RADIO
MATCHUP/VALUE: at POR, $9,000
ANALYSIS: I think you could go Westbrook in this spot as well for cash games, but with so many options tonight at point, I'd rather save the $1,700 and go with Paul. He's got a real nice floor, has been playing very well of late - he's exceeded value in eight of his last 10 games, by an average of 6.14 points over his price implied value - and he's get a very cushy matchup against the porous Portland defense. I think the return of Damian Lillard makes Paul appealing for two reasons - his offense should keep this game close, and he's a very poor defender, so Paul should have his way when the ball is in his hands. In addition to the favorable matchup, the 206 point over/under in this game is one of the highest of the night, and the four point spread implies it should be a tight one.
