X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Draft Rankings
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Value Picks
Compare Any Players
News and Alerts

How Useful Are Expert Mocks? A Side-by-Side Comparison

There are a lot of expert mock drafts out there. They're useful because they give you a good idea of who people who write about fantasy football are targeting.

But there are a LOT more people who play fantasy football who aren't writers, and the drafts you actually do this month are bound to look a lot different than the expert mock drafts you see on fantasy football websites. I wanted to get an idea of what a normal draft might look like so we could talk about the differences, so I asked for volunteers on Twitter to do a mock. I got 11 people plus myself, since Sleeper wouldn't let me make a mock and then not be part of it.

Here's the link to the draft board. Here, for comparison, is the link to our most recent staff mock. Let's talk about some of the key takeaways from the non-writers mock.

Be sure to check all of our fantasy football rankings for 2025:

 

Non-Expert Mock Results

 

Expert Mock Results

 

The Value Of Quarterbacks

In our non-writer mock, the first quarterback off the board was Patrick Mahomes at 3.2. In our staff mock, the first quarterback off the board was Patrick Mahomes at 4.11. Mahomes was the only quarterback to go before Round 6 in our staff mock, but in the non-writer mock we had Aaron Rodgers and Andrew Luck go in the fifth and then Deshaun Watson go earlier in the sixth than a QB went in the staff mock.

By the end of Round 10, the non-writer mock had seen 12 quarterbacks drafted. In the staff mock, 10 quarterbacks had gone.

Quarterbacks go earlier in real drafts. While I'm still an advocate for waiting on the position, expert mocks can mislead you about how long you're able to wait on the position. When you sit down with your home league and devote yourself to waiting until Round 10 for a quarterback, there's a good chance the pickings will be a lot slimmer than you'll think they'll be.

The non-writer mock also had a run of four straight quarterbacks in the 10th. Every team that didn't have one panicked and grabbed one. Runs happen in real life. You pass up on a QB and by the next time you're up, Josh Allen is the best guy left. I still think you should slow your roll when it comes to your QB and not jump the gun with, like, a fifth-round pick of Russell Wilson or something, but be willing to be proactive if there's a certain guy you want.

 

The Early Rounds Looked Basically The Same

Both drafts started with the big four backs in some order (and Ezekiel Elliott fourth of those guys) and then DeAndre Hopkins. 11 of the first-round picks were the same in each league, with the only difference being Tyreek Hill making the first round in the staff mock and Dalvin Cook making the first round in the non-writer mock.

Round 2 was basically the same. Damien Williams fell to the third in the non-writer mock. The couple of days between drafts made Melvin Gordon go from a second-rounder in the non-writer version to a third-rounder in the staff mock.

The first three or four rounds of any fantasy draft are probably going to look virtually the same unless you're in a league where someone doesn't know what they're doing. Everyone in the non-writer mock knew what they were doing, so nothing too wild happened, like when someone in my home league picked Jimmy Garoppolo as the first quarterback off the board last year.

 

The Second Tight End Run

Travis Kelce went in the second round in both. Zach Ertz and George Kittle went in the third round in both. Beyond that, it was hard to really make much sense of the difference between the drafts until the very end.

O.J. Howard went Round 5 in the staff mock, but once Round 6 hit, both drafts featured middle rounds where we saw one or two tight ends go per round. There wasn't really a run, because everyone seemed to have a different strategy when it came to what tight ends to target.

The big difference was that in the non-writer, once people started drafting their second tight end, everyone started drafting their second tight end. Between pick 13.8 and 14.9, seven tight ends were picked.

One thing that a lot of fantasy writers will say is that you don't need to draft a second tight end. Only half of the staff league did. But three-quarters of the teams in the non-writer mock went with second tight ends. Two of the teams who didn't drafted right after the run, so I'm willing to guess that part of why they didn't grab a second tight end was because there was no one left.

And that's the big tight end takeaway. In your home league, people are going to take a second tight end, and if you're planning to run with just one, it might be a good idea to pick one of the top five or six players at the position. Because the tight end waiver wire is looking really thin this year, so taking someone like Trey Burton or Mark Andrews as your only tight end and hoping you can get production off waivers won't work when everyone owns all the tight ends.

 

Kickers and Defenses

Both mock drafts featured defense and kicker because while Twitter would lead you to believe that no one in the world plays with those things, in actuality most leagues still feature them.

