X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Draft Rankings
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Value Picks
Compare Any Players
News and Alerts

Early Summer ADP Fallers at Wide Receiver

Antonio Losada examines ADP variation of wide receivers from the start of May to the start of June and assesses their situations to find key fallers at WR in fantasy football drafts.

I am going to start this column by introducing the idea of ADP, which I'm pretty sure you know what it is about. Average Draft Position (ADP) indicates the average position where a player is drafted over more than one fantasy football draft. You can consider it as the price you have to pay to draft and get a player on your team. A high ADP (that is, actually, a low-numbered ADP) means that a player is going off draft boards early, and thus you'll need to draft him in the first few rounds if you truly want him.

Low or high ADP values, though, are not gospel. Each of us fantasy GMs have our strategies and value players differently depending on what we think is the most important for them to have in terms of abilities. No matter what, though, ADPs are good to know how the "average value" of the "average GM" you'll be drafting against is at for each asset (in this case, the players). By now, with free agency and the draft well finalized and just a few players left to be signed, it makes sense to go look at how ADPs are varying during the past month as we get closer to peak draft season.

In this series, I’ll highlight players at each skill position seeing significant fluctuation since the start of May leading up to June using data from FFPC drafts that have taken place in that period. Today, it's time to look at four wide receiver fallers.

Be sure to check all of our fantasy football rankings for 2025:

 

Wide Receivers - ADP Fallers

 

CeeDee Lamb, Dallas Cowboys

The Cowboys got who most people think was the No. 1 WR of the 2020 class in CeeDee Lamb during this past draft. The problem for Lamb, though, has more to do with the competition he'll face in a crowded Dallas offense than with his own ability. Although Lamb played mostly at the slot position in college he is expected to be used outside in the NFL with Amari Cooper taking on slot duties.

Again, Lamb is a top-tier receiver and will show it from the get-go. There is no doubt about that and the targets will be there no matter what. Even with that, PFF still gives Michael Gallup (102 targets, 177.2 PPR) and Amari Cooper (113, 204.3) better projections than Lamb's (76, 131.0). Add Ezekiel Elliott to that, and Dak Prescott not having his deal in place yet, and the concerns from fantasy GMs are a little bit more understandable. The drop in ADP is not that big, though, only slightly over one round during the past month. Lamb is still being heavily overpaid for, as he projects to be the 149th-best player overall while having an ADP of 118, for a negative ROI. Let him slide more before drafting him or entirely fade him.

 

Robby Anderson, Carolina Panthers

The Panthers offense isn't any less crowded than the Cowboys'. Anderson signed with Carolina but he will most probably have to be content with whatever is left for him after all of D.J. Moore, Curtis Samuel, and Christian McCaffrey eat. Will that be much? I'm not entirely sure, and fantasy GMs (via ADP) are expressing their concerns.

Anderson is a burner and a deep threat, and he will probably be used exclusively that way with Moore and Samuel getting shorter routes and passes. To be fair, Anderson's current ADP is getting into the realm of "low price, good investment" as he projects to reach 124.7 PPR points in 2020 and his value is rising daily with a steady drop in his ADP. He'll be a walking boom/bust play, but if his price plummets from this point to your draft day, consider him a great what-if acquisition.

 

Jerry Jeudy, Denver Broncos

As things look at the time of this writing, either Jeudy's ADP keeps falling, or he will stay as a negative ROI-play. Jeudy's situation in Denver, as a rookie, is not that bad. He will mostly have to compete with Courtland Sutton at the receiver position. Things get murkier if we factor in the backfield of Melvin Gordon II and Phillip Lindsay, both more than capable as pass-catching running backs. Perhaps that is what is having fantasy GMs letting him slip a bit in drafts these days.

While fellow rookie K.J. Hamler will man the slot, both Jeudy and Sutton will be outside threats. Jeudy projects to get 91 targets for 673 yards (with 3 TDs) for 142.0 PPR points next season. That would rank him as the WR50 on the year, but his ADP is the 40th-higher among wideouts right now. That makes him almost a full-round overpriced. His ADP is plummeting, though, so I'll wait a bit on Jeudy before taking him, and wouldn't draft him inside the first 10 rounds.

