Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the Houston Texans vs. Dallas Cowboys, another article in our weekly series of free NFL betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free NFL betting breakdown article is for Sunday, December 11th, 2022.
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Today's Betting Overview - Texans @ Cowboys
The Texans take on the Cowboys on Sunday, December 11th at AT&T Stadium, Arlington. RotoBaller provides free handicapping picks and odds for all NFL games throughout the 2022 season.
- Matchup: Houston Texans (1-10-1) vs. Dallas Cowboys (9-3)
- Date: Sunday, December 11th, 2022
- Time: 1:00 PM ET
- Venue: AT&T Stadium
Today's NFL Sportsbook Odds - Texans @ Cowboys
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Houston Texans - NFL Betting Analysis
Last week, the Texans fell by a score of 27-14 to the Cleveland Browns, giving them a loss in the AFC standings. Houston lost the game by more than anticipated, as the oddsmakers placed Houston as 7.5 point underdog. Together, the two teams combined score remained below the over-under betting line of 46. The Texans were not able to make a comeback in last week's game, as they trailed Cleveland by a score of 14-8 heading into the final quarter. Through 12 games, the Texans have an ATS record of 4-7-1. So far, they have an over-under record of 4-8. This week's betting total of 45.0 is right in line with their previous games.
As the Texans prepare to take on Dallas, they are ranked 31st in points per game at 15.7. This week, the team is matched up against the league's 3rd ranked defense, which will cause even more problems for the struggling offense. This week, look for the Texans to have a tough time in the passing game, as not only have they struggled to move the ball through the air, but they are facing a secondary ranked 7th in passer rating allowed. On the ground, our projections show that the Texans offense will have its problems. Even though they have a decent matchup against a Dallas, look for Houston to come up with fewer rush yards than their season average of 87.92.
Dallas Cowboys - NFL Betting Analysis
In their last game vs the Indianapolis Colts, the Cowboys won by a score of 54-19. The 35 point win gave the team a non-conference victory. Besides winning straight up, the Cowboys also came home with an ATS win as the -11.0 point favorites. By the end of the game, the teams combined for 73 points, surpassing the betting line of 44. On their way to picking up a 35-point win, Dallas held a 2 point lead heading into the 4th quarter at 21-19. Through 12 games, the Cowboys have an ATS record of 8-4. So far, they have an over-under record of 6-6. This week's betting total of 45.0 is right in line with their previous games.
Heading into this week's matchup, the Cowboys' offense is averaging 27.8 points per game, placing them 4th in the NFL. Look for the team to put together another strong offensive performance, as they are facing a Texans defense that is ranked 20th in points per game. Even though the Houston secondary ranked 9th in passer rating allowed, Dallas should still be able to pick up yards through the air. On the ground, the Cowboys should be in line for a good performance, as they are one of the better rushing team's in the league and are facing a defense that has its problem stopping the run.
Today's NFL Betting Pick - Texans vs. Cowboys
Over the last 3 matchups between Houston and Dallas, the Cowboys have won 2 of the last 3 games. The over-under record in these games sits at 0-3, with the average scoring total coming in at 37.33 points. Last year, the Texans and Cowboys did not play each other.
When looking at how the teams have performed vs the spread, neither unit has a leg up, each covering 1 time over their last 3 meetings. The Texans' offense has averaged 16.33 points per game over the 3 most recent meetings with Dallas, compared to the Cowboys at 21.0.
Over their last 3 regular season games, the Texans have gone 0-3 straight up. In these games, they have gone just 0-3 vs the spread while posting an over-under mark of 0-3.
Through their last 3 road games, Houston has an ATS record of just 0-3. However, their overall record was 0-3 while averaging 17.0 points per game.
Through their last 3 games, the Cowboys have a record of 3-0. In these games, they have a 2-1 record vs the spread and an over-under mark of 2-1.
When looking at their past 3 home matchups, Dallas has an ATS record of 2-1 while averaging 43.67 per game. The team went 3-0 overall in these games.
Recommended ATS Betting Pick: Cowboys -17.0
Recommended OU Betting Pick: Under 45.0
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