RADIO
BALLER MOVE: Target Around ~68 Overall
CURRENT ADP: ~77
ANALYSIS: Last year, only 14 receivers had at least 120 targets, 15 red-zone targets, and seven targets inside the 10-yard line. 11 of those 14 scored six or more touchdowns. The average number of touchdowns scored was 7.7. Godwin scored just two, the fewest of the 14 who qualified. Adam Thielen and Garrett Wilson were the only other receivers who met these criteria but failed to score at least six touchdowns. The Panthers threw 13 touchdowns. The Jets threw 11. The Buccaneers threw 28.
Godwin finished 19th in targets (123), 15th in receptions (83), 23rd in yards (1,024), 24th in red-zone targets (25), 18th in end-zone targets (10), but 68th in touchdowns (two). Godwin finished as the WR39 with a 9.7 half-PPR PPG average. However, his expected half-PPR PPG average was 10.4, ranked as the WR29. Godwin’s expected touchdowns were 6.2, giving him the worst touchdown differential among any receivers last season at -4.2.
Baker Mayfield and Chris Godwin connected for a TD on just *1* of their 10 end zone targets last season — tied for the lowest TD rate of any qualified WR.
— Ian Hartitz (@Ihartitz) June 8, 2024
From Weeks 14 through Tampa Bay’s playoff loss in the Divisional Round (seven games), Godwin had a higher target share than Evans and per-game averages in targets, receptions, and yards. Godwin’s slot rate last year was just 37.1%. In 2022, it was 73.0%; in 2021, it was 70.4%.
The new offensive coordinator, Liam Coen, has repeatedly verified that Godwin will return to the slot role this season. That’s great news for his fantasy prospects.
Chris Godwin is officially back in the slot🔥
PPG finish vs. Slot snap % (via @rotounderworld):
2023: WR38 / 32.1%
2022: WR14 / 57.6%
2021: WR9 / 57.5%
2020: WR15 / 55.8%Screaming value at ADP WR34. pic.twitter.com/SMVA3tLCX5
— Victoria (@ffb_victoria) July 25, 2024
With better touchdown luck and a move back to the slot, Godwin is in a terrific position to provide fantasy managers with a lot of positive value at his current price.
More Fantasy Football Values and Sleepers
Will Dissly (TE, LAC) – Fantasy Football Waiver Wire Pickups For Week 12
BALLER MOVE: Add in 12-Team Leagues ROSTERED IN: 24% of Yahoo Leagues ANALYSIS: Los Angeles Chargers tight end Will Dissly is the TE21 for the year, averaging six half-point PPR fantasy points per game. The veteran tight end was a popular streaming option in Week 11 because of his matchup against the Cincinnati Bengals. They […]
Zach Ertz (TE, WAS) – Fantasy Football Waiver Wire Pickups For Week 12
BALLER MOVE: Add in 12-Team Leagues ROSTERED IN: 33% of Yahoo Leagues ANALYSIS: Washington Commanders tight end Zach Ertz has had a solid season. The veteran tight end is the TE11 for the year, averaging 7.3 half-point PPR fantasy points per game. While Terry McLaurin has been Jayden Daniels' go-to target, Ertz has seen at […]
Taysom Hill (TE, NO) – Fantasy Football Waiver Wire Pickups For Week 12
BALLER MOVE: Add in 12-Team Leagues ROSTERED IN: 54% of Yahoo Leagues ANALYSIS: New Orleans Saints tight end Taysom Hill is the ultimate do-it-all weapon. While he is listed as a tight end, the veteran’s fantasy value comes in the run game. He has had at least 14 rushing yards in every game this season. […]
Elijah Moore (WR, CLE) – Fantasy Football Waiver Wire Pickups For Week 12
BALLER MOVE: Add in 12-Team Leagues ROSTERED IN: 8% of Yahoo Leagues ANALYSIS: Cleveland Browns wide receiver Elijah Moore has been a fantasy football bust for most of his career. The veteran wide receiver is the WR71 for the year, averaging 5.7 half-point PPR fantasy points per game. However, he has played significantly better since […]
Quentin Johnston (WR, LAC) – Fantasy Football Waiver Wire Pickups For Week 12
BALLER MOVE: Add in 12-Team Leagues ROSTERED IN: 41% of Yahoo Leagues ANALYSIS: Los Angeles Chargers wide receiver Quentin Johnston has had a breakout sophomore year after an awful rookie season. The former TCU star is the WR40, averaging 10.4 half-point PPR fantasy points per game despite missing time with an injury. He has been […]
Download Our Free News & Alerts Mobile App
Like what you see? Download our updated fantasy football app for iPhone and Android with 24x7 player news, injury alerts, rankings, starts/sits & more. All free!
Check out RotoBaller's famous fantasy football draft sleepers and waiver wire pickups list, updated regularly!
