RADIO
We close out the regular season in style today with 50 games. Most of these are rivalries and some of them have clever little nicknames. Not Ohio State and Michigan. "The Game?" Really? Get a little more creative! Like Farmageddon. Farmageddon is good.
I got some of the chaos right last week, but not where it really counted. I'm a touch under .500 on the season, but my points system has been suffering over the last month or so. All of the money that I made earlier in the season is gone.
These picks are for entertainment purposes only. Don't bet more than you can afford. This is supposed to be for fun and excitement. I may be under .500 on the season, but I'm having a blast and am still up some real money.
CFB Betting Picks for Week 14 (11/30/24)
I will pick every college football game every week. It's not a top-5. Not a top 10. All of them. Big deal, right? Lots of people make picks. Well, I do them all against the spread. I take the odds of each game, average them out at all the Vegas casinos, and round to the nearest half. There will be no ties here. Ties are for the other (European) football.
Michigan at (2) Ohio State (-19.5)
Betting Pick Confidence Factor: 2
This is Michigan's bowl game, but even if they show up, is it good enough? The talent discrepancy is seismic. I'll take Ohio State, but lower the bet.
(8) Tennessee (-10.5) at Vanderbilt
Betting Pick Confidence Factor: 2
Wake Forest coach Dave Clawson said Hank Bachmeier will start Saturday at Miami.
— Les Johns (@Les_Johns) November 19, 2024
The Dolly Parton Bowl has been lopsided throughout its history and a blowout the last four years. The last time Vandy played Tennessee within single digits was when they destroyed the Vols in Nashville back in 2018.
There have been a lot of "for the first time since" instances for Vandy this year. Blame Diego Pavia, and bet on his heart. Give me Vandy. They may not win, but this feels like a year where they keep it close.
(15) South Carolina at (12) Clemson (-2.5)
Betting Pick Confidence Factor: 3
There's more riding on the Palmetto Bowl this year. South Carolina has only beaten Clemson once since 2013, but Alabama is belly-up so anything can happen. South Carolina may not be the better team but they are the more electric team. The Cocks are good enough to win this and I think they do, throwing the playoff rankings into chaos (again).
(23) Illinois (-7.5) at Northwestern
Betting Pick Confidence Factor: 5
Honestly, this feels low. Illinois beat a solid Rutgers team in Piscataway last week and Michigan hung half a hundo on Northwestern. Illinois wins BIG!
Louisville (-3.5) at Kentucky
Betting Pick Confidence Factor: 2
The Bourbon Bowl has lost some luster from what we thought it might be earlier in the season. Every time that I watch Kentucky play, I realize just how far behind most of the SEC they are. It shouldn't be like that under a long-tenured coach. They look lost. Give me the Cardinals.
Connecticut (-10.5) at Massachusetts
Betting Pick Confidence Factor: 1
UMass led Georgia and UConn almost beat Syracuse. They aren't quite as toothless as in recent seasons. Considering this game is in Amherst, I'll take the Minutemen. I wouldn't bet on it though.
Duke (-4.5) at Wake Forest
Betting Pick Confidence Factor: 2
It's hard to take Duke seriously with as many interceptions as Maalik Murphy throws. I'll take the Devils though since Wake has been a joke most of the year.
Kansas (-1.5) at Baylor
Betting Pick Confidence Factor: 2
You won't find me betting against the team of destiny. Give me Kansas.
West Virginia at Texas Tech (-2.5)
Betting Pick Confidence Factor: 3
The Mountaineers are playing well right now but this might be too tall of a task. Give me the Red Raiders.
Louisiana (-9.5) at Louisiana-Monroe
Betting Pick Confidence Factor: 2
The Battle on the Bayou has been one-sided of late. Monroe has only won three times in the last 16 years. However, in 12 of those 16 games, the game was decided by single digits. Give me Monroe.
UTSA at Army (-6.5)
Betting Pick Confidence Factor: 2
This game has lost some luster with Army getting blown off the field by Notre Dame. The question here is can UTSA stop the run? I love what the offense has done lately, but this is a tall task for the Roadrunners. Give me UTSA, but I don't really trust it.
North Texas (-11.5) at Temple
Betting Pick Confidence Factor: 2
This seems legit. Temple has lost three of their last four games by more than 20 points. I'll take the Mean Green.
Eastern Michigan at Western Michigan (-6.5)
Betting Pick Confidence Factor: 1
Western has really struggled to move the ball lately. I can't take them to cover this.