 

John Brown, Buffalo Bills

Brown is entering year seven in the NFL. There has only been one season in which he has averaged fewer than 14 yards per reception. Stefon Diggs, his new partner in crime from 2020 on, sits on the flipside of the coin with only one season averaging more than 14 yards per reception. I can extract three things from the Bills' offseason: 1) Brown will drop from No. 1 receiver to No. 2 after the addition of Diggs, 2) Brown will be used even more downfield than to this point, and 3) Brown will have more chances to thrive with Diggs taking attention away from him.

While Diggs can be counted on for 200 PPR points yearly, Brown has reached that mark only twice in his career (including 219.8 PPR last year), but that should regress a bit next year. Even with that drop (PFF is predicting 156.6 PPR points for him in 2020), Brown's current ADP has him as a prominent sleeper and clear steal at WR. He's projected as the WR42 but his ADP is a full round behind the point we should expect it to be -- and still going down daily. Get Brown before fantasy owners realize what they're passing on.

More Fantasy Football Analysis




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Draft Rankings
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Value Picks
Compare Any Players
News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

George Springer17 mins ago

Hits First Homer In Win Over Nationals
Alex Bregman25 mins ago

Considering Using Torpedo Bat
Trae Young28 mins ago

Expected To Suit Up On Wednesday
Freddie Freeman34 mins ago

Remains Out On Wednesday
Ozzie Albies41 mins ago

Moving To Leadoff Spot On Wednesday
Joel Embiid50 mins ago

Will Undergo Arthroscopic Surgery On His Left Knee
Evgeni Malkin50 mins ago

Joins Penguins For Road Trip
Freddy Peralta59 mins ago

Dazzles In No-Decision Against Royals
Filip Chytil1 hour ago

Could Miss Rest Of Season
Jackson Chourio1 hour ago

Picks Up Three Hits, First Homer In Extra-Innings Win
Declan Chisholm1 hour ago

Back In Action Against Rangers
Michael Harris II1 hour ago

Sitting Against Lefty On Wednesday
Keaton Wallace1 hour ago

Sidelined Again On Wednesday
Samuel Girard1 hour ago

Exits Avalanche Lineup Wednesday
Gunnar Henderson1 hour ago

To Make Another Rehab Appearance On Wednesday
Joel Kiviranta1 hour ago

Returning Against Blackhawks
Paul Skenes1 hour ago

Wins His First Game Of The Season
Cole Ragans2 hours ago

Fans 10 In No-Decision On Wednesday
Eeli Tolvanen2 hours ago

Misses First Game Of The Season
Ketel Marte2 hours ago

Agrees To Six-Year Extension With Diamondbacks
Jaden Schwartz2 hours ago

Unavailable Against Canucks
Iván Herrera2 hours ago

Ivan Herrera Slugs Three Homers, Drives In Six In Win Over Angels
Brayan Bello3 hours ago

To Make Another Rehab Start On Sunday
3 hours ago

Kyle McCord Rising Up Draft Boards?
3 hours ago

Ashton Jeanty To Raiders Continues To Gain Steam
Ketel Marte3 hours ago

Diamondbacks Working On Extension For Ketel Marte
3 hours ago

Emeka Egbuka To Fall To Round 2?
Los Angeles Rams3 hours ago

Rob Havenstein Expected To Be Ready For Training Camp
Frankie Montas4 hours ago

Playing Catch From 60 Feet
Trea Turner4 hours ago

Returns To Wednesday's Lineup
Max Scherzer4 hours ago

Hopes To Resume Throwing On Friday
DL Hall4 hours ago

Scheduled To Throw A Bullpen On April 15
Aaron Ashby4 hours ago

Set To Throw Bullpen April 11
Derek Hill4 hours ago

Remains Out With Back Tightness
Jack Leiter5 hours ago

Removed From Wednesday's Start With A Blister
Cleveland Browns5 hours ago

Mike Hall Likely To Miss Offseason Program After Having Knee Surgery
New England Patriots5 hours ago

