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Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the San Diego Padres vs. Chicago Cubs, another article in our daily series of free MLB betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free MLB betting breakdown article is for Thursday, April 27th 2023.
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Today's Betting Overview - Padres vs. Cubs
The Padres take on the Cubs on Thursday, April 27th 2023 at Wrigley Field, Chicago. RotoBaller provides free handicapping pick and odds for all MLB games throughout the 2023 season.
- Matchup: San Diego Padres (13-13) vs. Chicago Cubs (13-10)
- Date: Thursday, April 27th 2023
- Time: 2:20 ET
- Venue: Wrigley Field, Chicago
Today's MLB Sportsbook Odds - Padres vs. Cubs
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San Diego Padres - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
The San Diego Padres come into their game against Chicago looking to move above .500. Their record of 13-13 ranks 3rd in the NL West. So far, San Diego has been tough as the road team, putting together a mark of 8-5.
Being the favorite in 16 of their 26 games has not helped San Diego improve their record against the runline, which stands at just 12-14. The team's over/under record comes in at 11-13 with an average betting line of 8.
For San Diego, Seth Lugo gets the start, currently holding a record of 2-1. So far, Seth Lugo has put together an outstanding ERA of 2.78. In his outings, opposing batters are hitting .261 against the right-hander. Seth Lugo has given up one home run leading to a WOBA allowed of .293. With a total of six walks, Lugo has a WHIP of 1.28.
Offensively, San Diego is scoring at a rate near the MLB average, at 3.7 runs per game. So far, the Padres have combined for a team batting average of .216, placing them 29th in the league. So far, the team is the 17th-rated home run hitting team, with a total of 27 deep shots. San Diego's offense currently sits 25th in OBP, coming in at .301.
Chicago Cubs - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
As the Chicago Cubs host the San Diego Padres, they have a record of 13-10, placing them 3rd in the NL Central. Heading into today's game, the Cubs will look to turn things around at home. Currently they are just 7-8 at Wrigley Field.
Chicago has been favored 52.2% of their games, resulting in an above .500 record against the runline at 14-9. With an average betting line of 8 runs, the team's over/under record stands at 12-10.
For Chicago, Hayden Wesneski will look to pick up a win over San Diego, as he has a record of 1-1. With an ERA of 6.23, Hayden Wesneski has had his struggles on the mound. His batting average allowed of .300 is high compared to other pitchers. Opposing hitters have gone deep four times against Hayden Wesneski, who has a WOBA allowed of .392. Wesneski's WHIP of 1.61 comes along with a total of seven walks allowed.
Chicago comes into this game with a strong offensive unit, averaging 5.7 runs per game, good for 4th in the MLB. The Cubs are enjoying offensive success as their team batting average ranks 3rd at .274. The team's lineup is also hitting for power at an above average rate, with 30 home runs (11th). Chicago's offense has done a good job getting on base, ranking 2nd with an OBP of .344.
Today's MLB Betting Pick - Padres vs. Cubs
Heading into today's matchup between San Diego and Chicago, the Padres are the betting favorite at -144 on the moneyline. San Diego's implied win probability sits at 59.02%. The MLB predictive model shows San Diego pulling out a close win over the Cubs. It is recommended to take the Padres Moneyline on the moneyline.
Recommended Betting Pick: Padres Moneyline
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