In the staff mock, no D/ST went until the Bears at 14.3, and no kicker went until Greg Zuerlein at 15.3. Two teams -- including me -- went D/ST in 14 and kicker in 15, while everyone else saved one or the other for the final round. I liked that strategy for me, which gave me a shot at top pieces at both positions while not sacrificing too much by waiting a little longer to grab my last position player.

In the non-writer mock, that strategy didn't work so well.

The first D/ST taken there were the Bears in the ninth round and by the end of Round 12, four D/ST had gone. For kickers, the first kicker taken was Zuerlein in the 13th, with Justin Tucker going one spot later. Only five defenses or kickers went in the draft's final round, as most teams had their starters at those positions already. One team took two D/ST. No one took two kickers.

The takeaway? In reality, people don't wait as long on these positions. If you're devoted to streaming, that's good for you, as it means you can stock up on position players earlier. But if you're someone who plans to take a top kicker or defense and hold onto them (which, hey, I've done it in the past and won leagues), you can't wait until the final three rounds to do so.

More Fantasy Football Analysis




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Draft Rankings
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Value Picks
Compare Any Players
News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Fernando Tatis Jr.13 mins ago

Back In Camp
Aaron Judge19 mins ago

To Hit Second In 2025
Linus Ullmark23 mins ago

Starting On Wednesday
Will Smith25 mins ago

To Make Cactus League Debut On Friday
Freddie Freeman32 mins ago

Scheduled To DH On Thursday
TOR38 mins ago

Chris Tanev Viewed As Day-To-Day
Michael Bunting47 mins ago

Dealing With Illness
Shane Pinto56 mins ago

Sitting Out On Wednesday
Matthew Stafford1 hour ago

Expected To Stay With Rams?
Josh Norris1 hour ago

Ruled Out For Wednesday's Contest
Aaron Rodgers1 hour ago

Interested In Playing For The Giants?
Brady Tkachuk1 hour ago

Will Not Play On Wednesday
Shohei Ohtani2 hours ago

To Make Cactus League Debut On Friday
Jonatan Clase2 hours ago

Could Play In Games This Weekend
Anthony Santander2 hours ago

Away Due To Visa Issues
Green Bay Packers2 hours ago

Packers Open To Trading Jaire Alexander
Clarke Schmidt2 hours ago

Expects To Throw Live Batting Practice This Weekend
Matthew Stafford2 hours ago

Rams Expected To Drive Up Asking Price For Matthew Stafford
Jake Cousins2 hours ago

To Begin Throwing Program On Monday
Austin Wells2 hours ago

Playing On Wednesday
Jose Altuve2 hours ago

To Make Left Field Debut On Friday
Wyatt Langford3 hours ago

Resumes Light Baseball Activities
Cameron Young4 hours ago

A High-Risk, High-Reward Play At PGA National
Taylor Pendrith4 hours ago

Is An Enticing Play At Cognizant Classic
Gary Woodland4 hours ago

Aiming For Bounce-Back Performance At PGA National
Jackson Jobe4 hours ago

Allows Two Runs Across Two Frames
PGA4 hours ago

Kris Ventura A Value Pick At The Cognizant Classic
NFL4 hours ago

Tyler Warren Won't Take Part In On-Field Work At NFL Combine
PGA4 hours ago

Niklas Norgaard Making Third PGA Tour Start At Cognizant Classic
Tennessee Titans4 hours ago

Harold Landry Granted Permission To Seek Trade
Franco Aleman4 hours ago

May Require Surgery
4 hours ago

Rob Gronkowski Denies NFL Comeback Rumors
Erik Van Rooyen4 hours ago

Looking For Sustained Success At PGA National
Kumar Rocker5 hours ago

Stumbles In Spring Debut
Xavier Isaac5 hours ago

X-Rays Come Back Negative On Xavier Isaac
Hurston Waldrep5 hours ago

Optioned To Triple-A
Zac Veen5 hours ago

Showing Speed In Cactus League
Malcolm Brogdon5 hours ago

Out For Fourth Consecutive Game
Alexandre Sarr5 hours ago

Questionable Wednesday
T.J. McConnell6 hours ago

Questionable To Play On Wednesday
Ayo Dosunmu6 hours ago

Questionable Wednesday
Nikola Vučević6 hours ago

Nikola Vucevic Doubtful For Meeting With Clippers
Andrew Chafin6 hours ago

Not Guaranteed A Roster Spot
Chet Holmgren6 hours ago

Available Against Nets
Edmundo Sosa6 hours ago

Could Have Increased Role In Outfield
Nikola Jović6 hours ago

Nikola Jovic To Miss At Least Four Weeks
Joey Loperfido6 hours ago

Does Not Have Concussion Symptoms
Bam Adebayo6 hours ago

Iffy For Wednesday
Trent Frederic7 hours ago

Injured On Tuesday
Josh Anderson7 hours ago

Undergoing Evaluation
NYR7 hours ago

K’Andre Miller Exits Early On Tuesday
Roman Josi7 hours ago

Injured On Tuesday
William Nylander7 hours ago

Exits Early On Tuesday
Adam Fox8 hours ago

Sustains Upper-Body Injury
Jordan Spieth13 hours ago

Looking To Bounce Back In Cognizant Classic Debut
Seamus Power13 hours ago

A Risky Play With Upside At PGA National
Andrew Novak13 hours ago

Searching For Consistency At PGA National
Denny McCarthy14 hours ago

Eyeing First Career Victory At PGA National
Min Woo Lee14 hours ago

Aims To Keep The Momentum Going At PGA National
Chris Kirk15 hours ago

A Wild Card At PGA National
Tennessee Titans15 hours ago

Titans Could Look To Add To RB Room
Tennessee Titans15 hours ago

Titans Will Listen To Calls On No. 1 Overall Pick
NFL15 hours ago

Colston Loveland Expected To Be Cleared For Training Camp
Miami Dolphins15 hours ago

Dolphins Not Expecting Terron Armstead To Return
Philadelphia Eagles15 hours ago

Kevin Patullo Will Call Plays For Eagles Offense
Philadelphia Eagles15 hours ago

Eagles Will Make "Concerted Effort" To Keep Zack Baun
Los Angeles Chargers16 hours ago

Chargers Could Retain Joey Bosa
Matthew Stafford16 hours ago

Raiders A Potential Landing Spot For Matthew Stafford
Las Vegas Raiders16 hours ago

Raiders Want To Keep Maxx Crosby Long Term
Jaylen Warren16 hours ago

Steelers Will Tender An Offer To Jaylen Warren
J.J. McCarthy16 hours ago

Hoping To Be Ready For Start Of Offseason Program
Xavier Legette16 hours ago

Has Offseason Foot Surgery
Justin Tucker16 hours ago

Ravens To Wait To Make Decision On Justin Tucker
Mark Hubbard16 hours ago

Trending In The Wrong Direction Ahead Of Cognizant Classic
Alex Smalley16 hours ago

Continues To Impress Ahead Of The Cognizant Classic
Taylor Moore16 hours ago

Continues Playing Well Heading To Cognizant Classic
Justin Lower16 hours ago

Misses Cut At Mexico Open
Max Greyserman16 hours ago

Hitting Stride Heading To Cognizant Classic
Jake Knapp16 hours ago

Posts Solid Finish At Mexico Open
Mark Andrews16 hours ago

Ravens Standing Behind Mark Andrews
PGA16 hours ago

Sungjae Im Looking For Bounce-Back At Cognizant Classic
Austin Eckroat16 hours ago

Defends Title At Cognizant Classic
Billy Horschel16 hours ago

Misses Second Straight Cut
Cameron Johnson17 hours ago

May Miss Wednesday's Game
Tyrese Haliburton17 hours ago

Questionable Versus Toronto
Karl-Anthony Towns17 hours ago

Questionable On Wednesday
OG Anunoby17 hours ago

Probable Versus Philly
Justin Edwards17 hours ago

Expected To Return On Wednesday
Quentin Grimes17 hours ago

Likely To Face The Knicks
Guerschon Yabusele17 hours ago

Ruled Out On Wednesday Night
Cole Anthony17 hours ago

Won't Return On Tuesday Night
P.J. Washington18 hours ago

Active On Tuesday
Joel Embiid18 hours ago

Out On Wednesday
Ben Simmons18 hours ago

Available For Wednesday
Kawhi Leonard18 hours ago

Ready To Play On Wednesday
Norman Powell18 hours ago

To Miss Wednesday's Contest
Brady Tkachuk21 hours ago

Questionable For Wednesday's Game
Kevin Bahl21 hours ago

Rejoins Flames Lineup Tuesday
Matt Grzelcyk21 hours ago

Good To Go Tuesday
Alex Tuch21 hours ago

A Game-Time Call Tuesday
Noah Dobson21 hours ago

Not Ready To Return On Tuesday
Andrew Copp21 hours ago

Out For The Season
Joel Eriksson Ek21 hours ago

Lands On Injured Reserve
Brendan Gallagher24 hours ago

Set To Play On Tuesday
Max Pacioretty1 day ago

Ruled Out On Tuesday
Song Yadong2 days ago

Gets Back In The Win Column
Henry Cejudo2 days ago

Suffers Third Straight Loss
Brendan Allen2 days ago

Drops Decision At UFC Seattle
Anthony Hernandez2 days ago

Extends His Winning Streak
Jean Matsumoto2 days ago

Suffers First Career Loss
Rob Font2 days ago

Wins Back-To-Back Fights
Melsik Baghdasaryan2 days ago

Gets TKO'd At UFC Seattle
Jean Silva2 days ago

Gets First-Round Finish At UFC Seattle
Alonzo Menifield2 days ago

Edges Out Split Decision At UFC Seattle
Julius Walker2 days ago

Defeated In His UFC Debut
Kyle Busch2 days ago

Leaves Atlanta With His First Top-10 Finish Of 2025
Kyle Larson2 days ago

Scores The Best Drafting-Track Finish Of His Career At Atlanta
Ryan Blaney2 days ago

Rallies Back To Score A Finish Of Fourth At Atlanta
NASCAR2 days ago

Despite Rarely Factoring For The Lead, Bubba Wallace Has Great Points Day
Ross Chastain2 days ago

Chances For Victory End After A Bump From Carson Hocevar
Ricky Stenhouse Jr2 days ago

. Recovers From Causing Daytona Big One To Finish Fifth At Atlanta
Carson Hocevar2 days ago

Earns Best Career Finish
Ryan Blaney3 days ago

The Heavy Favorite To Win At Atlanta
Kyle Larson3 days ago

Can Kyle Larson Finally Get A Good Finish At The New Atlanta?
Chase Elliott3 days ago

Can Win This Weekend
William Byron3 days ago

Don’t Overlook William Byron At Atlanta This Weekend
Austin Cindric3 days ago

Looking To Contend Once Again At Atlanta
Ross Chastain3 days ago

Will Start Deep in the Field at Atlanta
Daniel Suarez3 days ago

Looking To Continue Magic At Atlanta
Christopher Bell3 days ago

An Obvious DFS Pick At Atlanta
Denny Hamlin3 days ago

Is One of the Top DFS Options Of The Week For Atlanta Lineups
Joey Logano3 days ago

Is One Of The Favorites To Win At Atlanta
Kyle Busch3 days ago

Expect Kyle Busch To Compete For The Win At Atlanta
Ty Gibbs3 days ago

Should Not Be Overlooked For Atlanta DFS Lineups
Tyler Reddick3 days ago

Should Fantasy Players Roster Tyler Reddick At Atlanta This Week?
Alex Bowman3 days ago

Is Alex Bowman Worth Rostering For DFS Lineups At Atlanta?
Henry Cejudo5 days ago

Set For Bantamweight Clash
Song Yadong5 days ago

Faces A Legend At UFC Seattle
Anthony Hernandez5 days ago

Looks To Extend His Win Streak
Brendan Allen5 days ago

Looks To Get Back In The Win Column
Jean Matsumoto5 days ago

Looks To Remain Undefeated
Rob Font5 days ago

An Underdog At UFC Seattle
Melsik Baghdasaryan5 days ago

Looks To Win Back-To-Back Fights
Jean Silva5 days ago

A Favorite At UFC Seattle
Alonzo Menifield5 days ago

Opens Up UFC Seattle Main Card
Julius Walker5 days ago

Makes His UFC Debut
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF

MORE RECENT ARTICLES

 
Jerry Jeudy - Fantasy Football Rankings, NFL Injury News, DFS Lineup Picks

The Biggest Fantasy Football WR Breakouts From The 2024 Season

The best fantasy football players can sometimes identify potential breakout candidates before the season. These players aren't necessarily going high in drafts, but they have the upside to finish at the top of their respective positions. There are always a few breakout candidates at every position each year.  That was no different at the wide […]


Marvin Harrison Jr. - Fantasy Football Rankings, WR, Waiver Wire, NFL DFS, Rookies

NFL Rookies That Flopped - Early Fantasy Football Outlooks for 2025

The NFL is a tough business. While it is always exciting to watch young rookies enter the league and succeed immediately, the reality is that most players require at least a year or two of development before they pan out and start producing for fantasy football. Some players seem like surefire successes and flop, while […]


Jayden Daniels - Fantasy Football Rankings, NFL Injury News, DFS Lineup Picks

Dynasty Fantasy Football Mock Draft: 2nd Year Player Rankings for Fantasy Football Drafts (2025)

While the fantasy football world is focused on the 2025 rookie class, let’s look back to last year’s group. The 2024 rookie draft class might be the best in history. Several rookies became fantasy superstars in their first year in the NFL. Now that we have a year’s worth of data in the books, let’s […]


DK Metcalf - Fantasy Football Rankings, NFL Injury News, DFS and Betting Picks

Blockbuster NFL Trade Ideas That Could Shake Up Fantasy Football

The start of the 2025 NFL offseason is just around the corner. While free agency and the NFL Draft are the highlights of the offseason, the trade market can be the most exciting. NFL teams have become more aggressive in making trades over the past few years. Fans have seen some massive blockbuster trades over […]


Jameson Williams - Fantasy Football Rankings, Waiver Wire Pickups, Draft Sleepers

Breakout Fantasy Football Wide Receivers From The 2024 Season - Part II

This series continues to roll on with Part 2 of our breakout receivers. First, we must define what a breakout is. For this series, there will be two criteria a player can meet to qualify for breakout status. The first is a player who solidly outplays their ADP and preseason expectations. This is that preseason […]


Luther Burden - College, NCAA, Draft, Prospects, CFB, Missouri

2025 Fantasy Football WR Rookie Rankings (Pre-NFL Draft) - Tetairoa McMillan, Luther Burden III, Emeka Egbuka, and more

Everyone wants to talk about the running back and tight-end position this season, especially when it comes to fantasy football. Sure, the wide receiver position doesn't have the elite prospects it had in the past, but that doesn't mean there aren't some receivers available who can't impact fantasy rosters heading into 2025. The picture is […]


Ashton Jeanty - College Football Rankings, NCAA CFB DFS Lineup Picks

2025 Fantasy Football RB Rookie Rankings (Pre-NFL Draft) - Ashton Jeanty, Omarion Hampton, TreVeyon Henderson and more

Fantasy football enthusiasts, it is time to get excited. Draft season is officially upon us. New mock drafts are dropping daily, the NFL Combine will soon be underway, and the draft will be here before we know it. Another reason to get excited is the 2025 rookie running back class. If your fantasy roster lacks […]


Rome Odunze - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injuries

Dynasty Fantasy Football Trade Targets - Four Wide Receivers and Running Backs to Buy in 2025

No one can win all the time. That applies to life and fantasy football. Sometimes, you have to be on the losing end of a competition. Some dynasty fantasy football players love to rebuild their rosters. While acquiring draft picks is the key to rebuilding a dynasty roster, trading for players after a disappointing rookie […]


Christian McCaffrey - Fantasy Football Rankings, DFS and Betting Picks, NFL Injury News

Dynasty Fantasy Football Draft Strategy - Players to Target in Drafts For A Win-Now Team (2025)

What if I told you that you could draft a win-now team in dynasty fantasy football and still be set up very well for future success? Well, you can by following my guide below. I've put in hundreds of hours of film study to develop my scouting eye. It helped me suggest that you should […]


Cam Ward - College Football Rankings, NCAA CFB DFS Lineup Picks

Updated NFL Mock Draft - First Round Predictions for 2025 (Pre-NFL Combine)

It is NFL mock draft season, and what a difference a month can make. Since the Senior Bowl, we have seen plenty of prospects improve their draft stock, and some take a bit of a hit.  NFL brain trusts are setting up their war rooms and sending their staff to Indianapolis, as the NFL Combine […]


Drake London - NFL, Fantasy football rankings, waiver wire, dfs

Breakout Fantasy Football Wide Receivers From The 2024 Season - Part I

It's always fun to look back at the NFL regular season and find which players excelled. Who took their games to new heights? This series, which we started with two entries on running backs, will move forward looking at the wide receiver position. We'll identify six receivers across two articles who broke out this season. […]


Jalen McMillan - Fantasy Football Rankings, NFL Injury News, DFS Lineup Picks

Early 2025 Fantasy Football Breakouts: Wide Receiver

While there's no football for quite some time, it's never too early to start prepping for your fantasy football drafts. Best ball drafts are already open and people are already taking advantage of average draft position (ADP) discrepancies. Every year, we try to uncover players priced way too cheap who have a chance to break […]


Keon Coleman - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News

Dynasty Fantasy Football Trade Targets - 2nd Year Players to Buy and Sell (2025)

The 2024 rookie class was a good one for dynasty fantasy football gamers. We saw several first-year players step on the field and make an immediate impact. Gamers who were in a rebuild entering the 2024 season got a shot in the arm if they selected the right players. However, not every rookie pick was […]