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Our NASCAR “By the DFS Numbers” Race Previews feature a combination of statistical package highlights from Loop Data reports and the RotoBaller Cup Series Research Station. Loop Data, which are the advanced statistics that are electronically recorded by NASCAR to more accurately illustrate how drivers perform, are showcased here as very relevant indicators.
Loop Data stats are useful in DFS NASCAR to tell us which drivers have performed the best at particular tracks. They determine how a driver actually fares without the negative factors of crashes, car issues, and pit problems. The NASCAR Research Station is one of our most important features in the RotoBaller NASCAR Season Pass package. It is a deluxe suite of advanced NASCAR statistics that can help you identify the top drivers and value plays for ideal lineup constructions every week. It includes historical, recent, and projected stats and Loop Data.
If you want to work on your fantasy NASCAR setup with all the best statistical tools, the Research Station is your numerical garage for DraftKings and FanDuel lineup building. Get access to the Research Station with the RotoBaller NASCAR Season Pass. Enter promo code KING at checkout for an additional discount. We also have Research Stations for the Xfinity and Truck Series.
Würth 400: By The DFS Numbers
Drivers are listed in order of preference for lineup usage based on their pricing tiers. All Loop Data stats are dating back to 2021 at Dover Motor Speedway unless otherwise noted. We use DraftKings prices as a basis, but most of what we recommend should also be applied to FanDuel lineup builds. Selected Research Station indicators are highlighted in italics.
Kyle Larson: Leads all active drivers in Driver Rating (122.2). First in Laps Led (282). Second in Fastest Laps Run (137). Second-best all-time DR among all drivers at Dover (106.0). 14.8 Implied Odds to win leads all drivers. Projected to score the most Fantasy Points (74.05). Larson starts 18th and is projected to be the driver with the highest rostered percentage (32%).
Chase Elliott: Third in Fastest Laps Run (133). 10.6 Implied Odds to win ranks second among all drivers. Projected to score the second-most Fantasy Points (63.00). Has finished first and third in his last two Dover starts.
William Byron: Projected to score the third-most Fantasy Points (62.90). Finished fourth in two of the past three races at Dover.
Denny Hamlin: Third in Driver Rating (106.7). First among Closers (2.5 average spots gained in the final 10 percent of Dover races). Third in Laps Led (184)
Kyle Busch: Leads in Green Flag Passes (208) and Quality Passes (passes of cars in the Top 15 while under green flag conditions, 114). Third-best all-time DR at Dover (102.5).
Martin Truex Jr: Fourth in Driver Rating: (105.4). Projected to score the fourth-most Fantasy Points (60.55).
Joey Logano: Projected to score the most Fantasy Points of any driver below $10,000 (56.75). Has finished in the top 6 in two of his last three Dover starts. Starts 26th and is a very good value play at $8800.
Kevin Harvick: Second in Driver Rating (114.4). Leads in Fastest Laps Run (140) and Quality Passes (134). Second in Laps Led (223). Projected to score the second-most Fantasy Points of any driver below $10,000 (55.60). Has finished in the top 6 in seven of his last eight Dover starts.
Key Dover stats from the RotoBaller Research Station.
Ross Chastain: Fifth in Driver Rating (101.0).
Brad Keselowski: 20% Implied Odds to finish in the top 5 is best among all drivers under $9000.
Ryan Preece: Fourth in Green Flag Passes (178). Projected to score the most Fantasy Points of any driver below $8,500 (55.60). A strong Place Differential play, as Preece starts 30th.
Josh Berry: Led in Xfinity Series DR since 2021 (two races) entering Saturday’s race (132.1) and he finished second after winning in 2022.
Austin Dillon: Projected to score the second-most Fantasy Points of any driver below $7000 (38.95). Another prime PD play, Dillon is projected to be the second-highest rostered driver (36%). He starts 36th and is priced at $6300, certifying Dillon as the ultimate value play.
Justin Haley: Fourth-best all-time Average Finish at Dover (11.0). Leads in DR gained vs Similar Drivers in recent Dover starts (13.8). Most Fantasy Points Gained vs Similar Drivers of any driver below $9000 (23.2).
Chris Buescher: 12% Implied Odds to finish in the top 5 is best among all drivers below $8000.
Aric Almirola: Second in Green Flag Passes (184)
Featured Image Photo Credit: NASCAR Media
Scott Engel's fantasy and betting analysis is also featured at The Game Day.
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The Keys to Weekly NASCAR Success
NASCAR is back, and it's time for you to win more with RotoBaller! Our NASCAR Premium Package for DFS and betting features several heavy hitters and proven winners.
Jordan McAbee anchors the team with his exclusive NASCAR DFS and betting picks, DFS projections and algorithm-predicted finishing order! Jordan had a 60+ unit betting profit in 2024 NASCAR, and a 25% average annual profit since 2018. He won the FSWA Racing Writer Of The Year award in 2023, and has been nominated for DFS Writer Of The Year in 2024.
Five-time NASCAR Racing Writer of the Year finalist and fantasy industry legend Scott "The King" Engel is also in the crew, bringing you his weekly strategies and lineup picks. Set your winning DFS lineups with our award-winning team. He has been nominated once again in 2024 for this award.
