
Spencer's DraftKings PGA DFS lineup picks for the 2025 Zurich Classic of New Orleans. His PGA DFS targets and value plays for daily fantasy golf lineups, and golfers to avoid.
Welcome, everyone, to my DraftKings PGA DFS lineup picks and advice for the 2025 Zurich Classic. I'll be providing DFS picks and analysis to help you set those winning DraftKings lineups.
New starting this year -- if you would like to see a deeper dive into my DraftKings analysis and thoughts for the week, you can click that link and find my beefed-up version, including more picks, data, analysis, and PGA DFS models.
Be sure to follow me on Twitter /X @TeeOffSports to get more answers this week. Also, if you aren't doing so already, I'd love for you to consider signing up for my RotoBaller premium subscription. There are numerous tools available, including my heralded 'PGA Rankings Wizard Model.'
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Fantasy Golf Lineup Picks for DraftKings - The Zurich Classic
Below are some of my favorite picks for DraftKings. We also have tons of other great weekly PGA articles, DFS analysis, tools, and DFS advice. Be sure to read our other fantastic articles regarding this week's event.
PGA DFS Rankings Wizard - Spencer's Model (And More)
We have some exciting changes that we are implementing this year over at RotoBaller. There will be multiple subscription-based tiers for our readers to enjoy, including my very own TeeOffSports VIP Package that will include the following items:
PGA Rankings Wizard Model (Pre-Tournament)
- A powerful and interactive data spreadsheet that allows user inputs to create custom rankings and models for golf. If you are considering signing up, take a look at this how-to guide of everything you can find weekly inside my pre-tournament model. The sheet is loaded with sortable and weighable information to help you in all sectors of the market.
- The Zurich Classic
Vegas Report (All Pre-Tournament Bets)
- Top Pre-Tournament H2H Pick: (104-60-9) 63.41%
- All Pre-Tournament H2Hs: (296-228-30) 56.48%
- In-Tournament H2Hs (300-200-55) 60.00%
- Total H2Hs Since 2017: (596-428-85) 58.20%
- Outright Winners Since 2017: 51
- Units: +340.903 Units
- All Totals Are Entering 2025
- Click here to see an example
In-Tournament Model (Updated Stats + User Configuration Ability)
- Here, you will find updated stats for the particular tournament -- all sortable and weighable when you make a copy of your own under the file tab. The purpose of this is to provide an area where you can research the daily proceedings for DFS strategy or find outright or daily head-to-head wagers. There are over 25 weighable categories by the time Round 4 comes around, including the ability to add back in your pre-tournament research for every day.
In-Tournament Head-To-Head Bets For Rounds 1,2,3 and 4
- Lifetime Record:
- (300-200-55) 60.00%
- Click here to see an example
First-Round Leader/ 3-Ball Articles
- Nine first-round leader wins in 2022.
- Click here to see an example
One & Done (Deep-Dive Into Potential Options To Consider)
- 10+ million in earnings during two of the past three seasons while providing information for contests. We will take a comprehensive look into a handful of options to consider.
- Click here to see an example
Late DraftKings Article (Condensed Player Pool) + Ownership Trends
- We will build off the Monday article throughout the week and consolidate selections toward a more concrete player pool for everyone to consider by Wednesday.
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You can also sign up for the rest of the year for a discounted purchase that runs through December 31st. Now is the perfect time to try out all the great features at RotoBaller!
Let's Look at the Stats
tat | TPC Louisiana | PGA Average |
Driving Distance | 276 | 284 |
Driving Accuracy | 63% | 61% |
GIR Percentage | 66% | 65% |
Scrambling Percentage | 60% | 57% |
Average Three-Putts Per Round | 0.33 | 0.55 |
Field
Field Size: 80 Teams
Cut: Top 33 & Ties
Top 20 Entrants: 5
Last Five Winners of The Zurich Classic
2024 | Rory McIlroy/Shane Lowry | -25 |
2023 | Nick Hardy/Davis Riley | -30 |
2022 | Xander Schauffele/Patrick Cantlay | -29 |
2021 | Cameron Smith/Marc Leishman | -20 |
2019 | Jon Rahm/Shane Lowry | -26 |
Expected Cut-Line at The Zurich Classic
2024 | -8 |
2023 | -9 |
2022 | -7 |
2021 | -5 |
2020 | -7 |
2019 | -5 |
TPC Louisiana
7,425 Yards - Par 72 - Greens Bermuda
You can find my premium course breakdown in my premium DraftKings article this week.
