RADIO
BALLER MOVE: Start in all leagues
POSITIONAL VALUE: DST1
ANALYSIS: The Broncos are another DST that has come a long way up the rankings compared to earlier in the season. You will need to shed the recency bias of Week 15, during which the Broncos allowed 42 points to the Lions.
The home-road splits for Jared Goff and the Lions’ offense are relatively extreme, and with the way Denver’s defense has played since their Week 9 bye (mostly on the road), I am not fading them at all in a home game against the 28th-ranked Patriots. You can go back to Week 5 and see the improvement in the Broncos’ defense. Set aside Week 15 for a minute. Since Week 5, they have allowed more than 20 points only once, and that was a 24-22 victory in Buffalo. In Week 8, they held the Chiefs to nine points, scoring 17 fantasy points.
From Weeks 8 through 14, this DST has averaged 10.5 fantasy points per game, and they have averaged close to four sacks per game over the last five games. The Patriots have a POA allowed of +2.9 PPG on the season and +4 PPG over the last five games. The Broncos are a top play in Week 16.
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