X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Weekly Rankings
Compare Any Players
Stats & Leaders
Starts and Sit
Daily Fantasy
Who To Pickup
24x7 News and Alerts

DraftKings PGA DFS Lineup Picks - The Butterfield Bermuda Championship Golf Advice With Ben Griffin, Sam Stevens, Andrew Novak, Roger Sloan and More (2024)

Be sure to follow me on Twitter /X @TeeOffSports to get more answers this week. Also, if you aren't doing so already, I'd love for you to consider signing up for my RotoBaller premium subscription. There are numerous tools available, including my heralded 'PGA Rankings Wizard Model.'

 

PGA DFS Rankings Wizard - The Butterfield Bermuda Championship

We have some exciting changes that we are implementing this year over at RotoBaller. There will be multiple subscription-based tiers for our readers to enjoy, including my very own TeeOffSports VIP Package that will include the following items:

Featured Promo: Get any DFS Premium Bundle for for 10% off using code BALLER! Win more with expert advice from proven winners and exclusive DFS tools. Get instant access to RotoBaller's Lineup Optimizers, Research Stations, daily picks and VIP chat rooms across 10 sports! Go Premium, Win More!

PGA Rankings Wizard Model (Pre-Tournament)

  • A powerful and interactive data spreadsheet that allows user inputs to create custom rankings and models for golf. If you are considering signing up, take a look at this how-to guide of everything you can find weekly inside my pre-tournament model. The sheet is loaded with sortable and weighable information to help you in all sectors of the market. 
  • The Butterfield Bermuda Championship

Vegas Report (All Pre-Tournament Bets)

  • Top Pre-Tournament H2H Pick: (104-60-9) 63.41%
  • All Pre-Tournament H2Hs: (265-194-25) 57.73%
  • Total H2Hs Since 2017: (518-361-71) 58.93%
  • Outright Winners Since 2017: 42
  • Units: +327.863 Units
  • All Totals Are Entering 2024
  • Click here to see an example

In-Tournament Model (Updated Stats + User Configuration Ability)

  • Here, you will find updated stats for the particular tournament -- all sortable and weighable when you make a copy of your own under the file tab. The purpose of this is to provide an area where you can research the daily proceedings for DFS strategy or find outright or daily head-to-head wagers. There are over 25 weighable categories by the time Round 4 comes around, including the ability to add back in your pre-tournament research for every day.

In-Tournament Head-To-Head Bets For Rounds 1,2,3 and 4

First-Round Leader Article

One & Done (Deep-Dive Into Potential Options To Consider)

  • 10+ million in earnings during two of the past three seasons while providing information for contests. We will take a comprehensive look into a handful of options to consider.
  • Click here to see an example

Late DraftKings Article (Condensed Player Pool)

  • We will build off the Monday article throughout the week and consolidate selections toward a more concrete player pool for everyone to consider by Wednesday.

Premium Discord Access

  • Join the community! You will be able to talk to fellow subscribers and have real-time weekly chats with the team.

TeeOffSports membership

You can also sign up for the rest of the year for a discounted purchase that runs through December 31st. Now is the perfect time to try out all the great features at RotoBaller!

Field

Field Size: 120
Cut: Top-65 & Ties
Top 20 Entrants: 0

 

Last Five Winners of the Butterfield Bermuda Championship

2023 Camilo Villegas -24
2022 Seamus Power -19
2021 Lucas Herbert -15
2020 Brian Gay -15
2019 Brendon Todd -24

 

 

Expected Cut-Line At the World Wide Technology

2023 -8
2022 1
2021 2
2020 -1
2019

 

Port Royal Golf Course

6,828 Yards - Par 71 - Greens: Bermuda

 

 

Let's Look at the Stats

Stat Port Royal PGA Average
Driving Distance N/A 283
Driving Accuracy 55% 61%
GIR Percentage 66% 65%
Scrambling Percentage 60% 57%
Average Three-Putts Per Round 0.52 0.54

 

Key Stats 

Let's quickly run through how I built my model.

