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Daily Fantasy Golf FanDuel Picks (PGA DFS) - 2021 BMW Championship

Joe Nicely breaks down the FanDuel slate for the 2021 BMW Championship providing information of not only who will come into the week under-owned but also who should be avoided for your lineups.

Hello RotoBaller PGA crew! It's great to be back with you guys and I appreciate you joining us here at RotoBaller for the second event of the FedEx Cup Playoffs, the BMW Championship!

In this article we'll discuss some of the standout PGA DFS plays available on FanDuel for the 2021 BMW Championship. While it's impossible to hit on every player, we'll touch on some different plays across all price ranges, breaking the groups down into "High", "Mid", and "Low" price options that are worth considering.

Like always, the purpose of this piece is to help you put together your optimal daily fantasy golf lineups for FanDuel, whether that be from a GPP perspective or a cash-game mentality. Be sure to also read all of our other top-notch weekly PGA DFS and betting articles to help you win big!

Featured Promo: Get any DFS Premium Bundle for for 30% off using code NEW! Win more with expert advice from proven winners and exclusive DFS tools. Get instant access to RotoBaller's Lineup Optimizers, Research Stations, daily picks and VIP chat rooms across 10 sports! Go Premium, Win More!

 

2021 BMW Championship - PGA DFS Overview

Caves Valley

7,542 Yards - Par 72 - Greens: Bentgrass - Designers: Tom Fazio

We rarely see a "brand new" course pop up on the PGA Tour schedule, but with the rotating venue strategy that the Tour has decided to implement for the opening legs of the FedEx Cup Playoffs, we'll get our first-ever look at Caves Valley in Baltimore. The Tom Fazio-designed course isn't totally new, as it's hosted a Senior U.S. Open and a Senior PLAYERS. However, if recent trips to "unknown" courses like Shadow Creek, The Concession, and Sherwood are any indicator, these fellas will light this place up.

As a general rule on unknown layouts, I'll lean heavily on overall Tee to Green ability and Ball Striking. I'll also factor in Birdies or Better Gained in this instance, as I expect scoring to be fairly easy at Caves Valley.

For an in-depth breakdown of this week's course, check out RotoBaller's PGA Premium Course Breakdown by Josh Bennett!

 

Let's Look At The Stats

Stat Caves Valley Tour Average
Driving Distance N/A 282
Driving Accuracy N/A 62%
GIR Percentage N/A 65%
Scrambling Percentage N/A 57%
Average Three-Putts Per Round N/A 0.55

 

Key Stats

  • Strokes Gained: T2G
  • Strokes Gained: Ball Striking
  • Total Driving
  • Birdies or Better Gained
  • Par-5 Scoring
  • Driving Distance

 

Fantasy Golf Lineup Picks for FanDuel (PGA DFS)

We have tons of great weekly PGA articles, DFS analysis, tools and DFS advice. Be sure to read our other fantastic articles regarding this week's event including DFS lineup picks for DraftKings/FanDuel, betting advice and DFS prop picks.

 

High-Priced FanDuel DFS Plays 

Jon Rahm ($12,000)

Jon Rahm was our top selection in this article last week and the Spaniard didn't really give us any reason to change our minds for the BMW with his performance at Liberty National. As he has all year, Rahm performed brilliantly last week, settling for a solo third-place result after being in the driver's seat for most of the tournament. He gained a massive 12 strokes T2G in the Northern Trust. This is a nutso statistic, but Rahm has not lost strokes T2G in a start since LAST AUGUST. That's right, he's gained strokes T2G in every tournament he's played for the last calendar year. It illustrates just how exceptional his game is in every area and, of course, he's once again an elite DFS option at Caves Valley.

Bryson DeChambeau ($11,100)

I think the last time I was truly "in" on Bryson DeChambeau was the Rocket Mortgage, an event in which he promptly missed the cut against a pitiful field (after his caddie quit, I might add). I've been reluctant to get back on board since due to all the turmoil that's surrounded him, but this feels like a decent spot to take a shot and hop back on, as I believe there's a good chance that Bryson will simply over power this golf course. He'll obviously be able to take advantage of Caves Valley's four Par-5s - he ranks first in the field in SG: Par-5s - and his not-always-great iron play has been trending in the right direction, as he's now gained over three strokes on Approach in each of his last two starts. We're guessing a bit as to how this Fazio layout will truly play, but I'm always willing to bet on raw distance.

Louis Oosthuizen ($10,600)

Louis Oosthuizen was the only qualified player inside the FedEx top-125 that didn't tee it up last week in the Northern Trust. He withdrew with a "neck" injury, but I suspect that the South African was just catching his breath after a long, busy stretch of golf in order to gear up for these last two events of the season. The old "out of sight, out of mind" theory might help us here, as some folks will simply forget just how great Oosty has been this summer. He's ranked second in this field in SG: Total over the last 24 rounds and has gained an average of 6.2 strokes T2G over his last five tournaments. Louis also has the type of game that translates to any type of golf course, so I imagine he'll have no trouble adapting to this new Caves Valley layout this week.

