BALLER MOVE: Draft target ~ 235
CURRENT ADP: ~250 overall
ANALYSIS: David Peralta played in just 99 games last season due to a shoulder injury that eventually required surgery. Peralta was already expected to be in the Diamondbacks’ opening day lineup, but his surgically repaired shoulder should benefit from the extra healing time gained due to the 2020 season’s delayed start.
Peralta benefits from an MLB decision to have all teams play their games in their own division and cross-league rivals. He’ll still play half of his games at home, where he’s posted a career .310/.362/.521 triple-slash, but also get to play in strong hitting stadiums like Coors and Texas.
Peralta is a career .290 hitter, and while his 30-HR 2018 season is likely an outlier, fantasy owners can expect upper-teen to lower 20-HR production from him in a 162 game season. Based on his NFBC ADP, he’s been a 21st-round pick in 12-team mixed leagues, which is too low considering that he hits in the middle of a much improved Arizona lineup. He shouldn't be drafted after Mark Canha (238) and should be much closer to Shin-Soo Choo (230).
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