BALLER MOVE: Draft target ~pick 375
CURRENT ADP: ~412 overall
ANALYSIS: After Bundy was traded to the Angels, he flourished during the 2020 season. In 65.2 innings, he posted a 3.29 ERA and 2.95 FIP, posting career-bests in strikeout rate, walk rate, and home-run rate. Heading into 2021, the expectation was that he had finally discovered his potential and would be a big part of the Angels' postseason plan. Instead, Bundy struggled mightily. His 21.2% strikeout rate was the lowest of his career, while he allowed a 6.06 ERA and was out of a spot in the rotation by the midseason point. What happened? Well, there are a number of factors to consider.
In 2020, Bundy thrived by decreasing his fastball + sinker usage to under 42%. In 2021, though, he spiked that to 51.6. Meanwhile, after starting out with a fastball velocity of 92 MPH, he was under 91 MPH by May. It truly was a season to forget for the 29-year-old. In Minnesota, we should hopefully see Bundy increase his breaking ball usage to make up for his lack of fastball success. Furthermore, pitching in the AL Central will help boost his numbers in addition to pitching in the 10th-least friendly ballpark for home runs. We know the talent is there. Now, the question is: can it be maximized in Minnesota? That's the hope, and he's a great flyer pick as the 163rd pitcher off the board currently.
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