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Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Kansas City Chiefs, another article in our weekly series of free NFL betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free NFL betting breakdown article is for Sunday, November 13th, 2022.
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Today's Betting Overview - Jaguars @ Chiefs
The Jaguars take on the Chiefs on Sunday, November 13th at Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City. RotoBaller provides free handicapping picks and odds for all NFL games throughout the 2022 season.
- Matchup: Jacksonville Jaguars (3-6) vs. Kansas City Chiefs (6-2)
- Date: Sunday, November 13th, 2022
- Time: 1:00 PM ET
- Venue: Arrowhead Stadium
Today's NFL Sportsbook Odds - Jaguars @ Chiefs
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Jacksonville Jaguars - NFL Betting Analysis
The Jaguars head into week 9, looking for another win, as they picked up 7 point victory over the Las Vegas Raiders (27-20). Going into last week's matchup, Jacksonville was 2.5-point underdog on the spread. Together, the two teams combined score remained below the over-under betting line of 48. Jacksonville went into the 4th quarter of the game trailing by 3 at 20-17 but still came back to win and cover the spread as underdogs. Through 9 games, the Jaguars have an ATS record of 3-6. So far, they have an over-under record of 4-5. This week's betting total of 50.5 is higher than the line in their previous games.
Heading into this week's matchup, the Jaguars' offense is averaging 22.11 points per game, placing them 18th in the NFL. Look for the team to put together a strong offensive performance vs a Chiefs defense giving up 24 points per game. Although the Jaguars come into the game ranked just 18th in pass yards per game, they will benefit from facing a Kansas City secondary that is vulnerable through the air. We expect Jacksonville to have an above-average performance in the passing attack. A key matchup to watch through the game is if Jacksonville will be able to run the ball with their usual effectiveness. Even though they are averaging 146.78 yards per game on the ground, look for them to struggle against a defense that can be tough to run against.
Kansas City Chiefs - NFL Betting Analysis
Last week, the Chiefs knocked off the Titans by a score of 20-17, giving them an important win over an AFC opponent. Although the team came with the win, they were not able to cover the spread. Heading into the game, they were -14.0 point favorites. With an over-under betting line of 44, the two teams fell below that figure as they combined for 37. Kansas City pulled out a comeback victory over the Titans, as they entered the 4th quarter trailing by a score of 17-9. Despite the win, Kansas City was not able to cover the spread. Through 8 games, the Chiefs have an ATS record of 3-5. So far, they have an over-under record of 4-4. This week's betting total of 50.5 is right in line with their previous games.
Heading into this week's matchup, the Chiefs offense is averaging 30.38 points per game, placing them 1st in the NFL. Look for the team to put together another strong offensive performance, as they are facing a Jaguars defense that is ranked 13th in points per game. This season, Kansas City has been one of the better passing teams in the league, averaging 311.75 yards per game through the air. Although the Jaguars' defense has been able to limit opposing teams in the passing game, Kansas City should still be able to continue to generate big plays through the pass. On the ground, Kansas City has not been overly reliant on the run game, as they are 27th in the NFL in rush attempts per contest.
Today's NFL Betting Pick - Jaguars vs. Chiefs
In the 5 most recent matchups between Jacksonville and Kansas City, the Chiefs have dominated the series, winning 5 straight games. The over-under record in these games sits at 2-3, with the average scoring total coming in at 47.0 points. Last year, the Jaguars and Chiefs did not play each other.
The Kansas City Chiefs have performed well vs the spread in recent games, going 4-1-0. The Jaguars' offense has averaged 15.2 points per game over the 5 most recent meetings with Kansas City, compared to the Chiefs at 31.8.
Over their last 3 regular season games, the Jaguars have gone 1-2 straight up. Like their straight-up record, Jacksonville struggled vs the spread, going 1-2. Over these games, they put together an over-under record of 0-3.
Although Jacksonville has a straight-up record of 1-2 in their last 3 road games, they have not held up as well vs the spread going 1-2. The team averaged 28.67 points per game in these games.
Kansas City has put together a record of 2-1 over their past 3 games. In addition, their ATS record over this stretch is 1-2 while posting a 1-2 over-under mark.
Across their last 3 home contests, Kansas City has been good against the spread posting a mark of 0-3. Their overall mark in these games was 2-1 while averaging 23.33 points per game.
Recommended ATS Betting Pick: Jaguars 9.5
Recommended OU Betting Pick: Over 50.5
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