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Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the Green Bay Packers vs. Miami Dolphins, another article in our weekly series of free NFL betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free NFL betting breakdown article is for Sunday, December 25th, 2022.
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Today's Betting Overview - Packers @ Dolphins
The Packers take on the Dolphins on Sunday, December 25th at Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens. RotoBaller provides free handicapping picks and odds for all NFL games throughout the 2022 season.
- Matchup: Green Bay Packers (6-8) vs. Miami Dolphins (8-6)
- Date: Sunday, December 25th, 2022
- Time: 1:00 PM ET
- Venue: Hard Rock Stadium
Today's NFL Sportsbook Odds - Packers @ Dolphins
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Green Bay Packers - NFL Betting Analysis
The Packers head into week 16, looking for another win, as they picked up 12 point victory over the Los Angeles Rams (24-12). Green Bay entered the game as -7.5 point favorite and went on to cover the spread. Together, the two teams combined score remained below the over-under betting line of 39. On their way to picking up a 12-point win, Green Bay held a 12-point lead heading into the 4th quarter at 24-12. Through 14 games, the Packers have an ATS record of 6-8. So far, they have an over-under record of 7-7. This week's betting total of 46.5 is slightly higher than the line in their previous games.
As the Packers prepare to take on Miami, they are ranked 20th in points per game at 20.5. Green Bay comes into the game with a strong matchup, as the Dolphins are 26th in points allowed. Although the Packers come into the game ranked just 16th in pass yards per game, they will benefit from facing a Miami secondary that is vulnerable through the air. We expect Green Bay to have an above-average performance in the passing attack. A key matchup to watch through the game is if Green Bay will be able to run the ball with their usual effectiveness. Even though they are averaging 126.3 yards per game on the ground, look for them to struggle against a defense that can be tough to run against.
Miami Dolphins - NFL Betting Analysis
This week, the Miami Dolphins are hoping to get back in the win column after falling 32-29 to the Buffalo Bills. The loss was costly, as it came against an AFC East opponent. Even though the Dolphins lost the game, they managed to cover the spread as 7.0-point underdogs. In terms of the over-under, the teams combined for 61 points, which surpassed the betting line of 44. In the losing effort, the Dolphins blew a 5-point lead heading into the 4th quarter, as Buffalo outscored them by 8 in the final period. Through 14 games, the Dolphins have an ATS record of 7-7. So far, they have an over-under record of 7-7. This week's betting total of 46.5 is right in line with their previous games.
Heading into this week's matchup, the Dolphins offense is averaging 24.6 points per game, placing them 9th in the NFL. Look for the team to put together another strong offensive performance, as they are facing a Packers defense that is ranked 15th in points per game. Throughout the game, Miami should be able to move the ball through the air, as they are the 3rd ranked team in terms of passing yards. In addition, they are facing off against a defense that has been vulnerable in the secondary. On the ground, our projections show that the Dolphins could take advantage of one of the worst rush defenses in the league.
Today's NFL Betting Pick - Packers vs. Dolphins
Looking back at the recent matchups between Green Bay and Miami, the Dolphins have taken 4 of the last 5 contests. The over-under record in these games sits at 2-3, with the average scoring total coming in at 45.8 points. Last year, the Packers and Dolphins did not play each other.
The Green Bay Packers have gone 2-1 vs the spread in these games. On average, the Packers have averaged 27.2 points per game in the past 5 head-to-head matchups, compared to Miami at 18.6.
The Packers have posted a 2-1 record in their previous 3 games. In these games, they have a 2-1 record vs the spread and an over-under mark of 2-1.
Across the Packers' last 3 road games, the team averaged 23.3 points per game while allowing 24.7. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 1-2 while going 1-2 straight-up.
Over their last 3 regular season games, the Dolphins have gone 0-3 straight up. In these games, they have gone just 1-2 vs the spread while posting an over-under mark of 2-1.
In their last 3 home games, Miami has averaged 28.3 points per game while allowing 14.0. The team's record in this stretch was 3-0 while going 2-1.
Recommended ATS Betting Pick: Packers 6.0
Recommended OU Betting Pick: Over 46.5
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