Our NASCAR “By the DFS Numbers” Race Previews feature a combination of statistical package highlights from Loop Data reports and the RotoBaller Cup Series Research Station. Loop Data, which are the advanced statistics that are electronically recorded by NASCAR to more accurately illustrate how drivers perform, are showcased here as very relevant indicators. Loop Data stats are useful in DFS NASCAR to tell us which drivers have performed the best at particular tracks. They determine how a driver actually fares without the negative factors of crashes, car issues, and pit problems.
The NASCAR Research Station is one of our most important features in the RotoBaller NASCAR Season Pass package. It is a deluxe suite of advanced NASCAR statistics that can help you identify the top drivers and value plays for ideal lineup constructions every week. It includes historical, recent, and projected stats, along with Loop Data.
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Toyota/Save Mart 350: By The DFS Numbers
Drivers are listed in order of preference for lineup usage based on their pricing tiers. All Loop Data stats are dating back to 2019 at Sonoma Raceway, covering the last three events at the site, unless otherwise noted for all-time stats at the site. We use DraftKings prices as a basis, but most of what we recommend should also be applied to FanDuel lineup builds. Selected Research Station indicators are highlighted in italics.
Kyle Larson: Leads in Driver Rating (108.4). First in Fastest Laps Run (41) and Laps Led (83). Tied for second-best Implied Odds to Win (13.3). Projected to score the most fantasy points (52.8).
Tyler Reddick: Best Implied Odds to Win (14.6). Projected to score the second-most fantasy points (47.4). Best Average Position vs. Actual Finish (8.5).
Chase Elliott: Third in Driver Rating (107.7). Fastest on Restarts. Tied for second-best Implied Odds to Win (13.3).
William Byron: Best Implied Odds of any driver below $10,000 to finish in the top three (21%). Projected to score the third-most fantasy points of any driver below $10,000 (40.2). Good Place Differential play, starting from the 26th position.
Ross Chastain: Tied for second-best Implied Odds of any driver below $10,500 to finish in the top three (19%). Has finished seventh in his last two Sonoma starts.
Kyle Busch: Tied for second-best Implied Odds of any driver below $10,500 to finish in the top three (19%). Has finished in the top three in his last two starts on road courses. Has finished in the top five in four of his last five Sonoma starts.
Ryan Blaney: Fourth in Driver Rating (98.9). Projected to score the most fantasy points of any driver below $9,000 (40.4). Has finished in the top six in two of his last three Sonoma starts. Strong Place Differential play starting from 31st.
Austin Cindric: Sixth in Driver Rating (94.0). All-time series-best Average Finish is 5.0. Projected to score the most fantasy points of any driver below $10,000 (45.2). Second-best Driver Rating Gained vs. Similar Drivers in recent Sonoma starts (24.3). Most Fantasy Points Gained vs. Similar Drivers in Recent Sonoma starts (30.7). Very good Place Differential play starting from the 34th position.
Key statistics for Sonoma from the RotoBaller Research Station.
Martin Truex Jr: Second in Driver Rating (108.3). Second in Laps Led (59). Leads in Quality Passes (passes of cars in the top 15 while under Green Flag Conditions, 75). Has finished in the top three in three of his last four Sonoma starts.
Daniel Suarez: Fifth in Driver Rating (95.8). Third in Laps Led (47). Best Driver Rating Gained vs. Similar Drivers in recent Sonoma starts (26.9).
Kevin Harvick: Fourth-best all-time Driver Rating (94.2). Best Implied Odds of any driver below $9,000 to finish in the top five (22%). Has finished in the top six in six of his past seven Sonoma starts.
Brad Keselowski: First among Closers (4.3 average spots gained in the final 10 percent of races at Sonoma).
Chris Buescher: Has finished in the top 10 in his last three starts on road courses.
Michael McDowell: Fourth in Green Flag Passes (203).
Erik Jones: Leads in Green Flag Passes (263). Second among Closers (3.7 average spots gained).
Aric Almirola: Second in Green Flag Passes (244).
Featured Image Photo Credit: NASCAR Media
Scott Engel's fantasy and betting analysis is also featured at The Game Day.
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