Cole Kmet (TE, CHI) - Week 15 Waiver Wire Pickups

BALLER MOVE: Add in 14+ Team Leagues

ROSTERED: 6% of Leagues

ANALYSIS: If you just go by last game's results, then you'll be banking on Jimmy Graham for next weekend's fantasy slate of games. That makes sense, considering Graham scored more than 6 fantasy points for the first time since Week 9 while Kmet could only finish with 8.1 against Houston on Sunday. And that would be the wrong approach.

Graham needed a score to reach his 12.3 fantasy points yesterday. Other than that, he finished 4-of-4 in receptions but could only reach 23 yards. Kmet, on the other hand, has seen 7 targets in the last two weeks and he's finished with 37 and 41 receiving yards respectively, including scoring a touchdown two weeks ago.

Kmet is playing way more snaps than Graham these days. Although he was part of just 35 percent of Chicago's plays from Week 1 to Week 9, he's been on the field in 70+ percent of the Bears offensive snaps since Week 10 (included) compared to Graham's 48 percent. In counting numbers, Kmet has played 211 snaps to Graham's 116 in that span while out-targeting the veteran 20 to 11.

Graham is a very touchdown-dependent play, and he's far from a reliable weekly fantasy play. Kmet's usage is higher, and he will have more chances of getting fantasy points going forward. The Bears face two bottom-half defenses against tight ends to close the fantasy season (16th-best Minnesota and 22nd-best Jacksonville) so Kmet's upside should stay up at least to make him a viable streaming player at the position.

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