First Look Into Outright Bets
Player | Price |
Norgaard/Svensson | 55 |
Clark/Moore | 24 |
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Like what you read today? You can show your support for Spencer by using the promo code TEEOFF when purchasing a PGA Premium Pass. You get 10% off and full access to all of our Premium PGA articles, Spencer's data models, DFS tools, and Lineup Optimizer! You also get exclusive access to weekly betting picks from Spencer Aguiar, one of the top betting minds in the industry!
Final 2023 Golf Betting Results:
(Individual breakdowns of all sections in thread) @RotoBaller2023 (+16.634 Units)
2022 (+67.485 Units)
2021 (+68.846 Units)
2020 (+37.015 Units)
2019 (+27.743 Units)
2018 (+55.88 Units)
2017 (+54.26 Units)Overall: (+327.863 Units) pic.twitter.com/tuaDfwFXlo
— Spencer Aguiar (@TeeOffSports) November 21, 2023
Favorite Targets Early On Monday
Wyndham Clark/Taylor Moore ($9,500)
Ownership and other issues will dictate this discussion. However, if gamers view this tournament through one of two lenses, we could have a potential mishap to take advantage of this week.
- DFS players believing that only 80 teams will create a more straightforward path toward a 6-of-6 build. That is not the case inside my model, and I can very easily pinpoint a route that will demand more safety than the stars/scrubs approach.
- Believing that volatile returns in the past are indicative of that answer again. I understand that we have had some really wonky teams compete late into this event (and I am not saying it won't happen again), but this answer goes alongside #1 that trying to predict that outcome is like trying to find a needle in a haystack.
There are a lot of different routes we can consider for roster construction, and I don't think it eliminates any particular team up top, but I do want to note that my model only had three teams in the $6,000 range grade inside the top 40 of my model. With that, we get an optimal answer in my model that does like certain value thresholds, which starts with Clark/Moore grading as the second-best value on the slate of all teams priced at $8,000+.
My math showed we had three teams this week where both players ranked in the top 65 of all six categories. That upside mark is one of the reasons only Rory McIlroy and Collin Morikawa graded higher than Clark for pure increase of him being included in the duo, and it shouldn't hurt matters that Moore clawed himself into that top 65 metric across the board because of his overall quality data points from top to bottom.
There is a reason both of these players have competed for this title with other partners, and the tandem might be the perfect pairing to elevate both to the top.
Jesper Svensson/Niklas Norgaard ($8,500)
I was surprised to see this price on Jesper Svensson/Niklas Norgaard, but I was even more surprised that my model found the duo to be the most undervalued team at $8,000+.
Svensson/Norgaard have a tantalizing production profile that generates high-end par-five potential, respectable par-four birdie returns, and dominant off-the-tee games that rank as well as anyone else in this field.
Will their approach play derail them in alternate shot format? Perhaps...However, the fact that both tend to struggle in that area could be helpful since it won't be out of the norm for either when they miss a green in regulation. Consider this a high-ceiling pick with a respectable floor because of their consistent metrics across the board.
Look for them to be 'Best Ball' dominators.
Ryan Gerard/Danny Walker ($7,500), Bud Cauley/Kevin Tway ($7,300)
These are the two best values I have on the board for a team that graded inside the top 30 of my model.
The Kevin Tway profile is completely boom-or-bust next to Bud Cauley's safety. The combination may work at a higher success rate than projected. Also, Gerard and Walker delivered top-45 overall outputs for each golfer in the overall section of my model.
Here are all the teams to accomplish that task in New Orleans. You will notice they are the least expensive of the group:
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