Welcome back, RotoBallers! As always, please check out my weekly spreadsheet in the link below to get started on your research for the Zurich Classic. You will be able to weigh out the categories however you see fit once you make a copy, and I always love hearing the success you have found while using the model. Thanks again for all the support, and let's have a successful week!
I take great pride in the research and energy I put into my selections from a mathematical standpoint, but my numbers or information aren't always the law. If you have any questions about a particular player from a PGA DFS or PGA betting perspective, please feel free to contact me on Twitter @Teeoffsports. Many golfers barely miss out on being mentioned here by fractions of a percent, and I am more than happy to discuss my feelings or stance on anyone that may have caught your eye. Like always, the purpose of this piece is to help you put together your optimal daily fantasy golf lineups for DraftKings, whether that be from a GPP perspective or a cash-game mentality. Be sure to also read all of our other top-notch weekly PGA DFS articles to help you win big!
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PGA DFS Rankings Wizard - Zurich Classic
We have a special treat for all you RotoBallers and golf enthusiasts. In addition to this article, be sure to also check out Spencer's PGA DFS Rankings Wizard - a powerful and interactive data spreadsheet, allowing user inputs to create custom rankings and models for golf. If you would like to create your own spreadsheet, you will need to make a copy under "file." We hope you enjoy!
TPC Louisiana
7,425 Yards - Par 72 - Greens Bermuda
It is a tricky week for us at the Zurich Classic, as eighty teams will be vying to make the cut at TPC Louisiana. It is worth noting that the top-35 and ties will get to play the weekend, and play will be split between best-ball on Thursday/Saturday and an alternate shot on Friday/Sunday.
While data isn't as easy to come by as a normal stop, I did pre-plug some "team totals" on my DFS Rankings Wizard model. There you will be able to get a better understanding of what I found to be important, but there are a ton of different ways for you to do your research in New Orleans.
If you are trying to break this down from a statistical perspective, 28 percent of second shots came from beyond 200 yards when this was played as a solo event, and the ability to ball-strike looked to be an essential component for golfers that found success. All in all, this is going to provide a unique strategy when constructing DFS lineups, and it is important to note that no single approach should be considered incorrect during an uncommon test.
Note: For an exclusive in-depth look at this week's course, check out RotoBaller's Premium Course Breakdown written by Josh Bennett.
Let's Look At The Stats
Stat | TPC Louisiana | Tour Average |
Driving Distance | 276 | 282 |
Driving Accuracy | 63% | 62% |
GIR Percentage | 69% | 65% |
Scrambling Percentage | 61% | 57% |
Average Three-Putts Per Round | 0.36 | 0.56 |
In Vegas, as of Monday, Jon Rahm/Ryan Palmer lead the way at 7/1 and are followed by Xander Schauffele/Patrick Cantlay at 8/1, Cameron Smith and Marc Leishman at 12/1 and Matthew Wolff and Collin Morikawa at 14/1.
Key Stats
- Prox 200+ & Partners Putting (Alternate for Both/Weighted) 35%
- Team Birdie or Better 25%
- Team Approach + ATG 20%
- Team Ball-Striking 20%
Fantasy Golf Lineup Picks for DraftKings (PGA DFS)
We have tons of great weekly PGA articles, DFS analysis, tools and DFS advice. Be sure to read our other fantastic articles regarding this week's event.
High-Priced DraftKings DFS Players
There are nine players this week priced above $10,000:
Jon Rahm/Ryan Palmer ($11,500)
The defending champions of this event are priced as the second favorites on DraftKings, and it does feel like a small value to be had at their $200 discount from Xander Schauffele/Patrick Cantlay. Rahm/Palmer rank second in my model when it comes to birdie or better percentage and grade inside the top-two for ball-striking, approach + around the green and alternate proximity from over 200+ yards putting. There is no other way to say it; there is a reason why they won the title here last time.
Collin Morikawa/Matthew Wolff ($11,300)
I am not much of a believer in Matthew Wolff compared to the rest of the industry, but the pairing of him and Collin Morikawa feels like an ideal one - and not just because of their friendship. Wolff's distance off the tee should highlight Morikawa's iron prowess, and it shouldn't hurt matters that the best part of Wolff's iron play comes from his long irons.
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Mid-Priced DraftKings DFS Players
Max Homa/Talor Gooch ($9,900)
Two golfers that have been in form with their irons as of late, Max Homa and Talor Gooch form an intriguing pairing if they can get hot with their putters. Both are currently ranked inside the top-40 of the field when it comes to strokes gained putting over the past 24 rounds, and the duo ranks ninth in birdie or better percentage.
Viktor Hovland/Kristoffer Ventura ($9,700)
The pairing of Viktor Hovland and Kristoffer Ventura will go as far as Ventura's irons allow them to for the week. Hovland isn't known as a great around the green player, and while the team could find some issues if Ventura continues to mimic his 126th-place ranking in strokes gained approach over the last two years, there is upside for the former college teammates to gel and find success. The two rank fifth in this field in birdie or better percentage and also grade sixth in ball-striking.
Brendan Steele/Keegan Bradley ($9,300)
Can Brendan Steele continue his torrid putting? If so, consider Steele and Keegan Bradley to be a formidable duo in the Bayou. Bradley's sixth-place rank in approach play could pay dividends if Steele remains a top-20 putter, which only can help since the two rank fifth as a unit in ball-striking.
Justin Suh/Doug Ghim ($8,100)
SIGN ME UP!!!! Perhaps my favorite pairing on the board, Justin Suh and Doug Ghim feel like a top-notch pairing if you are looking for a sleeper down the board that can win the event. Suh has been a statistical monster during his starts over the past year and should get a boost from Ghim, who has provided more sustainable results.
Other Options to Consider in This Range:
Lanto Griffin/Joel Dahmen ($9,000), Jason Kokrak/Pat Perez ($8,300)
Low-Priced DraftKings DFS Players To Consider ($7,000)
Michael Thompson/Will Gordon ($7,600)
Josh Teater/Sepp Straka ($7,200)
Peter Uihlein/Richy Werenski ($7,100)
Sub-$6,000 Options To Consider
Piercy/Bhatia ($6,900), Stallings/Garnett ($6,800), Vegas/Romero ($6,400), Higgs/Gellerman ($6,400)
***Plays are not limited to those options, but they are some of the ones that popped in my initial model.
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