Weighted Strokes Gained Total (30%)

 

Recent Strokes Gained Total (10%)

 

Strokes Gained Total - Less Than 7,200 Yards (10%)

 

Strokes Gained Total: Wind (10%)

 

Weighted Scoring (20%)

 

Par-Five + Putting (10%)

 

GIR + Putts Per Round (10%)

 

Total Number of Top-10's Out of the Six Categories: Two-Year Running Model

I will dive deeper into what went into these totals later in the week on my podcast. If you aren't doing so already, you can follow Bettor Golf Podcast on X.

 

First Look Into Outright Bets

Player Price
Roger Sloan 250
Sam Stevens 28
Andrew Novak 33
Ben Griffin 20

 

Better Expected Weighted Form Versus Recent Form

(Players that are likely to be better for this property) - Only look at top 50 projected players for either 'Overall' or 'Upside'

*** This list has found the winner three weeks in a row.

 

Worse Expected Weighted Form Versus Recent Form

 

Golfers to Land in the Top 60 of the Field for All Categories

 

Fantasy Golf Lineup Picks for DraftKings (PGA DFS)

We have tons of great weekly PGA articles, DFS analysis, tools, and DFS advice. Be sure to read our other fantastic articles regarding this week's event.

 

High-Priced DraftKings DFS Players 

***There are two players priced above $10,000. Please remember that my DFS article is always a first look at the field. Opinions might shift as the week goes on, and I am more than happy to discuss anyone further on Twitter/X.

Look, I think you can find equivalent value further down the slate, but I have no issues with Mackenzie Hughes or Seamus Power if ownership warrants consideration.

I will note that the argument against either comes down to their very sub-par wind play historically. However, Hughes' first-place grade for par-five scoring + putting and Power's first-place grade at short courses does earn an upside that some other golfers in the field will have a hard time matching.

Consider each as options that will shift for me when we get our first drop of popularity on the slate.

 

Did you know RotoBaller has a Premium DFS PGA and Betting subscription?

Like what you read today? You can show your support for Spencer by using the promo code TEEOFF when purchasing a PGA Premium Pass. You get 10% off and full access to all of our Premium PGA articles, Spencer's data models, DFS tools, and Lineup Optimizer! You also get exclusive access to weekly betting picks from Spencer Aguiar, one of the top betting minds in the industry!

 

Mid-Priced DraftKings DFS Players

$9,000 Range

My model is pretty in tune with my thoughts in this section. There aren't as many glaring mispricings as we typically get on the slate (maybe this is what happens when DraftKings takes five extra hours to release the contests).

I don't have a strong stance against Justin Lower, Lucas Glover and Matti Schmid, but it is unlikely I will find myself with too much exposure to that group.

Instead, I prefer taking my shots with names like Maverick McNealy, Ben Griffin, Doug Ghim and Sam Stevens.

Stevens leads this field with 22 consecutive rounds of shooting par or better and was graded as the number one 'Weighted Scorer' in this field. 

McNealy has been trending in my model for the past few weeks, although he did get priced out of consideration in the outright market.

Griffin is an interesting candidate because he has been undone by the putter at what is going to be a glorified putting contest, but he placed behind only Ryo Hisatsune, David Skinns, Austin Smotherman, Doug Ghim, Nick Taylor and Garrick Higgo when diving into the expected increase he experienced on Bermuda versus a random other surface.

Ghim joined Griffin in that section above while also joining the entire group in climbing heavily for 'Expected Performance' at Port Royal versus recent production. 

Here is the entire list for that area of top 50 golfers:

 

Mid-Priced DraftKings DFS Players

$8,000 Range 

I have two substantial takeaways from this section:

  1. Brendon Todd is getting a ton of credit for his victory here in 2019. 
  2. Andrew Novak is being under-appreciated because of some sloppy recent form. 

Novak is a sneaky candidate for DFS that could resemble what we have received recently from Maverick McNealy. Novak ranks inside the top five of my model for Weighted Strokes Gained Total, Recent Strokes Gained, Strokes Gained At Short Courses, Strokes Gained in Wind, and the combination of a category when you add GIR percentage to Putts per Round. 