Viktor Hovland ($10,300)

Don't let his T43 final result fool you, Viktor Hovland played much better than his finishing position last week. Hovland was right in the mix, posting rounds of 68-67-65 before an ugly final-round 77 (thanks to a freak quadruple bogey and breaking his putter) sent him tumbling down the leaderboard. Is it the ideal way to head into this week's BMW? No...but it's gonna make the masses sleep on Vik, I'm more than willing to buy the dip on a young player that's proven himself to be one of the elite ball strikers in the game.

 

Did you know RotoBaller has a Premium DFS PGA subscription?

Like what you read today? You can show your support for Joe by using promo code NICE when purchasing a PGA Premium Pass. You get 10% off and full access to all of our Premium PGAon tou articles, DFS tools, and Lineup Optimizer!

 

Mid-Priced FanDuel DFS Plays

Harris English ($9,700)

Man...just give me all the $9k range this week! Love the players available at this price point and that starts off with Harris English, a player that just continues to impress. English bounced back from a rough final-round back nine in Memphis a few weeks ago to record a respectable T31 at Liberty National. That finish came despite some not-so-impressive statistics. However, sometimes we just have to throw stats out the window and recognize when a player is simply performing well on a consistent basis.

Corey Conners ($9,600)

I highlighted Corey Conners in this article last week and mentioned that his ball-striking was trending in the right direction. That was indeed the case at Liberty National as Conners gained nearly five strokes OTT and over six on Approach en route to a T8 in the Northern Trust. He's the type of player that I will blindly ride when the ball-striking gets hot and there's no way I'm hopping off now.

Sam Burns ($9,300)

Burns was almost criminally overlooked last week. The rising star has logged two runner-up finishes since nabbing a victory at the Valspar in May. Burns is sneaky-long off the tee, has been strong with the irons, and demonstrated an improving short game. In other words...the kid is a quiet star that doesn't get the publicity of a Hovland, Wolff, or Scheffler.

Cameron Tringale ($8,800)

I kinda keep waiting for the wheels to fall of for Cameron Tringale, but the veteran just continues to chug along. He's posted top-25 results in three of his last four starts and just narrowly missed that mark with a T26 in the Open Championship in the other one. He stands ninth in this elite field in SG: Par-5s and should be able to take advantage of the four Par-5s that await on this Caves Valley layout. The (fair) knock is that he never actually wins golf tournaments, but at $8.8k, we don't truly need a win from him in this situation. Tringale sticks out as one of the best values on the FanDuel slate for me.

 

Low-Priced FanDuel DFS Players

Charley Hoffman ($8,500)

Charley Hoffman was playing some excellent golf earlier in the year - running off four top-10s between February and May - but the veteran has faded a bit over the last couple of months. However, a pair of 65s en route to a T21 last week at Liberty National indicate he might be waking up just in time. Hoffman gained 2.9 strokes T2G last week, his best statistical performance since a T3 at the Charles Schwab at the end of May. From a narrative perspective, he currently sits at 29th in the FedEx Cup points standings and will be highly motivated to finish inside the top 30 in order to qualify for next week's Tour Championship and reap all the benefits that come with that accomplishment.

Maverick McNealy ($8,200)

The Stanford alum is almost Cameron Tringale-like in that he doesn't necessarily stand out in a specific statistical category, but continues to consistently produce rock-solid results. McNealy was a college star that sputtered out of the gate as a pro. He appears to be putting everything together this season and heads to Caves Valley riding a seven-tournament made-cut streak with no finishes worse than a T30 among those outings. Mav has gained an average of 3.2 strokes T2G over his last five starts and the no-cut nature of this week's event gives us the ability to swing away at this $8.2k price point.

Sebastian Munoz ($7,900)

Another discounted player that comes into the week with under-the-radar-good form. Munoz has quietly put together a very nice little stretch of play. "Sea Bass" posted a T4 at the John Deere (a tournament that he had a very good chance to win), narrowly missed a medal at the Olympics, and has went T29-T21 at the Wyndham & Northern Trust. He grades out sixth in this elite field in SG: Ball Striking over the last 12 rounds and with his sterling Swing Season record, we know that he has the ability to go low if this week's BMW turns into a true shootout.

Hudson Swafford ($7,000)

No-cut events afford us the opportunity to take some risks and also force us to get a little contrarian with our roster builds. We kill two birds with one stone here with Hudson Swafford, a player that comes in with the stone minimum price tag and will carry around 1% ownership on this slate. Swafford is by no means a slam dunk, but if we ignore the name and simply look at the numbers from his past two starts...he's pretty intriguing. Plus 6.1 strokes on Approach at the Wyndham and plus 5.4 on Approach last week at Northern Trust, Swafford is in a very nice groove with the irons at the moment, and has perhaps been even better with his driver, as he grades out second in this stacked field in both SG: OTT and Good Drives Gained over the last 12 rounds.

  Win More With RotoBaller

Win more with expert tools and advice from proven winners! RotoBaller's PGA Premium Packages feature several savvy analysts and proven winners for DFS and betting.

Our very own Joe Nicely took down a big DraftKings DFS tournament for the Travelers Championship. And as an encore, RotoBaller subscriber @tenndolly2 won $100K on FanDuel with the help of Joe and the rest of our Premium PGA team:

Between all the incredible Premium PGA DFS and Betting content and tools we put out each week, and our Premium Slack Community where we chat with our subscribers before lineups lock, RotoBaller PGA subscribers are armed with the tools, analysis, and advice to win more.

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