RADIO
BALLER MOVE: Start in 12+ Team Leagues
POSITIONAL VALUE: WR3/FLEX
ANALYSIS: Jacksonville Jaguars wide receiver Christian Kirk has seen a diminished role in his offense this year, and with the return of tight end Evan Engram, who earned 10 targets last week, Kirk is now likely the third option in the passing game. He was even out-targeted by fellow WR Gabe Davis, 8-6.
WRs who have created “multiple steps of separation” vs. man coverage at the highest rate in 2024:
(Minimum 40 routes vs man)
(Source: @FantasyPtsData)1. Zay Flowers
2. Christian Kirk
3. Rome Odunze
4. Brian Thomas Jr.
5. Rashod Bateman
6. Demario Douglas
7. Brandon Aiyuk
8.…— Jacob Gibbs (@jagibbs_23) October 16, 2024
He's still an excellent receiver, but it's been Davis and rookie Brian Thomas Jr. who have seen the field the most in 2WR sets (plays where only two receivers are on the field) with Kirk rotating in for 3WR sets. Between this and his diminished target volume, he's not the solid WR2 he was in 2022, or even for a stretch last year.
The pass-catchers to own for the Jags are now Thomas and Engram, and while Kirk could have games out-targeting one or both of them, it's an uphill battle. In addition, the last game for Jacksonville was a pass-heavy game script, and Jacksonville abandoned the run early after going down by multiple scores.
In closer games, Kirk may see the field even less as there will be more run and pass plays out of 2WR sets. He plays often in the slot, which helps, but in games where he's out-targeted by Thomas, Davis, and Engram, it will be difficult for him to score a lot of fantasy points.
The Jags face the Patriots in Week 7, who just got demolished by RB Joe Mixon and the Houston Texans. If Jacksonville can establish the run early, Kirk could see six or fewer targets for another consecutive game.
More Fantasy Football Start 'Em, Sit 'Em Picks
Who Should I Start for Fantasy Football Week 18? DK Metcalf, Brian Thomas Jr., Deebo Samuel Sr.
It can be a challenge to figure out which teams and players have the incentive to play their best in Week 18. That's why a lot of leagues finish in Week 17! It would be nice if we could assume that every player suiting up on Sunday was going to play their usual amount of […]
Who Should I Start for Fantasy Football Week 18? Jakobi Meyers, Olamide Zaccheaus, Keenan Allen
Figuring out which teams and players have an incentive to play their best in Week 18 is always a challenge. It would be nice if we could assume that every player suiting up on Sunday was going to play their usual amount of snaps or give maximum effort, but that simply isn't always the case. […]
Who Should I Start for Fantasy Football Week 18? Blake Corum, Tyrone Tracy Jr., Brian Robinson Jr.
Los Angeles Rams running back Blake Corum, New York Giants running back Tyrone Tracy Jr., and Washington Commanders running back Brian Robinson Jr. all have plenty to play for in Week 18, and have the opportunity to make a nice impact for their teams and rack up stats for your fantasy football rosters. None of […]
Who Should I Start for Fantasy Football Week 18? Jauan Jennings, Courtland Sutton, Michael Pittman Jr.
The wide receiver position has an advantage over the running back position in PPR scoring formats, typically. Receivers' main job of catching the football leads to them scoring more points per touch, and those WRs that consistently get high volume can produce great results with a strong floor. Not every WR is like this, though, […]
Who Should I Start For Fantasy Football Week 18? Aaron Jones, Rachaad White, D'Andre Swift
While the 2024 fantasy football season is over for some leagues, others will wrap up in Week 18. Sometimes, everything comes down to one final game, which could be good or bad for fantasy players. Should fantasy players start Aaron Jones, Rachaad White, or D'Andre Swift in Week 18? Let’s dive into their fantasy football […]
Download Our Free News & Alerts Mobile App
Like what you see? Download our updated fantasy football app for iPhone and Android with 24x7 player news, injury alerts, rankings, starts/sits & more. All free!