Middle Tennessee State at Florida International (-7.5)
Betting Pick Confidence Factor: 3
FIU beat the New Mexico State team that crushed the Blue Raiders in Murfreesboro last week. I'm taking the Panthers.
Coastal Carolina (-1.5) at Georgia State
Betting Pick Confidence Factor: 2
If you want to bet on this one, shop around. It's even in most places, but you can find it as high as two points on either side. I still like the home team here.
Southern Mississippi at Troy (-17.5)
Betting Pick Confidence Factor: 2
Wow, Troy has struggled this year. That said, Southern Miss is the only team besides Kent State (0-11) and Purdue (1-10) with less than two wins. Give me Troy.
South Florida (-5.5) at Rice
Betting Pick Confidence Factor: 4
This is too low no matter who USF uses at quarterback. The Bulls mean business!
Pittsburgh at Boston College (-4.5)
Betting Pick Confidence Factor: 2
Pitt went from a playoff team to a dog at Boston College in the span of three weeks. How the mighty have fallen! Give me BC.
Old Dominion (-4.5) at Arkansas State
Betting Pick Confidence Factor: 3
I was really impressed with Colton Joseph last week Give me the Monarchs.
Maryland at (4) Penn State (-24.5)
Betting Pick Confidence Factor: 2
Wow, that feels high. I'll take the Terps.
(5) Notre Dame (-7.5) at USC
Betting Pick Confidence Factor: 3
The Irish are making the playoff anyway. I don't need to pick the Trojans because I really don't want to. Give me the Irish.
(6) Miami (FL) (-10.5) at Syracuse
Betting Pick Confidence Factor: 2
3:30 next Saturday. ESPN.
Syracuse (8-3) vs. Miami (10-1).The top two passing leaders in the nation.
Cam Ward vs. Kyle McCord.
Miami's first trip to Dome since 2002.Biggest Syracuse football game since?
Get to the Dome next Saturday! (or listen to us on the radio ?) pic.twitter.com/1q48TvThIe
— Tim Leonard (@Tim_Leonard4) November 23, 2024
Don't tell the Syracuse fans, but the last time that Miami went to the Loud House, they won 49-7. I don't expect that here. In fact, I expect a closer game than Vegas. Give me the Orange.
California at (9) SMU (-13.5)
Betting Pick Confidence Factor: 2
That looks kinda high. Then again, Cal hasn't looked good since the Oregon State game and almost lost to Stanford last week. Give me the Ponies, I guess.
Auburn at (13) Alabama (-11.5)
Betting Pick Confidence Factor: 1
Auburn got a massive, uplifting win last week and the Tide got trashed in Norman. This feels like it's going to be a weird Iron Bowl. Either Bama comes out and loses this or they smash Auburn by three touchdowns. I don't see an in-between. I'll take Auburn, I guess. Their running game is at least as good as Oklahoma's.
(16) Arizona State (-8.5) at Arizona
Betting Pick Confidence Factor: 2
?Duel in the Desert ?
Arizona vs Arizona State
First Meeting: 1899
Overall record: Arizona leads, 51–45–1
Current streak: Arizona, 2 games
What is your favorite Duel in the Desert memory, or just game in general? pic.twitter.com/J4dUzKclUE
— West Coast College Sports Guy (@WCCSG_) May 24, 2024
The Duel in the Desert has a little more juice on it this year. You know the Fun Devils are still reeling from the beatdown laid on them by Noah Fifita and Tetairoa McMillan last year. Sparky gets revenge! Give me ASU.
Arkansas at (21) Missouri (-3.5)
Betting Pick Confidence Factor: 3
Brady Cook looked good last week. I'll take Missouri.
Rutgers at Michigan State (-1.5)
Betting Pick Confidence Factor: 5
Nope. Rutgers rolls and it might not be close.
Fresno State at UCLA (-8.5)
Betting Pick Confidence Factor: 4
UCLA burned me last week, but I still feel like they are a lot better than Fresno. Give me the Bruins.
North Carolina State at North Carolina (-3.5)
Betting Pick Confidence Factor: 3
The Heels send Mack Brown out in style, courtesy of Omarion Hampton.
Central Michigan at Northern Illinois (-12.5)
Betting Pick Confidence Factor: 1
Central doesn't have a quarterback and NIU has been in the tank since beating Notre Dame. I'm not touching this and you shouldn't either. Give me NIU, I guess.
UAB at Charlotte (-2.5)
Betting Pick Confidence Factor: 4
The 49ers are on to something with Deshawn Purdie. Give me Charlotte.