 

Low-Priced DraftKings DFS Players to Consider ($7,000+)

Check out my model for everything in this section. There, you will get individual rankings on all players and be able to weigh the data to create your very own model when you make a copy. Please consider signing up for this tool that I am very proud to share with the public!

We will look deeper into this section as ownership enters the mix. All these names did show as a value compared to their price, though.

 

$6,000 Options to Consider

Roger Sloan opened at 250/1 on BetOnline if you want a long shot with a chance. 

My model noticed this extremely intriguing return, seeing him grade third in 'Weighted Strokes Gained Total.'

As you will notice, every other player on the slate landed at 66/1 (or less) inside the top 15 of that category.

Maybe it ends up being more flukey than that return, but 250/1 is a fun price to take a chance.

I'd also bet on that upside for DFS.

Favorite Play Each Section (Monday):

$10,000+ - No issues with either
$9,000+ - Sam Stevens/Doug Ghim/Maverick McNealy/Ben Griffin

$8,000+ - Andrew Novak/Jacob Bridgeman
$7,000+ -  Later in the week
$6,000+ - Roger Sloan

 

Least Favorite Play Each Section (Monday):

***This still has time to change

$10,000+ - No issues with either
$9,000+ - Justin Lower/Matti Schmid

$8,000+ - Brendon Todd
$7,000+ - Alejandro Tosti
$6,000+ - Let's see who catches steam

  Win More With RotoBaller

Win more with expert tools and advice from proven winners! RotoBaller's PGA Premium Packages feature several savvy analysts and proven winners for DFS and betting.

Our very own Joe Nicely took down a big DraftKings DFS tournament for the Travelers Championship. And as an encore, RotoBaller subscriber @tenndolly2 won $100K on FanDuel with the help of Joe and the rest of our Premium PGA team:

Between all the incredible Premium PGA DFS and Betting content and tools we put out each week, and our Premium Slack Community where we chat with our subscribers before lineups lock, RotoBaller PGA subscribers are armed with the tools, analysis, and advice to win more.

Golf DFS News and Player Outlooks


More PGA Analysis and DFS Lineup Picks


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Weekly Rankings
Compare Any Players
Stats & Leaders
Starts and Sit
Daily Fantasy
Who To Pickup
24x7 News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Cam Whitmore1 hour ago

Considered Questionable For Wednesday
Ryan Rollins1 hour ago

Continues To Sit Wednesday
Kevon Looney1 hour ago

Expected To Return On Wednesday
Kyle Anderson2 hours ago

Questionable For Wednesday
Miles McBride2 hours ago

Remains On The Shelf Wednesday
Norman Powell2 hours ago

Will Not Play On Wednesday
Connor Bedard2 hours ago

Ends Drought With Two Assists
Sam Reinhart2 hours ago

Pushes Point Streak To 11 Games
Mark Scheifele2 hours ago

Celebrates Ninth Career Hat Trick
Evan Bouchard3 hours ago

Rocks Senators With Three-Point Period
Connor McDavid3 hours ago

Nets Two Goals During Three-Point Night
TB3 hours ago

Nicholas Paul Exits Early With Injury Tuesday
Zach Hyman3 hours ago

Sits Out Third Period Versus Senators
10 hours ago

Guardians' Stephen Vogt Named AL Manager Of The Year
Milwaukee Brewers10 hours ago

