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Chef's Special - NFL Best Bets for Week 6

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"Foos-ball? Buncha overgrown monsters man-handlin' each other -- 'Member when dat man wanted you to play foos-ball, Bobby?"  Waterboy is bringing all the good vibes this weekend after an excellent week 5.  The bets continued to crush for the season with a 4-2 card, and I was fortunate enough to take down a second-place price of $4500 on DraftKings using the rankings and plays from the preview video.

Before getting too far into the post, please refer to this post as an introductory piece before continuing.  Also, be sure to check out the betting tools and

 

Introduction to Chef's Special Betting Picks

***Read only if it is your first week here***

This week I will layout a little more information than usual since it is Week 1.  Last year I handicapped the entire season and had a solid year finishing up 20+ units.  If you are new or unfamiliar with the terminology, I will explain (also use Google if you need it).

In a nutshell, it is a way to measure the size of a bet for players of all bankroll sizes.  For example, @Uncle_Leo may have a standard bet size of $10, @GarageGuyChase may have a standard bet size of $25, and @ThunderDanDFS may have a standard bet size of $50.

The weight of a unit would mean different financial gain for all of these players but tracks how well someone is doing betting as a sports bettor.  For all of you basic bois, let's use my results from last year as an example - see below:

  • NFL Best Bets (+22.5u) 64-54 Total Bets [7-2 on 4&5U plays]
  • Mr. Uncle Leo would be the following:  22.5U x $10 = $225 in the green on the season
  • Mr. Garage Guy would be the following:  22.5U x $25 = $562.50 in the green on the season
  • Mr. Danny Boi would be the following:  22.5U x $50 = $1125 in the green on the season.

So, let's discuss the trend.  Everyone finished in the green.  However, Mr. Danny Boi being up 22.5U means something much more financially positive than Mr. Uncle Leo. With that being said, I performed equally for all parties.

 

Drew Deen's (@ChefBoiRDeen) Week 6 Betting Card

Here, I will post my Week 6 picks.  Staying consistent with your unit size is crucial.  Without it, it will seem as if I am doing better or worse than I actually am because some wins/losses will be weighted differently than the others.

2019 NFL Best Bets (+22.5u) 64-54 Total [7-2 on 4&5U plays]

2020 NFL Best Bets (+21.85u) 33-18 Total [1-0 on 4&5U plays]

  • 0-1.5U Risk Record:  19-14
  • 1.51U - 3.99U Risk Record:  13-4
  • 4-5U Risk Record:  1-0

A bit of a smaller card this week but more could be added so be sure to check back before kick-off.

  • Bears ML vs Panthers - Risk 1U to win 1.05U
  • Lions -2.5 vs Jaguars - Risk 1.2U to win 1U
  • Texans/Titans Over 53 - Risk 1.1U to win 1U
  • Packers/Bucs Over 55 - Risk 1.1U to win 1U
  • Steelers ML - Risk 4U to win 2.2U
  • Steelers/Ravens ML Parlay - Risk 1.15U to win 1U
  • Steelers/Dolphins ML Parlay - Risk 1.1U to win 1U
  • Ravens/Dolphins 7pt Teaser - Risk 2.6U to win 2U
  • More could be added - typing this up earlier than usual this week

Chef's Yolo Parlay:  None for now - could add later



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