Florida Atlantic at Tulsa (-1.5)
Betting Pick Confidence Factor: 3
The last time that I said FAU wasn't that far down, they lost to Temple. That's not happening again. Give me FAU.
Jacksonville State at Western Kentucky (-1.5)
Betting Pick Confidence Factor: 3
I'm not bailing on the Gamecocks now! Give me JSU!
Kennesaw State at Louisiana Tech (-12.5)
Betting Pick Confidence Factor: 2
Too many. Kennesaw has busted four straight spreads with an outright win in two of them. I'll take the Owls.
UTEP at New Mexico State (-2.5)
Betting Pick Confidence Factor: 2
The Battle of I-10 heads to Las Cruces this year. I'll take the home team.
TCU (-3.5) at Cincinnati
Betting Pick Confidence Factor: 5
This is too low. The Bearcats have lost four in a row by a combined 61 points.
Appalachian State at Georgia Southern (-2.5)
Betting Pick Confidence Factor: 12
I still like App State outright. The win over James Madison was impressive.
Wyoming at Washington State (-17.5)
Betting Pick Confidence Factor: 3
Wazzu is not built to cover spreads like this. I'll take Wyoming.
Purdue at (10) Indiana (-28.5)
Betting Pick Confidence Factor: 2
The Old Oaken Bucket is heading back to Bloomington, but by how much? Eh...35, I guess. Give me the Hoosiers.
If you need another reminder of how far Indiana Football has come, look no further than the Old Oaken Bucket.
The bucket is in West Lafayette right now. Indiana is 10-1. Purdue is 1-10. Time to bring this baby back to Bloomington, where it belongs! #iufb pic.twitter.com/zRZVB0c8Gb
— Tennis World (@TennisWrld) November 26, 2024
Oklahoma at LSU (-5.5)
Betting Pick Confidence Factor: 2
This game feels like an illegitimate child. This is Bedlam week. Screw these mega-conferences and give me Oklahoma.
Florida (-16.5) at Florida State
Betting Pick Confidence Factor: 3
Florida State has nothing left and they proved that months ago. Give me Florida.
Washington at (1) Oregon (-18.5)
Betting Pick Confidence Factor: 2
This feels high for a rivalry, but Oregon is still torqued about losing twice to the Huskies last year and Washington has been horrible outside of Seattle (and one game inside). Give me the Ducks.
(3) Texas (-5.5) at (20) Texas A&M
Betting Pick Confidence Factor: 2
Make sure you check out the Texas vs A&M Winsipedia page this week ?
Comical #AggieFactRivalryWeek pic.twitter.com/kjwqcemGin
— Kyle Umlang (@kyleumlang) November 25, 2024
The Lone Star Showdown is usually a close game. I think it stays that way this year as well. Give me the Aggies.
(24) Kansas State at (18) Iowa State (-2.5)
Betting Pick Confidence Factor: 3
FARMAGEDDON WEEK!!!! pic.twitter.com/UYxLEzf9kh
— Tyler Carter ?️?️?️???? (@cytyguy) November 24, 2024
This is only the second time in the 107-year history of this rivalry that both teams have entered ranked (2002). If anyone tells you that this rivalry doesn't matter, smack them for me. It also has one of the best names of a rivalry ever. Give it its due, and give me the Cyclones.
Nevada at (22) UNLV (-17.5)
Betting Pick Confidence Factor: 2
It's the Battle for the Fremont Cannon. The Cannon stays in Vegas and it shouldn't be close. Give me UNLV.
Virginia at Virginia Tech (-7.5)
Betting Pick Confidence Factor: 3
This should stay a one-score game, especially if Kyron Drones is still out. Give me the Wahoos.
Marshall at James Madison (-3.5)
Betting Pick Confidence Factor: 3
How about Marshall finishing on the road at ODU and James Madison? How about them winning both? Give me Marshall!
Houston at (19) BYU (-12.5)
Betting Pick Confidence Factor: 3
This feels about right. The magic of Zeon Chriss has worn off. Give me BYU.
Air Force (-3.5) at San Diego State
Betting Pick Confidence Factor: 1
I'm not surprised, but this is a tough one to wrap my head around. Give me SDSU but I'm not touching it.
New Mexico (-2.5) at Hawaii
Betting Pick Confidence Factor: 2
In Hawaii? Nah. Give me the Rainbows.
There were a lot more games this week, but that doesn't mean I got more brave. I only have three max bets again and five on the four-line. I took the easy way out seven times. I have a season-high 30 two-point bets, which is almost half the games this week. I ended up with 22 in the middle. Good luck out there!
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