BALLER MOVE: Draft target ~pick 360
CURRENT ADP: ~382 overall
ANALYSIS: You want hitters in Coors. This is not a new strategy. After coming over from Pittsburgh last year, Diaz seems to be the starter in Colorado this year. In the small sample size of 2020, he had an 11.3% barrel rate, 41.5% Hard Hit%, and a .265 xBA. He also raised his launch angle as 2020 went on, starting around 12-degrees and spending most of September with a launch angle that hovered around 18 degrees or higher.
Obviously, that would be beneficial when he plays half of his games in the thin Colorado air. As another guy who frequently posts sub-20% strikeout rates, Diaz is going to put the bat on the ball, which usually leads to good things in Coors Field. He's lower on the ADP because he's likely in a timeshare and won't be as valuable away from Coors, but he hit .286 with 10 HR across 82 games in Pittsburgh in 2018, so there is some value in the bat in a nice home situation.
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