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Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the Milwaukee Brewers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks, another article in our daily series of free MLB betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free MLB betting breakdown article is for Tuesday, April 11th 2023.
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Today's Betting Overview - Brewers vs. Diamondbacks
The Brewers take on the Diamondbacks on Tuesday, April 11th 2023 at Chase Field, Phoenix. RotoBaller provides free handicapping pick and odds for all MLB games throughout the 2023 season.
- Matchup: Milwaukee Brewers (7-3) vs. Arizona Diamondbacks (7-4)
- Date: Tuesday, April 11th 2023
- Time: 9:40 ET
- Venue: Chase Field, Phoenix
Today's MLB Sportsbook Odds - Brewers vs. Diamondbacks
- Caesars Sportsbook MLB Odds
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The Milwaukee Brewers enter play ranked 1st in the NL Central with an overall record of 7-3. Milwaukee has gone 2-2 in their games on the road.
Milwaukee currently has an above .500 record against the runline (6-4). So far, they have been favored in six of their 10 games. The team has an over/under record of 4-6, with an average betting line of 8.
The Brewers will send Corbin Burnes to the mound with an overall record of 0-1. Compared to other starting pitchers, Corbin Burnes has one of the higher ERA's in the league at 9.64. In today's game, he will look to do a better job limiting base runners, as his batting average allowed sits at .282. Corbin Burnes has given up two home runs leading to a WOBA allowed of .394. Burnes' WHIP of 1.71 comes along with a total of five walks allowed.
Milwaukee's offense comes into this game averaging 4.8 runs per game, placing them near the MLB average. The Brewers' offense comes into this matchup ranked 11th in the league, at .261. So far, Milwaukee's lineup has also been able to hit for power, with a total of 12 home runs, which ranks 10th. Milwaukee's strong OBP of .348 is 5th best in the league.
Arizona Diamondbacks - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
As the Arizona Diamondbacks host the Milwaukee Brewers, they have a record of 7-4, placing them 1st in the NL West. So far, Arizona has been tough at home, putting together a mark of 4-1.
With an above .500 record against the runline, Arizona has been favored one times in 11 games played so far. The team's over/under record comes in at 6-4 with an average betting line of 8.
Diamondbacks starter Merrill Kelly comes into the game with a record of just 0-1. Merrill Kelly boasts an ERA of 3.86. To date, he has a batting average allowed of .265. In terms of power numbers, Merrill Kelly has yet to give up a home run and enters with a WOBA allowed of .362. With a total of eight walks, Kelly has a WHIP of 1.82.
Arizona comes into this game with a strong offensive unit, averaging 4.8 runs per game, good for 9th in the MLB. Heading into play, the Diamondbacks are the 8th-ranked unit in team batting average. Combined, the team is batting .269. So far, the team is the 23rd-rated home run hitting team, with a total of nine long balls. To date, Arizona has the MLB's 22nd-rated OBP, sitting at .318.
Today's MLB Betting Pick - Brewers vs. Diamondbacks
Heading into today's matchup between Milwaukee and Arizona, the Brewers are the betting favorite at -137 on the moneyline. Milwaukee's implied win probability sits at 57.81%. The MLB predictive model shows the Brewers pitching to carry the team to a win. For aggressive bettors, there is enough of an advantage to take Milwaukee on the runline.
Recommended Betting Pick: Brewers -1.5
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