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We're inching closer and closer to The Great American Race on Sunday, but before we can get to this year's Daytona 500, we need to set the starting lineup.
The Daytona 500 is unique in that the starting lineup isn't set by traditional qualifying methods. Instead, the front row was set on Wednesday night, with Chase Briscoe winning the pole for Sunday's race while Austin Cindric ended up second-fastest.
Those two drivers will start on the pole for the two Duel races on Thursday evening, with the 45-car field split into two. The finishing order of Duel No. 1 will determine the inside row starting positions for The Great American Race, and the top-finishing "Open" driver will lock their spot into Sunday's race.
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This Algorithm Predicted Finishing Order post, my industry-leading Betting Picks, as well as my DraftKings Projections and Picks article are typically reserved for Premium RotoBaller subscribers, but we have decided to make these FREE for the two Duel races this week.
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How The Algorithm Works & Important Stats
There are quite a few statistics that go into the algorithm formula, including recent performance both overall and at this week's track, specifically, similar track performance, projected strength of the car, practice speeds, starting position, and a few other variables.
All of these numbers are used by the algorithm to compute a "Power Index" number for each driver.
The higher the Power Index number, the faster that driver is expected to be during the race. All of the drivers are then ranked based on their Power Index number to achieve the predicted finishing order of that event.
Daytona Duel No. 1 Algorithm Predicted Finishing Order
| Rank | Driver | Power Index |
| 1. | Kyle Busch | 17.59 |
| 2. | Chase Elliott | 16.40 |
| 3. | Bubba Wallace | 15.96 |
| 4. | William Byron | 15.44 |
| 5. | Tyler Reddick | 14.69 |
| 6. | Ross Chastain | 13.87 |
| 7. | Martin Truex Jr | 12.18 |
| 8. | Ty Gibbs | 11.76 |
| 9. | Chase Briscoe | 10.64 |
| 10. | AJ Allmendinger | 10.36 |
| 11. | Ryan Preece | 10.35 |
| 12. | Austin Dillon | 09.72 |
| 13. | Josh Berry | 09.46 |
| 14. | Michael McDowell | 09.03 |
| 15. | Justin Haley | 08.17 |
| 16. | Carson Hocevar | 07.08 |
| 17. | Ricky Stenhouse Jr | 06.76 |
| 18. | Zane Smith | 06.44 |
| 19. | Ty Dillon | 06.23 |
| 20. | Justin Allgaier | 04.56 |
| 21. | Helio Castroneves | 04.11 |
| 22. | JJ Yeley | 03.02 |
| 23. | Chandler Smith | 01.15 |
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NASCAR DFS News and Driver Outlooks
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NASCAR is back, and it's time for you to win more with RotoBaller! Our NASCAR Premium Package for DFS and betting features several heavy hitters and proven winners.
Jordan McAbee anchors the team with his exclusive NASCAR DFS and betting picks, DFS projections and algorithm-predicted finishing order! Jordan had a 60+ unit betting profit in 2024 NASCAR, and a 25% average annual profit since 2018. He won the FSWA Racing Writer Of The Year award in 2023, and has been nominated for DFS Writer Of The Year in 2024.
Five-time NASCAR Racing Writer of the Year finalist and fantasy industry legend Scott "The King" Engel is also in the crew, bringing you his weekly strategies and lineup picks. Set your winning DFS lineups with our award-winning team. He has been nominated once again in 2024 for this award.
