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Our NASCAR “By the DFS Numbers” Race Previews feature a combination of statistical package highlights from Loop Data reports and the RotoBaller Cup Series Research Station. Loop Data, which are the advanced statistics that are electronically recorded by NASCAR to more accurately illustrate how drivers perform, are showcased here as very relevant indicators.
Loop Data stats are useful in DFS NASCAR to tell us which drivers have performed the best at particular tracks. They determine how a driver actually fares without the negative factors of crashes, car issues, and pit problems. The NASCAR Research Station is one of our most important features in the RotoBaller NASCAR Season Pass package. It is a deluxe suite of advanced NASCAR statistics that can help you identify the top drivers and value plays for ideal lineup constructions every week. It includes historical, recent, and projected stats and Loop Data.
If you want to work on your fantasy NASCAR setup with all the best statistical tools, the Research Station is your numerical garage for DraftKings and FanDuel lineup building. Get access to the Research Station with the RotoBaller NASCAR Season Pass. Enter promo code KING at checkout for an additional discount. We also have Research Stations for the Xfinity and Truck Series.
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Pala Casino 400: By The DFS Numbers
Drivers are listed in order of preference for lineup usage overall. Research Station indicators are in italics. All Loop Data stats are dating back to 2019 at Auto Club Speedway, covering the last three Cup series events unless otherwise noted. We use DraftKings prices as a basis, but most of what we recommend should also be applied to FanDuel lineup builds.
Chase Elliott: Fourth in Green Passes (362). Second-Best Implied Odds to win (8%). Second-best Implied Odds to finish in the Top 5 (30%). Projected to score the third-most Fantasy Points (54.65). Starts 33rd and should be the most widely rostered driver.
Kyle Busch: Third in Driver Rating (105.4) since 2019 and second all-time (109.0). Leads in Fastest Laps Run (76) and Laps Led (134). First among Closers (average spots gained in the final 10 percent of the last three ACS races, 4.3).
Projected to score the most Fantasy Points (55.30). He has three wins and four top three finishes in his last six ACS starts. Tied for the most Fantasy Points Gained vs. similar drivers in recent ACS races (22.0). Starts 21st and may be the second-most widely rostered driver.
Kyle Larson: Best Implied Odds to win (10%). Projected to score the second-most Fantasy Points (55.15). He is a viable play for quality Place Differential output from the 15th starting position.
Tyler Reddick: Fourth in Driver Rating (100.3) since 2019 and third all-time (100.3). Third in Laps Led (90). Projected to score the most Fantasy Points (60.05). Best Driver Rating Gained vs. similar drivers in Recent ACS races (15.3). Best Average Position vs. Actual Finish (6.0). Starts 35th and is a prime play for Place Differential and overall performance.
William Byron: Projected to score the most Fantasy Points of any driver below $9000 on DraftKings (51.30). He is a strong play for Place Differential production from the 32nd starting position.
Joey Logano: Second in Driver Rating (106.0). He has five Top 5 finishes in his last seven ACS starts.
Ryan Blaney: Leads in Driver Rating (107.3). Leads in Quality Passes (passes of cars in the top 15 while under Green Flag Conditions, 225). Third in Fastest Laps Run (59).
Denny Hamlin: Second in Quality Passes (213) and third in Green Flag Passes (373).
Erik Jones: Second in Green Flag Passes (375) and third in Quality Passes (202). Projected to score the most Fantasy Points of any driver below $8000 on DraftKings (52.45). Best Implied Odds to finish in the Top 5 among drivers below $8000 (13%). Jones is a terrific play for Place Differential points from the 34th starting position.
Alex Bowman: Second in Fastest Laps Run (66) and Laps Led (110). Best Implied Odds to finish in the Top 5 among drivers below $8500 (19%).
Key stats for top drivers on the DraftKings salary ladder from the RotoBaller Research Station.
Martin Truex Jr.: Leads in Green Flag Passes (399). He has two Top 4 finishes in his last three ACS starts.
Chase Briscoe: Projected to score the second-most Fantasy Points of any driver below $8000 on DraftKings (45.50). Tied for the most Fantasy Points Gained vs. similar drivers in recent ACS races (22.0). Second-best Driver Rating Gained vs. similar drivers in Recent ACS races (11.8). Briscoe is a fine Place Differential option from the 31st starting position.
Brad Keselowski: Third Among Closers (2.7 spots gained). He has four Top 4 finishes in his last five ACS starts.
Kevin Harvick: He has three Top 4 finishes in his last five ACS starts.
Ryan Preece: Projected to score the most Fantasy Points of any driver below $7000 on DraftKings (36.90). Preece is a top bargain play as he starts from the 27th position on the grid.
Austin Dillon: Fifth in Green Flag Passes (348). Dillon is worth consideration for Place Differential potential, as he starts 28th.
Aric Almirola: Fifth in Quality Passes (191) and second among Closers (4.0 spots gained).
Scott Engel's fantasy and betting analysis is also featured at The Game Day.
NASCAR DFS News and Driver Outlooks
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The Keys to Weekly NASCAR Success
NASCAR is back, and it's time for you to win more with RotoBaller! Our NASCAR Premium Package for DFS and betting features several heavy hitters and proven winners.
Jordan McAbee anchors the team with his exclusive NASCAR DFS and betting picks, DFS projections and algorithm-predicted finishing order! Jordan had a 60+ unit betting profit in 2024 NASCAR, and a 25% average annual profit since 2018. He won the FSWA Racing Writer Of The Year award in 2023, and has been nominated for DFS Writer Of The Year in 2024.
Five-time NASCAR Racing Writer of the Year finalist and fantasy industry legend Scott "The King" Engel is also in the crew, bringing you his weekly strategies and lineup picks. Set your winning DFS lineups with our award-winning team. He has been nominated once again in 2024 for this award.
