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Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the Philadelphia Eagles vs. Detroit Lions, another article in our weekly series of free NFL betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free NFL betting breakdown article is for Sunday, September 11th, 2022.
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Today's Betting Overview - Eagles @ Lions
The Eagles take on the Lions on Sunday, September 11th at Ford Field, Detroit. RotoBaller provides free handicapping picks and odds for all NFL games throughout the 2022 season.
- Matchup: Philadelphia Eagles (0-0) vs. Detroit Lions (0-0)
- Date: Sunday, September 11th, 2022
- Time: 1:00 PM ET
- Venue: Ford Field
Today's NFL Sportsbook Odds - Eagles @ Lions
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Philadelphia Eagles - NFL Betting Analysis
Philadelphia heads into the season looking to make another appearance in the playoffs. Last year's team ended the year with a 31-15 loss to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in the Wild Card. Philadelphia is coming off a season in which they finished 2nd in the NFC East on a record of 9-8.
This season, Philadelphia will look to once again be strong on offense, as the team averaged 26.1 points per game in 2021-2022, placing them 26.1 in the league. Last year, the Eagles averaged 27.56 points and 374 yards per game against the 10 worst scoring defenses in the NFL. They will be looking for a big performance as Detroit ended the 2021-2022 season ranked 31st in points allowed per game.
On offense, the 2021-2022 Philadelphia Eagles finished the year with a yards per play figure of 5.7, good for 13th in the NFL. In total, Philadelphia surpassed their season average in yards per play in just 47.0% of their games.
Leading into this week's matchup, Philadelphia will once again roll with Jalen Hurts in his 3rd season in the league. For the season, Hurts played in a total of 15 games for Philadelphia. Overall, he finished 21st in passing yards with a total of 3,144.
Last year, the Eagles gave up points similar to the NFL average at 22.6 points per game (18th). The unit only gave up 22.6 points or more in 7 of their games.
Detroit Lions - NFL Betting Analysis
In the 2021-2022 season, the Detroit Lions posted a regular season record of 3-13-1. This performance left them in last place in the NFC North.
Last year, points were hard to come by for a Lions offense ranked just 26th in points per game. the Lions have a matchup against the 18th-ranked scoring defense in 2021-2022. In last year's games against teams that finished in the middle third of the league in points allowed, Detroit averaged 21.38 points per game and an average of 317.88 yards.
This season, Detroit is looking to improve their ability to maintain offensive possession, as they were near the bottom of the league in time of possession per game. The team won the time of possession battle in 4 of last season's games.
Heading into the game, quarterback Jared Goff enters his 7th Season of his career. Last season, Goff started 14 games for the Lions. In terms of production, he threw for a total of 3,245 yards, placing him 20th in the league.
This year, the Lions will look to have a better defensive unit, as last year's group allowed an average of 27.5 points per game. This week, Detroit will face off against last year's 12th rated scoring offense. In the 2021-2022 season, they allowed an average of 28.25 points per game to teams that finished in the middle third of the league in scoring.
Today's NFL Betting Pick - Eagles vs. Lions
Looking back at the recent matchups between Philadelphia and Detroit, the Lions have taken 2 of the last 3 contests. The over-under record in these games sits at 3-0-0, with the average scoring total coming in at 49.33 points. When looking at last year's head-to-head result, the Eagles entered as -3.5 point favorites and covered with a 44-6 win. The over-under betting line was set at 48.5 points.
The Detroit Lions have gone 2-1 vs the spread in these games. The Eagles offense has averaged 30.33 points per game over the 3 most recent meetings with Detroit, compared to the Lions at 19.0.
Looking back to last year, Philadelphia covered the spread in less than half of their games, going just 8-8-1 ATS. The Eagles record vs the spread on the road was 5-4-0. They finished the year by being favored in 7 of their games.
During the 2021-2022 regular season, the Detroit Lions were one of the better teams vs the spread, going 11-6-0. Similar to their overall performance vs the spread, Lions performed well at home, covering 75.0% of their games home from home. The Detroit Lions entered 12 of their games as underdogs of more than 4.0 points, going 9-3 vs the spread. Detroit finished these matchups with an average scoring differential of -6.33 points.
Going back to last year, the Eagles ended the season with an over-under mark of 10-7-0. When playing on the road, the Philadelphia Eagles finished the season averaging 25.56 points per game, right in line with their season average of 26.1.The team's defense played better on the road allowing an average of 22.65 points per game.
Last season, the Detroit Lions had an over-under record of 7-10-0. When playing at home, the Detroit Lions finished the season averaging 22.12 points per game, a jump up from their season average of 19.1. Overall, the team's defense gave up an average of 27.47 points per game, similar to their home figure of 27.88.
Recommended ATS Betting Pick: Eagles -4.0
Recommended OU Betting Pick: Under 48.5
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