DJ Moore (WR, CAR) - 2022 Fantasy Football Draft Values

BALLER MOVE: Target Around ~30 Overall

CURRENT ADP: ~42

ANALYSIS: People are underestimating Baker Mayfield. We forget that he played the majority of 2021 with a torn shoulder labrum that frequently became dislocated.

Not only that, but Kareem Hunt missed nine games, Jarvis Landry missed four, and Odell Beckham Jr. only played six games before being released. His leading receiver was Donovan Peoples-Jones with 597 yards. Some of that was his fault to be sure, but he was dealing with a bad and banged-up group of pass-catchers and a nasty shoulder injury.

It's fairly reasonable to have expected some struggles all things considered. We forget, however, that he threw 26 touchdowns in 2020 and just eight interceptions. We forget he set the then record for most touchdowns by a rookie in a single season with 27 despite only starting 13 games. This isn't to say that Mayfield is a stud or some kind of elite quarterback, he's not, but he's better than he was in 2021.

Each of the last three seasons DJ Moore has had over 1,100 receiving yards and four touchdowns. He had 163 targets last year and there's no reason not to expect Moore to command a high target share again.

Mayfield's career TD rate is much better than Kyle Allen, Teddy Bridgewater, and Sam Darnold and could finally unlock Moore's TD potential.

If you're worried about Christian McCaffrey's return – don't be – the Panthers running backs had 135 targets last year, which is plenty for CMC to soak up.

If we give Moore a slight decrease down to 150 and then work off of his career averages, he'd finish with 90 receptions and 1,296 receiving yards. Now, the fun starts.

If we give Moore a 4% TD rate, he'd have six touchdowns. 5% would be 7.5 touchdowns. 6% is nine touchdowns. Even with just six touchdowns, he'd finish with 210.6 half-PPR points. That's more points than Mike Williams had last year and he finished at WR10. Don't sleep on DJ Moore!

More Fantasy Football Values and Sleepers

Will Dissly (TE, LAC) – Fantasy Football Waiver Wire Pickups For Week 12

BALLER MOVE: Add in 12-Team Leagues ROSTERED IN: 24% of Yahoo Leagues ANALYSIS: Los Angeles Chargers tight end Will Dissly is the TE21 for the year, averaging six half-point PPR fantasy points per game. The veteran tight end was a popular streaming option in Week 11 because of his matchup against the Cincinnati Bengals. They […]

Mike Fanelli 3 days ago

Zach Ertz (TE, WAS) – Fantasy Football Waiver Wire Pickups For Week 12

BALLER MOVE: Add in 12-Team Leagues ROSTERED IN: 33% of Yahoo Leagues ANALYSIS: Washington Commanders tight end Zach Ertz has had a solid season. The veteran tight end is the TE11 for the year, averaging 7.3 half-point PPR fantasy points per game. While Terry McLaurin has been Jayden Daniels' go-to target, Ertz has seen at […]

Mike Fanelli 3 days ago

Taysom Hill (TE, NO) – Fantasy Football Waiver Wire Pickups For Week 12

BALLER MOVE: Add in 12-Team Leagues ROSTERED IN: 54% of Yahoo Leagues ANALYSIS: New Orleans Saints tight end Taysom Hill is the ultimate do-it-all weapon. While he is listed as a tight end, the veteran’s fantasy value comes in the run game. He has had at least 14 rushing yards in every game this season. […]

Mike Fanelli 3 days ago

Elijah Moore (WR, CLE) – Fantasy Football Waiver Wire Pickups For Week 12

BALLER MOVE: Add in 12-Team Leagues ROSTERED IN: 8% of Yahoo Leagues ANALYSIS: Cleveland Browns wide receiver Elijah Moore has been a fantasy football bust for most of his career. The veteran wide receiver is the WR71 for the year, averaging 5.7 half-point PPR fantasy points per game. However, he has played significantly better since […]

Mike Fanelli 3 days ago

Quentin Johnston (WR, LAC) – Fantasy Football Waiver Wire Pickups For Week 12

BALLER MOVE: Add in 12-Team Leagues ROSTERED IN: 41% of Yahoo Leagues ANALYSIS: Los Angeles Chargers wide receiver Quentin Johnston has had a breakout sophomore year after an awful rookie season. The former TCU star is the WR40, averaging 10.4 half-point PPR fantasy points per game despite missing time with an injury. He has been […]

Mike Fanelli 3 days ago