BALLER MOVE: Target ~195
CURRENT ADP: ~263
ANALYSIS: Santana’s 43.7% hard-hit rate checked in as the 10th best in the MLB for the month of September, with the three names surrounding him being David Ortiz, Nolan Arenado and Nelson Cruz. His 27.3% line-drive rate wasn’t so bad either, though it actually was lower than his overall 30.1% mark on the season. While his 32.4% strikeout rate looms large, he actually brought his swinging-strike rate down from 14.5% in 2015 to 12.1%. This doesn’t mean he’s on the fast track to solving his plate discipline issues, but it’s certainly an encouraging sign. Mix in that he gets to swing the lumber in Miller Park – which finished ninth in ESPN’s Park Factors for homers last season – and baby, you’ve got a stew going. With an NFBC ADP of 256.54 (OF62), he should make a low-cost, solid upside pick.
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