RADIO
BALLER MOVE: Target Around ~78 Overall
CURRENT ADP: ~90
ANALYSIS: Towards the back end of last season, from Weeks 8-13, New York Jets’ WR Elijah Moore went on an absolute tear. Over that span, he was the WR4 with 16.1 half-PPR PPG, behind only Justin Jefferson, Deebo Samuel, and Cooper Kupp. Moore was on pace to have an outstanding late breakout before his season abruptly ended due to injury.
However, it is also important to note that within those six games, Jets’ QBs Zach Wilson, Mike White, and Joe Flacco played two games each. Elijah Moore is clearly capable of producing fantasy-relevant numbers no matter who is throwing him the ball, which is especially important considering Wilson’s preseason injury that could sideline him for the beginning of the year.
However, the Jets’ recent decision to select former Ohio State WR Garrett Wilson 10th overall in the 2022 NFL Draft seems to be the main reason for Moore’s ADP being set at WR31, despite clearly breaking out as a rookie.
While I do believe Wilson is an extremely talented receiver, there is more than enough opportunity in this offense for both to be relevant for fantasy football. During Moore’s six-week breakout last season, he averaged 8.5 targets per game, while the combination of Corey Davis, Jamison Crowder, Braxton Berrios, and Denzel Mims averaged 16 targets per game throughout that stretch.
Heading into Elijah Moore’s second season, it is very likely that he maintains the same target pace as last season, while Garrett Wilson commands a majority of the targets previously held by those rotational players. Don’t overthink it, take the massive discount on this young, ultra-talented receiver on an ascending offense.
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