Hello, my friends, and welcome to NBA Thursday. First off, I want to wish everyone a happy and healthy Thanksgiving weekend. Second off, let's feast on this monstrous 13 game slate before turkey time.
Before getting into the player breakdowns and selections, let's take a look at a few Vegas lines that could be of interest, especially for stacking purposes. The following games have very high over/under lines listed, starting with the Raptors at Rockets (216.5), the Trail Blazers at Cavs (216), and the Celtics at Nets (214.5).
These are my daily fantasy NBA lineup picks for FanDuel on 11/23/16. I try to only advise players I believe will outperform expectations and the players I advise are players in my lineup so if it all goes downhill, I'll be tumbling down right next to you. Let's get to it, shall we?
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FanDuel DFS Guards
Kemba Walker - PG, vs SAS ($7,800)
The Spurs aren't the overall defensive threat they once were, and Kemba is shining this season as the Hornets' veteran backcourt leader and focal point of the offense. That's a nice recipe for exceeding value tonight, as Walker is still under-priced for his production and I can see him cruising past value with all of the opportunities he creates. For the season, he has an incredibly high usage rate at 28.9 and he's been an efficient producer, too, as marked by his 26.6 PER and 1.2 FanDuel points per minute.
James Harden - SG, vs TOR ($11,600)
Harden has gotten to a level this season - yes, already - where anything less than 40 fantasy points is a major letdown. Tonight, against a Raptors team that has allowed the third most points to opposing shooting guards of any of the 26 teams taking the floor tonight, I like his chances to exceed value with ease. Harden's minutes per game average, usage rate (35.7) and PER (30+) are nearly off the charts, and they create a very high floor for the combo guard. The fact that this game features a very high over/under with a small spread (3.5) also excites me about the possibility of him putting up monstrous numbers.
Elfrid Payton - PG, vs PHX ($5,700)
If taking risks - or simply putting a lineup or two into a huge tournament - is your thing, take a look at Payton tonight. He is certainly not worthy of cash game consideration (unless you desperately need a punt play) because of inconsistency and not often putting up many shots, but the matchup is a really, really strong one. The pace of the game favors the Magic's style of play and the Suns have been very kind to opposing point guards. Payton is in a position to not just exceed value but perhaps even be a difference maker in tournaments.
Also Consider: Victor Oladipo - SG, at SAC ($5,900)
FanDuel DFS Forwards
Andrew Wiggins - SF, at NOP ($6,700)
Based on what I've seen in flashes this season from Wiggins, he's still underpriced, especially relative to any other forward you'd consider in tournament formats. For the season, Wiggins has a usage rate just under 30, and that certainly creates a nice floor, too. The Pelicans play at a fast pace, which really favors Wiggins' preferred style of play, and I like his chances to exceed value on this Thanksgiving Eve.
Paul Millsap - PF, at IND ($7,800)
Any time you can get someone with Millsap's skill set for under 8k, he's at least worth roster consideration. He's had a few low points this season - which has helped to keep his price reasonable - but he's been trending up of late and his price hasn't caught up with his production. The Pacers offer a nice matchup tonight as they have allowed the most points to opposing power forwards of any team taking the floor tonight. I'm also a fan of Millsap this evening for his usage projection just under 24.
Also Consider: Kawhi Leonard - SF, at CHA ($8,500)
FanDuel DFS Centers
Hassan Whiteside - C, at DET ($9,200)
Whiteside has been producing in bunches this season and his production has led to him exceeding his price implied value in eight of his last 10 games, by an impressive margin of nearly nine points per night. His usage rate has climbed over 23 this season, he's been efficient - scoring 1.32 FanDuel points per minute - and his average of roughly 30 minutes a night makes for a nice floor, too. Tonight, his matchup is a very favorable one, as Detroit has been allowing more than 2.5 points over the average to opposing centers.
Also Consider: Alex Len - C, at ORL ($5,200)
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