Christian Barmore Expected To Be Ready For Offseason Workouts
5 hours ago

Saints Expected To Visit With Quinn Ewers
Jake Moody6 hours ago

49ers To Bring In Competition For Jake Moody
Pittsburgh Steelers6 hours ago

Steelers In Play To Draft A Running Back
Green Bay Packers8 hours ago

Packers Not Ruling Out Jaire Alexander Returning
Tennessee Titans8 hours ago

No. 1 Overall Pick Might Not Be For Sale
Kenny Pickett8 hours ago

Browns Feel Good About QB Situation, Kenny Pickett
Cleveland Browns8 hours ago

Browns Unlikely To Trade Up To No. 1 Overall For Cam Ward
Cincinnati Bengals8 hours ago

Bengals Still Working On Contract Extension With Trey Hendrickson
Dyami Brown9 hours ago

Jaguars Intrigued By Dyami Brown's Potential
Pittsburgh Steelers9 hours ago

All Options On The Table For Steelers At Quarterback
Jordan Mason9 hours ago

To Factor Into Short-Yardage, Goal-Line Situations
Bennedict Mathurin9 hours ago

Iffy For Wednesday
Joe Milton III9 hours ago

Patriots Have Received Multiple Trade Inquiries For Joe Milton III
Myles Turner10 hours ago

May Miss Another Game Wednesday
Al Horford10 hours ago

Considered Doubtful Wednesday
Jrue Holiday10 hours ago

Questionable For Wednesday's Game
Kristaps Porzingis10 hours ago

Listed As Questionable For Wednesday
Jaylen Brown10 hours ago

Could Remain On The Shelf Wednesday
Cade Cunningham10 hours ago

Likely Out For Fifth Straight Game
Anthony Davis10 hours ago

Probable Wednesday
Evan Bouchard12 hours ago

Tallies Two Assists In Victory
Jake Guentzel12 hours ago

Tallies Goal, Assist In Victory
Kirill Marchenko12 hours ago

Scores Hat Trick On Tuesday
Tage Thompson12 hours ago

Stays Hot On The Scoresheet
Lane Hutson12 hours ago

Dishes Out Three Helpers In Overtime Victory
Alex Ovechkin12 hours ago

Tallies Two Points In Victory
Cameron Young17 hours ago

A Player To Avoid At Valero Texas Open
Kurt Kitayama17 hours ago

In Search Of Consistency At Valero Texas Open
Si Woo Kim18 hours ago

Looking To Bounce Back At Valero Texas Open
Evan Engram18 hours ago

Sean Payton Excited About Evan Engram In Joker Role
Caleb Williams19 hours ago

To Spend More Time Working Under Center
Tom Hoge19 hours ago

Looking To Build Off Strong Performance At The PLAYERS Championship
Daniel Jones19 hours ago

Anthony Richardson, Daniel Jones To Split First-Team Reps This Offseason
Matt Fitzpatrick22 hours ago

