prediction: Brighton 1 – 1 Manchester United

Crystal Palace (+110) vs. West Ham United (+230) - 10:00 a.m. EDT

Palace was hard done when it lost to Brentford on Sunday. A controversially disallowed goal contributed to its 2-1 defeat. West Ham lost at home by the same scoreline. In West Ham's case, it was a scoreline that flattered it with Villa coming close multiple times.

We can look at expected goals (xG) and think West Ham was unlucky not to get at least a point last weekend. But it missed one sitter and scored a penalty, which inflated its xG. Villa routinely carved open West Ham and in Eberechi Eze, Palace has a star who could make the most of any leaky defense.

Score prediction: Crystal Palace 3 – 1 West Ham United

Fulham (-125) vs. Leicester City (+340) - 10:00 a.m. EDT

Fulham didn't create much at Manchester United last week. This is a completely different challenge and one it will expect to control and dominate more. Leicester's impressive draw on Monday was made possible by Tottenham missing chances. It'll need to tighten things up defensively to avoid relegation.

Fulham likely won't create as many chances as Tottenham did against Leicester. But, it likely won't be so profligate, either. Unless Leicester can show more defensive solidity, Fulham should be able to pick up the three points. Only the top eight teams won more home games than Fulham (nine) last season.

Score prediction: Fulham 2 – 1 Leicester City

Manchester City (-1200) vs. Ipswich Town (+2000) - 10:00 a.m. EDT

No Rodri, no problem for City. The champions got their title defense off to a solid start without their influential midfielder and other stars starting on the bench. Ipswich's survival won't depend on games like this or last weekend and it could be in for a torrid time on Saturday.

Manchester City's last home defeat was on November 12, 2022. It put to bed the theory it can't win without Rodri and shouldn't have any problem beating Ipswich at home. Erling Haaland could fill his boots and it's difficult to see a scenario where we don't see plenty of goals.

Score prediction: Manchester City 4 – 0 Ipswich Town

Southampton (+150) vs. Nottingham Forest (+175) - 10:00 a.m. EDT

Southampton will have fancied its chances of getting at least a point last weekend when Newcastle was reduced to 10 men. It will need to make the most of such opportunities if it is to stay up. Forest will also feel it dropped points, conceding a late equalizer at home.

I expect both teams to be fighting for Premier League survival this season. Southampton created opportunities last weekend and Forest has goals in it with Chris Wood continuing to look like a threat. I expect both teams to score in what should be a closely fought encounter.

Score prediction: Southampton 2 – 2 Nottingham Forest

Tottenham Hotspur (-230) vs. Everton (+550) - 10:00 a.m. EDT

Tottenham rued a host of missed chances on Monday. New striker Dominic Solanke was the worst culprit and will want to get his first goal for his new club in front of the home fans. Everton was blown away against Brighton but was arguably the better team until it went a goal behind.

While I don't foresee another comprehensive defeat for Everton, I can't make a case for it to win. December 16, 2023, was the last time Everton scored more than once away from home (12 games ago). Tottenham's last home clean sheet came on October 23, 2023 (16 games ago). Both teams will likely score here.

Score prediction: Tottenham Hotspur 2 – 1 Everton

Aston Villa (+310) vs. Arsenal (-125) - 12:30 p.m. EDT

Villa got its bid for another top-4 finish off to a great start. It will want to pick up as many points as possible before its Champions League campaign begins. Arsenal's performance was as professional as you'd expect from it when beating Wolves. This game will present a big challenge for it.

Arsenal lost both games against Villa last season without scoring. It'll want to right that wrong, although Villa will be very difficult to beat. Arsenal's defense has been the strongest in Europe this calendar year. It has conceded just nine EPL goals in 2024, so expect a low-scoring affair.

Score prediction: Aston Villa 1 – 1 Arsenal

 

Sunday, August 25, 2024

Bournemouth (+200) vs. Newcastle United (+120) - 9:00 a.m. EDT

Bournemouth began life without Dominic Solanke with a solid point at Forest. It missed last season's top scorer and will need to find a way to replicate his 19 goals from last campaign. Newcastle showed resistance in picking up a win after playing over an hour with 10 men against Southampton.

Newcastle's got plenty of attacking depth but had to be cautious after Fabian Schar's sending-off last week. I expect it to show off its attacking talents this week but also expect Bournemouth to pose a threat. It scored 15 goals in its final eight home games last season. Both teams to score looks like a solid bet.

Score prediction: Bournemouth 1 – 2 Newcastle United

Wolves (+340) vs. Chelsea (-140) - 9:00 a.m. EDT

While Wolves had a decent spell against Arsenal, it didn't carry a threat. That should change at home, especially against a Chelsea team still trying to find its best starting XI. Chelsea also be going into the game having played Thursday night in the Europa Conference League.

Wolves did the double over Chelsea last season. And it's difficult to make a case for Chelsea being a better team now than it was last campaign. Wolves are well-drilled and will be tough to beat. I fancy it to further the pressure on a Chelsea team that seemingly lacks any coherent direction.

Score prediction: Wolves 1 – 0 Chelsea

Liverpool (-400) vs. Brentford (+800) - 11:30 a.m. EDT

The Arne Slot era got off to a solid start, although Liverpool was made to work for its three points. It has an abundance of attacking threats but still seems light in midfield. The Ivan Toney saga didn't prevent Brentford from picking up three points but it's a headline issue that it'll want to resolve soon.

Liverpool (48) picked up more points at home than any other team last season. Despite conceding just 17 goals at home, Liverpool only kept one clean sheet in its final 12 home games. And that came on the final day of the season. Brentford scored in 14 of its 19 away games and both teams are set to score on Sunday.

Score prediction: Liverpool 3 – 1 Brentford

 

Betting Picks

The table below gives the odds for each of the three main plays for each game (moneyline, total goals, and both teams to score). My favorite pick from each game is highlighted if you are looking to build a parlay (which I will be playing and tracking).

Game Moneyline Over/Under 2.5 BTTS
Brighton 1 – 1 Man United Draw +270 U2.5 +140 Yes -215
C. Palace 3 – 1 West Ham C. Palace +110 O2.5 -130 Yes -165
Fulham 2 – 1 Leicester Fulham -125 O2.5 -125 Yes -150
Man City 4 – 0 Ipswich Man City -1200 O2.5 -360 No -170
Southampton 2 – 2 N. Forest Draw +235 O2.5 -115 Yes -150
Tottenham 2 – 1 Everton Tottenham +230 O2.5 -205 Yes -160
Aston Villa 1 – 1 Arsenal Draw +280 U2.5 +110 Yes -170
Bournemouth 1 – 2 Newcastle Newcastle +120 O2.5 -190 Yes -220
Wolves 1 – 0 Chelsea Wolves +340 U2.5 -125 No +130
Liverpool 3 – 1 Brentford Liverpool -400 O2.5 -340 Yes -160
Season totals 6/10 5/10 5/10
Season parlays 0/1 (-1.00u) 0/1 (-1.00u) 0/1 (-1.00u)

Good luck with those FPL teams and EPL bets. Remember to bet responsibly!

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