Pat Murphy Named NL Manager Of The Year
Bradley Beal13 hours ago

Still Out On Wednesday Evening
Jusuf Nurkic14 hours ago

Questionable Versus The Knicks
Anthony Davis14 hours ago

Will Play Against The Jazz
Stephen Curry14 hours ago

Back On The Injury Report For Wednesday
Jalen Johnson14 hours ago

Questionable Versus Golden State
Ben Sheppard15 hours ago

Considered Questionable For Wednesday
Jalen Green15 hours ago

Uncertain For Wednesday’s Game
Myles Turner15 hours ago

Considered Questionable For Wednesday
Cam Thomas16 hours ago

Will Not Play Tuesday
Giannis Antetokounmpo16 hours ago

Listed As Probable For Wednesday
Marcus Smart16 hours ago

Ruled Out For Tuesday
Cam Thomas16 hours ago

Is Questionable For Tuesday
Anfernee Simons16 hours ago

In Danger Of Missing Another Game
Deandre Ayton16 hours ago

Considered Doubtful For Wednesday
Kyle Lowry16 hours ago

To Miss Next Three Games
Jonas Brodin17 hours ago

Returns To Action
Joel Eriksson Ek17 hours ago

Returns To Wild Lineup
17 hours ago

Nick Pivetta Declines Boston's Qualifying Offer
Robert Thomas17 hours ago

Back For Blues Tuesday
Jose Siri17 hours ago

Mets Acquire Jose Siri From The Rays
Alexander Romanov17 hours ago

Rejoins Islanders Lineup
Brayden Point17 hours ago

Ready To Return Versus Penguins
Conor Garland17 hours ago

A Game-Time Call Tuesday
J.T. Miller18 hours ago

Takes Indefinite Leave For Personal Reasons
Jake Ferguson18 hours ago

"Will Be Hard-Pressed" To Play In Week 12
Alex Ovechkin18 hours ago

Considered Week-To-Week
Cooper Rush18 hours ago

Will Start In Week 12
Brandin Cooks18 hours ago

Cowboys Hoping Brandin Cooks Returns This Week
20 hours ago

Phillies To Meet With Juan Soto
21 hours ago

Luis Severino Rejects Qualifying Offer From Mets
Aaron Rodgers21 hours ago

' Status With Jets In Doubt For 2025?
21 hours ago

Willy Adames Declines Brewers Qualifying Offer
21 hours ago

Teoscar Hernandez Declines Qualifying Offer From Dodgers
21 hours ago

Juan Soto Declines Yankees' Qualifying Offer
New York Jets23 hours ago

Jets Fire GM Joe Douglas
Travis Konecny1 day ago

Stretches Point Streak To Seven Games
Sam Montembeault1 day ago

Records 30-Save Shutout Versus Oilers
William Eklund1 day ago

Scores Twice In Overtime Victory
Brett Leason1 day ago

Tallies Three Points In Win Over Stars
Brock McGinn1 day ago

Exits Win With Injury
Alex Ovechkin1 day ago

Evaluated For Leg Injury
Luke Schoonmaker1 day ago

Commands 10 Targets Amidst Teammate's Injury
CeeDee Lamb1 day ago

Remains Productive Despite Loss
Houston Texans1 day ago

Texans D/ST Finds End Zone In Victory At Dallas
Joe Mixon1 day ago

Extends Hot Streak Against Cowboys
Luis Gil2 days ago

Wins AL Rookie Of The Year Award
Jake Ferguson2 days ago

Won't Return On Monday
Paul Skenes2 days ago

Named 2024 NL Rookie Of The Year
Brock Purdy2 days ago

Day-To-Day With Shoulder Soreness
George Kittle2 days ago

Expected To Practice On Wednesday
CeeDee Lamb2 days ago

Officially Active On Monday Night
Nico Collins2 days ago

Won't Face Playing-Time Restrictions On Monday Night
New York Giants2 days ago

Brian Daboll On The Hot Seat In New York?
Brady Singer2 days ago

Reds, Royals Discussing Jonathan India, Brady Singer
Gardner Minshew II2 days ago

Raiders Sticking With Gardner Minshew II At QB
2 days ago

Sean Manaea To Reject Mets' Qualifying Offer
Dak Prescott2 days ago

Heading To Injured Reserve
2 days ago

Braves Have Interest In Walker Buehler
Isiah Pacheco2 days ago

Andy Reid On Isiah Pacheco: "We'll See How He Does In Practice"
2 days ago

Astros Interested In Willy Adames
Gabe Davis2 days ago

Won't Return In 2024
Mike Evans2 days ago

Seen At Practice On Monday
CeeDee Lamb2 days ago

Tracking Towards Playing On Monday Night
Charles Oliveira2 days ago

Gets Back In The Win Column
Michael Chandler2 days ago

Gets Dominated At UFC 309
Karine Silva2 days ago

Suffers Her First UFC Loss
Viviane Araujo2 days ago

Gets Back In The Win Column
Mauricio Ruffy2 days ago

Extends His Win Streak To Six
Nick Martinez3 days ago

Signs Qualifying Offer With Reds
3 days ago

Luis Severino Likely To Decline Qualifying Offer From Mets
James Llontop3 days ago