Looking For Consistency At Valero Texas Open
Corey Conners22 hours ago

Continues Strong Form Ahead Of Valero Texas Open
Patrick Cantlay22 hours ago

Eyeing Victory At Valero Texas Open
Gary Woodland22 hours ago

Showing Great Form Ahead Of Valero Texas Open
Akshay Bhatia22 hours ago

Aiming For Repeat At Valero Texas Open
Alejandro Tosti23 hours ago

A Volatile Choice At TPC San Antonio
Guerschon Yabusele24 hours ago

Out Against Knicks
Karl-Anthony Towns24 hours ago

Sits Out Tuesday's Game
Jevon Carter24 hours ago

Ruled Out Tuesday
Dalen Terry24 hours ago

Unavailable Against Raptors
Julian Phillips24 hours ago

Out On Tuesday
Jalen Smith1 day ago

Available Against Raptors
Lonzo Ball1 day ago

Still Out On Tuesday
Kevin Huerter1 day ago

Cleared For Tuesday's Matchup
Josh Giddey1 day ago

Will Play On Tuesday
Dalano Banton1 day ago

Starting Against The Hawks
Jimmy Snuggerud1 day ago

Ready For NHL Debut Tuesday
Jacob Trouba1 day ago

Set To Rejoin Ducks Lineup Tuesday
Troy Terry1 day ago

On Track To Play Tuesday
Jonathan Marchessault1 day ago

Remains Out Against Blue Jackets
Alex Laferriere1 day ago

Expected To Return On Tuesday
Luke Schenn1 day ago

A Game-Time Decision Tuesday
Dante Fabbro1 day ago

Returns Against Predators
Olli Määttä1 day ago

Olli Maatta A Game-Time Call On Tuesday
Jordan Spieth1 day ago

Needs To Find Consistency At TPC San Antonio
Jake Knapp1 day ago

Making First Appearance At Valero Texas Open
Michael Kim1 day ago

Looking To Find The Magic Again In San Antonio
Tommy Fleetwood1 day ago

Is Nearly A Must-Play At Valero Texas Open
Tony Finau1 day ago

Hoping For Better Approach Play In San Antonio
Eric Cole1 day ago

Trending In Right Direction Ahead Of Valero
Sam Stevens2 days ago

Enjoys Nice Result In Houston
PGA2 days ago

J.T. Poston Seeks To Contend At Valero Texas Open
Denny McCarthy2 days ago

Keeps Making Cuts But Needs To Make More Putts
Brian Harman2 days ago

Off To A Subpar 2025 So Far
Ryan Preece2 days ago

Has Three Straight Top-10 Finishes For First Time In His Career
NASCAR2 days ago

Bubba Wallace After Third-Place Finish At Martinsville: "What a Great Day"
Todd Gilliland2 days ago

Has Mistake-Free Day At Martinsville, Grabs Another Top-10 Finish
Brandon Moreno2 days ago

Wins Back-To-Back Fights
Steve Erceg2 days ago

Losses Third Consecutive Fight
Drew Dober2 days ago

Gets Knocked Out At UFC Mexico City
Manuel Torres2 days ago

Gets Back In The Win Column
Harry Hall2 days ago

Bounces Back In Houston Last Week
CJ Vergara2 days ago

Gets Submitted
Édgar Cháirez2 days ago

Edgar Chairez Gets Submission Win At UFC Mexico City
Vince Morales2 days ago

Drops Decision At UFC Mexico City
Raul Rosas Jr.2 days ago

Gets Decision Win At UFC Mexico City
Saimon Oliveira2 days ago

Still Winless In The UFC
David Martinez2 days ago

Wins His UFC Debut
Kevin Borjas2 days ago

Earns His First UFC Win
Ronaldo Rodríguez2 days ago

Ronaldo Rodriguez Suffers His First UFC Loss
Christopher Bell2 days ago

Powers His Way To A Second-Place Finish At Martinsville
Chase Elliott2 days ago

Strong Martinsville Performance Ends With A Top-Five Finish
Kyle Larson2 days ago

Collects A Top-Five Finish At Martinsville
William Byron2 days ago

Places 22nd After Struggles At Martinsville
Joey Logano2 days ago

Claims His First 2025 Top-10 Finish After Up-And-Down Performance
Tyler Reddick2 days ago

Fails To Place In The Top 10 At Martinsville
Denny Hamlin3 days ago

Silences Doubters After Crew-Chief Change
Ty Gibbs3 days ago

Earns Best 2025 Finish At Martinsville Despite Failing Cool Suit
Ross Chastain3 days ago

Has A Great Day At Martinsville
Chase Briscoe3 days ago

Has Solid Run At Martinsville
Erik Jones3 days ago

Disqualified At Martinsville For Weight Violation
Josh Berry3 days ago

Has Top-10 Upside At Martinsville
Joey Logano3 days ago

Don't Overlook Joey Logano This Weekend
Ryan Preece3 days ago

Could Get First Three-Race Top-10 Streak Of His Career
Chase Elliott3 days ago

Looking To Continue Great Runs At Martinsville
Christopher Bell3 days ago

Wins Pole At Martinsville, But Can He Stay Up There?
Ryan Blaney3 days ago

Fast In Practice But Skeptical About Car
Denny Hamlin3 days ago

New Crew Chief Has Terrible Martinsville Record
Steve Erceg5 days ago

Looks To Get Back In The Win Column
Brandon Moreno5 days ago

A Favorite At UFC Mexico City
Manuel Torres5 days ago

Set For Co-Main Event
Drew Dober5 days ago

An Underdog At UFC Mexico City
Joe Pyfer5 days ago

Looks To Win Back-To-Back Fights
Kelvin Gastelum5 days ago

Set For Middleweight Matchup
Vince Morales5 days ago

In Dire Need Of Victory
Raul Rosas Jr.5 days ago

Looks To Extend His Win Streak
Saimon Oliveira5 days ago

Looks For His First UFC Win
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF