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Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the Kansas City Chiefs vs. Indianapolis Colts, another article in our weekly series of free NFL betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free NFL betting breakdown article is for Sunday, September 25th, 2022.
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Today's Betting Overview - Chiefs @ Colts
The Chiefs take on the Colts on Sunday, September 25th at Lucas Oil Stadium, Indianapolis. RotoBaller provides free handicapping picks and odds for all NFL games throughout the 2022 season.
- Matchup: Kansas City Chiefs (2-0) vs. Indianapolis Colts (0-1-1)
- Date: Sunday, September 25th, 2022
- Time: 1:00 PM ET
- Venue: Lucas Oil Stadium
Today's NFL Sportsbook Odds - Chiefs @ Colts
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Kansas City Chiefs - NFL Betting Analysis
The Chiefs head into week 3, looking for another win, as they picked up 3 point victory over the Los Angeles Chargers (27-24). Even though Kansas City picked up the win, they failed to cover the spread as -4.0 point favorites. The two teams combined point total of 51 remained below the betting line of 52. Kansas City pulled out a comeback victory over the Chargers, as they entered the 4th quarter trailing by a score of 17-14. Despite the win, Kansas City was not able to cover the spread.
The Chiefs' 27 points was a similar performance to last year's season average that placed Kansas City 4th in the league. Kansas City struggled to run the ball last week, finishing with just 93 yards on 18 attempts. Clyde Edwards-Helaire led the team with 74 rush yards and did not find the endzone.
Kansas City quarterback Patrick Mahomes threw for a total of 235 yards on a completion percentage 68.6% vs the Chargers. For the game, Mahomes was able to throw for 2 touchdowns. Travis Kelce was the team's leader in the passing game, finishing with 51 yards and 5 catches. Averaging 37.0 attempts per game, Kansas City is ranked 12th in the league. This season, 61.67% of the team's offensive plays have come through the pass, placing them 5th in the NFL.
Currently, the Chiefs defense is ranked just 19th in overall yards allowed. So far, the team's defense has allowed 5 scores through the air and 1 on the ground. Opposing quarterbacks have put together an average passer rating of 96.32 vs the team's defense.
Indianapolis Colts - NFL Betting Analysis
In week 2, the Indianapolis Colts dropped their AFC South matchup against the Jaguars by a score of 24-0. With the loss, Indianapolis failed to cover the spread, as they had a -3.0 point advantage on the spread. The two teams combined point total of 24 remained below the betting line of 43. In the game, Indianapolis trailed the Jaguars by a score of 24-0 heading into the 4th quarter.
Compared to last year, where the Colts averaged 26.53 points per game, the team's 0 was a disappointing performance. Indianapolis struggled to run the ball last week, finishing with just 54 yards on 13 attempts. Jonathan Taylor led the team with 54 rush yards and did not find the endzone.
On his way to throwing for 195 passing yards, Matt Ryan finished with a passer rating of 34.03. Ryan walked home from the game without a passing touchdown. Although Ashton Dulin did not come up with a touchdown grab through the air, he was still productive with 79 yards. Indianapolis is the 7th ranked team in passing attempts per game, with an average of 40.0. Going into the game, the Colts have thrown a total of 4.0 interceptions, coming on a passing completion percentage of 58.65% (24th).
As a defensive unit, the Colts currently rank 11th in overall yards allowed. So far, the team's defense has allowed 4 scores through the air and 1 on the ground. Opposing quarterbacks have put together an average passer rating of 110.11 vs the team's defense.
Today's NFL Betting Pick - Chiefs vs. Colts
When looking back at the recent matchups between Kansas City and Indianapolis, the Colts put together a record of 2-3. The two teams have combined to average 47.8 points per game in their last 5 meetings. Kansas City and Indianapolis did not play each other in the 2021-2022 regular season.
The Indianapolis Colts have performed well vs the spread in recent games, going 3-2-0. The Chiefs offense has averaged 25.0 points per game over the 5 most recent meetings with Indianapolis, compared to the Colts at 22.8.
Through their last 3 games, the Chiefs have a record of 2-1. In addition, their ATS record over this stretch is 1-2 while posting a 1-2 over-under mark.
Across their last 3 road contests, Kansas City has been good against the spread posting a mark of 1-2. Their overall mark in these games was 2-1, while averaging 34.33 points per game.
Through their 3 most recent regular season matchups, the Colts have gone 0-2-1. In these games they have gone just 0-3 vs the spread, while posting an over-under mark of 0-3.
In their last 3 games at home, the Colts have a straight up record of 1-2 while going 1-2 vs the spread. The team averaged 26.0 points per game in this stretch.
Recommended ATS Betting Pick: Chiefs -6.5
Recommended OU Betting Pick: Over 49.5
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