Loses Clear-Cut Decision In Thrilling Fight At UFC 309
Paul Craig3 days ago

Loses Decision At UFC 309
Bo Nickal3 days ago

Remains Undefeated With Lackluster Performance At UFC 309
Stipe Miocic3 days ago

Retires After UFC 309 Loss
Jon Jones3 days ago

Gets TKO Win At UFC 309 To Defend Heavyweight Title
Grayson Rodriguez5 days ago

Orioles Optimistic Grayson Rodriguez Will Have A Full Spring Training
5 days ago

Red Sox Have Productive Meeting With Juan Soto
Michael Chandler5 days ago

Set For A Rematch At UFC 309
Charles Oliveira5 days ago

A Favorite At UFC 309
Viviane Araujo5 days ago

An Underdog At UFC 309
Karine Silva5 days ago

Looks To Extend Her Win Streak
Mauricio Ruffy5 days ago

Looks For His Second UFC Win
Jett Williams6 days ago

Suffers Sprained Ankle In AFL
James Llontop6 days ago

A Big Underdog At UFC 309
Paul Craig6 days ago

Looks To Snap Losing Skid At UFC 309
Bo Nickal6 days ago

Puts Undefeated Record On The Line At UFC 309
Stipe Miocic6 days ago

Ends Layoff At UFC 309
Jon Jones6 days ago

Defends Heavyweight Title At UFC 309
Tampa Bay Rays6 days ago

Rays To Play Home Games In 2025 At Steinbrenner Field

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

MORE RECENT ARTICLES

 

Video: Week 12 Must-Start Defense (D/ST) Streamers - 2024 Fantasy Football Start/Sit Analysis

We're back and dropping fire content for Week 12! Check out our top 2024 fantasy football must-start Defenses (D/ST) and be prepared to dominate your matchups! LaQuan Jones discusses his top "Must Start" Defense (D/ST) streamers that have the potential to be game-changers in Week 12, as well as some defenses that you might want […]


D'Andre Swift - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injuries

Fantasy Football Trade Targets - Buy/Sell For Week 12 Including Josh Downs, T.J. Hockenson, Bucky Irving, D'Andre Swift

For many fantasy football gamers, the end of Week 11 marked the last opportunity to make trades ahead of the fantasy playoffs. However, there are plenty of leagues that have a later deadline and some that have no deadline at all. This is especially true of dynasty leagues, and while this week's column will still […]


Justin Herbert - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News

Fantasy Football Matchups We Love - Start 'Em, Sit 'Em Picks for Week 12 Include Bo Nix, De'Von Achane, Quentin Johnston, Calvin Ridley, more

It seems as though fantasy managers were either incredibly disappointed or incredibly excited in Week 11. The output was modest for most players. However, if you had a monopoly on a select few players such as Cooper Kupp, Taysom Hill, or the Detroit Lions, you likely won your week. With the fantasy playoffs roughly three weeks […]


Christian McCaffrey - Fantasy Football Rankings, DFS and Betting Picks, NFL Injury News

Fantasy Football Matchups to Target, Avoid (Week 12) - Offensive Line Champs and Chumps

11 weeks have come and gone in the NFL season, which means the fantasy playoffs are just around the corner. Whether you are at the top of the standings or fighting for a playoff spot, Week 12 will feature a unique challenge. Six teams are on bye in Week 12, forcing fantasy managers to get […]


Darnell Mooney - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, Waiver Wire Pickups

Fantasy Football WR Injury Reports: Week 12 Updates For Darnell Mooney, Gabe Davis, Mike Evans, Adam Thielen

