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Our NASCAR “By the DFS Numbers” Race Previews feature a combination of statistical package highlights from Loop Data reports and the RotoBaller Cup Series Research Station. Loop Data, which are the advanced statistics that are electronically recorded by NASCAR to more accurately illustrate how drivers perform, are showcased here as very relevant indicators.
Loop Data stats are useful in DFS NASCAR to tell us which drivers have performed the best at particular tracks. They determine how a driver actually fares without the negative factors of crashes, car issues, and pit problems. The NASCAR Research Station is one of our most important features in the RotoBaller NASCAR Season Pass package. It is a deluxe suite of advanced NASCAR statistics that can help you identify the top drivers and value plays for ideal lineup constructions every week. It includes historical, recent, and projected stats and Loop Data.
If you want to work on your fantasy NASCAR setup with all the best statistical tools, the Research Station is your numerical garage for DraftKings and FanDuel lineup building. Get access to the Research Station with the RotoBaller NASCAR Season Pass. Enter promo code KING at checkout for an additional discount. We also have Research Stations for the Xfinity and Truck Series.
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Pennzoil 400: By The DFS Numbers
Drivers are listed in order of preference for lineup usage based on their pricing tiers. Research Station indicators are in italics. All Loop Data stats are dating back to 2021 at Las Vegas Motor Speedway, covering the last four Cup series events unless otherwise noted. We use DraftKings prices as a basis, but most of what we recommend should also be applied to FanDuel lineup builds.
Kyle Larson: Third in Average Driver Rating (104.9). Leads in Fastest Laps Run (113). First in Laps Led (226) and second in Quality Passes (passes of cars in the Top 15 while under green flag conditions, 297). Larson was fastest in practice. Projected to finish with the second-most Fantasy Points (54.35). His 108.1 Driver Rating in recent Las Vegas races is second-best among all drivers.
Kyle Busch: Second in Average Driver Rating (105.3). Second in Fastest Laps Run (77) and among Closers (3.5 average spots gained in the final 10 percent of races at LVMS). All-time Average Finish of 9.4 ranks second among active drivers at Las Vegas. Tied for Best Implied Probability to Win (11%). Projected to finish with the third-most Fantasy Points (53.70). Has finished in the Top 4 in his last 4 Las Vegas starts.
Joey Logano: Leads in all-time Average Driver Rating (103.2) and Average Finish (8.4). Won the second Las Vegas race last season. Third-fastest in practice. Tied for Best Implied Probability to Win (11%). His 109.5 Driver Rating in recent Las Vegas races leads all drivers. Starts from the pole and projected to lead the most laps (39).
Ross Chastain: Third in Laps Led (151). Has finished in the Top 3 in his last two Las Vegas starts.
Martin Truex Jr.: Leads in Quality Passes (300) since 2021 and all-time (1,057). Second in Green Flag Passes (496). Projected to finish with the most Fantasy Points of any driver under $10,000 on DraftKings (49.75). His 106.9 Driver Rating in recent Las Vegas races is tied for the best among all drivers under $10,000 on DraftKings. Truex is a respectable Place Differential play as he starts 15th.
Ryan Blaney: Second-Fastest in practice. Projected to finish with the second-most Fantasy Points of any driver under $10,000 on DraftKings (49.40).
Las Vegas projections and recent historical stats from the RotoBaller Research Station.
Denny Hamlin: Leads in Driver Rating (113.0). Second in Laps Led (220) and third in Fastest Laps Run (71)
Tyler Reddick: Fourth in Green Flag Passes (489) a relevant stat to note since Reddick starts 34th, and he will be a prime place differential play. Projected to finish with the most Fantasy Points (57.40).
Alex Bowman: The 2022 winner of this event. His 90.7 Recent Driver Rating at Las Vegas is best among all drivers priced at $8500 and below on DraftKings.
Kevin Harvick: 388 Fastest Laps Run all-time ranks second. His 106.9 Driver Rating in recent Las Vegas races is tied for the best among all drivers under $10,000 on DraftKings.
William Byron: Fourth in Driver Rating (103.8). Third in Quality Passes (295). Best 5 and 10 Consecutive Lap Averages in Practice.
Josh Berry: Third in Driver Rating in the Xfinity Series at Las Vegas dating back to 2021 (108.4). Projected to finish with the second-most Fantasy Points of any driver at or below $8,000 on DraftKings (41.25). Berry is an obviously fine PD play working in Chase Elliott’s ride from the 32nd starting position.
Daniel Suarez: Projected to finish with the most Fantasy Points of any driver under $8,000 on DraftKings (44.10). Suarez has finished fourth and seventh so far this season. and he is a very good value play as he starts 24th.
Austin Dillon: First among Closers (4.0 average spots gained). Has finished ninth and fourth in his last two starts on 1.5-mile tracks. Dillon is a good PD option, as he starts 26th.
Bubba Wallace: Fourth-best 5 consecutive Lap Average and fifth in 10 Consecutive Lap Average in practice.
Erik Jones: Leads in Green Flag Passes (514), and he starts 22nd.
A.J. Allmendinger: Has finished third and ninth in his last two starts on 1.5-mile tracks. Allmendinger is a top value play at $6100 on DraftKings.
Aric Almirola: Fourth-best 10 Consecutive Lap Average in practice.
Chris Buescher: Seventh in Green Flag Passes (426) and fifth among Closers (2.8 spots gained).
Scott Engel's fantasy and betting analysis is also featured at The Game Day.
NASCAR DFS News and Driver Outlooks
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The Keys to Weekly NASCAR Success
NASCAR is back, and it's time for you to win more with RotoBaller! Our NASCAR Premium Package for DFS and betting features several heavy hitters and proven winners.
Jordan McAbee anchors the team with his exclusive NASCAR DFS and betting picks, DFS projections and algorithm-predicted finishing order! Jordan had a 60+ unit betting profit in 2024 NASCAR, and a 25% average annual profit since 2018. He won the FSWA Racing Writer Of The Year award in 2023, and has been nominated for DFS Writer Of The Year in 2024.
Five-time NASCAR Racing Writer of the Year finalist and fantasy industry legend Scott "The King" Engel is also in the crew, bringing you his weekly strategies and lineup picks. Set your winning DFS lineups with our award-winning team. He has been nominated once again in 2024 for this award.
