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Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers, another article in our daily series of free MLB betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free MLB betting breakdown article is for Tuesday October 11th, 2022.
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Today's Betting Overview - Padres vs. Dodgers
The Padres take on the Dodgers on Tuesday, October 11th at Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles. RotoBaller provides free handicapping pick and odds for all MLB games throughout the 2022 season.
- Matchup: San Diego Padres (89-73) vs. Los Angeles Dodgers (111-51)
- Date: Tuesday October 11th, 2022
- Time: 8:37 ET
- Venue: Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles
Today's MLB Sportsbook Odds - Padres vs. Dodgers
- Caesars Sportsbook MLB Odds
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San Diego Padres - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
At 89-73, the San Diego Padres travel to take on the Los Angeles, trailing the Divisional Series 1-0. Through 85 road contests, the Padres come in with a mark of 47-38. The Padres will be looking to bounce back after falling to the LA Dodgers by a score of 5-3. So far, San Diego has won 27 out of their first 53 series, 27-19-7.
San Diego starter Yu Darvish takes the mound with an overall record of 16-8. In his 30 appearances, Darvish has an ERA of 3.10. Opponents have had a tough time against the right-hander, as they are batting just .207 against him. In his 194 innings of work, Darvish has given up 22 home runs. In his previous outings, Darvish has struck out 5.32 batters for every issued walk. This includes averaging 6.56 K's per game.
San Diego's offense comes into this game averaging 4.36 runs per game, placing them near the MLB average. So far, the team ranks 19th in runs scored in the 8th and 9th innings of action. Together, the Padres offense has the 16th-ranked batting average at .241. For the season, 33.9% of the team's hits have been in the form of extra bases. The team's lineup is hitting home runs at a rate of 0.96 per game, good for 20th in the league. San Diego's strong OBP of .318 is 9th best in the league. While their current wOBA of .308 is similar to the league average.
Los Angeles Dodgers - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
The Los Angeles Dodgers will host the Padres with a 1-0 lead in their Divisional Series vs San Diego. At home, the Dodgers have a strong record of 58-24. Los Angeles will look to tack on another victory as they defeated the Padres by a score of 5-3. So far, the team has won 38 out of their first 51 series, 38-10-3.
Making the start for Los Angeles is Clayton Kershaw, with a record of 12-3. Runs have been hard to come by against Kershaw, as he has an ERA of just 2.28. Clayton Kershaw comes into the game with one of the lower WHIP's among starting pitchers (0.94). Opponents have had a tough time against the left-hander, as they are batting just .206 against him. Across his previous outings, Kershaw has a SLG% allowed of .310. In total, he has given up 10 home runs. Heading into the game, Kershaw has struck 28% of the batters he's faced.
On the season, Los Angeles boasts the 1st ranked scoring offense, averaging 5.23 runs per game. In the team's 82 games at home, their run differential is 0. The Dodgers have enjoyed success at the plate, as their team batting average of .256 ranks 4th. On average, the team is coming up with 8.74 hits per game. The team has also been strong in the power department, averaging 1.31 home runs per game, which ranks 5th. In terms of exit velocity, the team ranks near the top of the league. Up to this point, Los Angeles has been one of the MLB's better teams at getting on base, ranking 1st at .333. So far, the team has a walk rate of 9.7%.
Today's MLB Betting Pick - Padres vs. Dodgers
Heading into today's matchup between San Diego and Los Angeles, the Dodgers are the heavy favorite at -196 on the moneyline. Los Angeles's implied win probability sits at 66.22%. The MLB predictive model shows Los Angeles having enough of an edge on offense and on the mound to take the Dodgers on the runline (-1.5).
Recommended Betting Pick: Dodgers Runline
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