The season's (first) biggest bye week has arrived. Six teams (Falcons, Bills, Bengals, Jaguars, Saints, Jets) get a week off. That makes it more important for fantasy football that the wide receivers scheduled to play do so. To keep close tabs on all of the news across the NFL, make sure to favorite or bookmark […]


George Pickens - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL injury News

Steelers vs. Browns TNF Start 'Em, Sit 'Em: Jameis Winston, Nick Chubb, David Njoku, Jerry Jeudy, Russell Wilson, Najee Harris, George Pickens

The Week 12 Thursday Night Football game between two bitter AFC North rivals (Cleveland Browns and Pittsburgh Steelers) is not likely to end up like the Thursday night game from two weeks ago when two different AFC North teams (Bengals and Ravens) battled to a 35-34 shootout. Somewhere deep in the charter of the Pittsburgh […]


Isiah Pacheco - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Rookies

Fantasy Football Injury Reports For NFL RBs: Week 12 Updates for Isiah Pacheco, Tyjae Spears, Jonathon Brooks, Miles Sanders

Below is our fantasy football injuries report for running backs in Week 12, as of November 20. The injury statuses for various NFL running backs are up in the air for Week 12, including Isiah Pacheco, Tyjae Spears, Jonathon Brooks, and Miles Sanders. As the fantasy football season continues, every decision, transaction, and lineup change […]


Taysom Hill - Fantasy Football Rankings, Waiver Wire Pickups, Draft Sleepers

Fantasy Football Risers and Fallers - Week 12

Week 11 of the 2024 season is in the books. That means another week of cold, hard data to analyze. We’ll try not to overreact, but instead, use logic and reasoning as the foundation for our decision-making in the weeks ahead. Each week, we’ll take a look back at the previous week to see if […]


Jonnu Smith - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News

Fact or Fiction: Fantasy Football Outlooks for Anthony Richardson, Jerry Jeudy, Nick Westbrook-Ikhine, Taysom Hill, Jonnu Smith

Week 11 of the NFL is behind us, and it's time to look ahead to next week's action. There were some surprising performances in the 11th week of the season, but were those surprising performances a sign of things to come for players? Every week, I'll examine five NFL players whose numbers from the previous […]


Ladd McConkey - Fantasy Football Rankings, Rookies, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News

Fantasy Football WR Sleepers: Smash Spots for Week 12 include Courtland Sutton, Josh Downs, Terry McLaurin, Ladd McConkey

Welcome to the first bye-pocalypse of the season. We have the Bengals, Bills, Falcons, Jaguars, Jets, and Saints all on bye. Do not panic; there are always great WRs to start! Last week, none of our selections found the end zone. However, they put up decent yardage. Highlighted by CeeDee Lamb going eight receptions for […]


Jaxon Smith-Njigba Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, Waiver Wire Pickups

High-Value Touches and Opportunities - Fantasy Football Underperformers, Overperformers (Week 12)

Welcome back, RotoBallers, to my weekly series, "High-Value Touches and Opportunities" for Week 12 of the 2024 fantasy football season. We're nearly a month before the fantasy football playoffs begin, depending on if leagues go through Week 17 or 18. It's crunch time, and we'll want to pay attention to the news, noise, and trends, […]


TJ Watt - IDP, Pittsburgh Steelers, DST, Defense, Fantasy Football Def

Week 12 IDP Rankings for Fantasy Football (2024) - Defense Positional Rankings for LB, DL, DB

Week 12 is an appropriate time for fantasy and NFL general managers to take stock. Is their team a real contender, a pretender, or are you comfortably in the basement? Those in the basement of dynasties may be looking to tank for better picks, while those in redraft leagues may still want to win enough […]


Top Fantasy Football D/ST Rankings (Weeks 12, 13, 14, 15) - Defense Streamers and Starts

Welcome, RotoBallers, to our fantasy football D/ST streamers and starts for Weeks 12, 13, 14, and 15 -- looking at the next four weeks and identifying the best D/ST matchups. Picking up defenses in advance that have a great upcoming schedule is a strategy that most fantasy managers should be using at this point of the season.  […]