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Happy Sunday and Happy July 4th, gang! Hope you all had a great holiday weekend so far. We have a nice 9-game slate this afternoon, so let's jump right into it and see how we can optimize our DraftKings MLB DFS lineups and sweat a little bit while we grill out today. The weather looks all clear on the slate, so I hope it is for you all as well!
This article will provide you with my daily fantasy baseball lineup picks for DraftKings on 7/4/2021. The lineup will range from some of the elite players to mid-priced options and value plays. You can also check out today's FanDuel MLB DFS lineup picks and read more DFS advice and lineup picks for other sports too. It’s also important to monitor injury news and today's MLB starting lineups. If you have any questions or comments, contact me on Twitter.
DraftKings DFS Starting Pitchers
Gerrit Cole - NYY vs NYM ($10,600)
The accused biggest beneficiary of the "sticky substances" that the MLB has been cracking down on has had a rough last 30 days, with nearly a 2-run xFIP regression. This doesn't mean that Cole is a bad pitcher, nor does it mean that Cole was a good pitcher only because of the substances. Cole's still had a 28% K-rate over the past month and comes up against the second to last offense in runs per game in the Mets. He also has the benefit of pitching in a seven-inning game. With there being minimal pitching options and Peralta matching up with the Pirates who don't strike out much, Cole is my top option.
Charlie Morton - MIA @ ATL ($7,500)
Not really sure why Morton is this cheap. He's actually been the best pitcher on this slate over the last 30 days, bringing in a 3.69 xFIP and 27.7% K-rate. He's also the beneficiary of a weak matchup against the Marlins. He's optimal and will likely be popular.
Other Options: Freddy Peralta ($9,700), Kenta Maeda ($6,200)
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DraftKings DFS Infielders
Jason Castro - C, HOU @ CLE ($2,800)
Righty Cal Quantrill takes the bump for Houston and has had rough go lately. Castro crushes righties and should be somewhat bumped up in the lineup, after hitting 5th last night. He's got a 55.6% hard-to-soft contact ratio against righties over the last 30 days and is a nice value option here.
Jose Abreu - 1B, CWS @ DET ($5,200)
The White Sox are the top stack on the slate, and I'll be putting the reigning AL MVP in them. He'll be a cog in the top of the order against Matt Manning, who's giving up hard contact left and right.
Jean Segura - 2B, PHI vs SD ($3,300)
Segura has reached base safely in nine straight and gets a plus matchup against former Cy Young winner Blake Snell. Segura has hit lefties well this year, with a .536 wOBA + ISO against southpaws this season.
Abraham Toro - 3B, HOU @ DET ($3,300)
I wrote up Abraham Toro last week, and clearly, we're doing it again here. He'll be a part of a mini-stack with Castro looking to attack Quantrill from the bottom of the Astros order.
Tim Anderson - SS, CWS @ DET ($5,100)
Tim Anderson has been somewhat quiet this year production-wise. He still has over a 35% hard-to-soft contact ratio against righties this year. His Achilles heel has been the groundball, but Manning allows a lot of hard contact and fly balls to right-handed hitters, so I like Anderson in this spot.
DraftKings DFS Outfielders
Jesse Winker - OF, CIN vs CHC ($5,700)
One of the best hitters in all of baseball this season is finally accurately priced. Winker has been crushing all season and is in a good matchup here who's bounced back from his early-season woes, but still struggles against left-handed hitters. Winker is also hitting .350 with a homer in 20 at-bats against Hendricks
Brian Goodwin - OF, CWS vs DET ($3,400)
Goodwin has had somewhat of a renaissance in Chicago. He has a whopping 60% hard-contact rate against righties this year in 35 at-bats. He'll likely be hitting behind Jose Abreu against rookie Matt Manning.
Gavin Sheets - OF, CWS vs DET ($2,700)
The rook has come alive and looks to get a bump in the order today against Manning. The kid has reached base safely in every game in the bigs he's played so far and has two homers to boot. He fits in nicely in most lineups and should get plenty of opportunities as he's projected to his second this afternoon.
DraftKings DFS Stacks
- Chicago White Sox vs. Matt Manning
- Houston Astros vs. Cal Quantrill
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Kyle Hendricks
- San Diego Padres vs. Vince Velasquez
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